Louisville City vs Miami FC — USL Championship
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Louisville City and Miami FC meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Louisville City have recorded 25 wins from 50 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Miami FC have won 33% of their 36 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Louisville City and 1.06 for Miami FC. The models give Louisville City a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Miami FC win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Louisville City—
Miami FC4º
Position
8º
1.50
PPG
1.17
44%
Win %
28%
1.63
Goals / game
1.22
1.56
Conceded / game
1.61
54%
BTTS %
58%
38%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Louisville City
Home (8)
—
Miami FC
Away (9)
1.63
PPG
0.78
50%
Win %
11%
1.50
Goals / game
0.67
1.38
Conceded / game
1.33
50%
BTTS %
47%
36%
Clean sheet %
37%
45%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Louisville City | Home | Away | Miami FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 77% | 82% | 69% | 76% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 59% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 23% | 25% | 17% | 24% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 23% | 18% | 31% | 24% | 37% |
Goals Conceded
| Louisville City | Home | Away | Miami FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 64% | 61% | 75% | 88% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 32% | 39% | 50% | 59% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 0% | 21% | 19% | 29% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 36% | 39% | 25% | 12% | 37% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Louisville City | Miami FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 31% |
| BTTS | 54% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Louisville City | Miami FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Louisville City (H)W
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0D
Detroit City0–0
Detroit City0–0W
Indy Eleven4–1
Indy Eleven4–1W
Loudoun United2–1
Loudoun United2–1L
El Paso Locomotive1–2
El Paso Locomotive1–2DDetroit City0–0
Detroit City0–0Miami FC (A)D
Tampa Bay Rowdies1–1
Tampa Bay Rowdies1–1WTampa Bay Rowdies2–1
Tampa Bay Rowdies2–1WIndy Eleven2–0
Indy Eleven2–0W
Rhode Island2–1
Rhode Island2–1D
Brooklyn1–1
Brooklyn1–1L
Charleston Battery0–5
Charleston Battery0–5Head to Head · 11 matches
8
Louisville City
73%
0
Draws
0%
3
Miami FC
27%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
64%
Over 2.5
7/11
45%
Over 3.5
5/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
23/05/26Louisville City
Miami FC
4–3Louisville City14/03/26Miami FC
Louisville City
4–1Miami FC11/10/25Miami FC
Louisville City
1–0Miami FC16/08/25Louisville City
Miami FC
2–4Louisville City02/10/24Miami FC
Louisville City
3–0Miami FC01/06/24Louisville City
Miami FC
1–2Louisville City20/09/23Louisville City
Miami FC
4–3Louisville City13/05/23Miami FC
Louisville City
3–1Miami FC27/08/22Louisville City
Miami FC
1–0Louisville City19/03/22Miami FC
Louisville City
2–0Miami FC07/11/21Miami FC
Louisville City
1–0Miami FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 61 |
| 1 |  New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 52 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | +21 | 53 |
| 2 |  Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | +14 | 51 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +13 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | +10 | 50 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +18 | 48 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +3 | 45 |
| 6 |  San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | +2 | 43 |
| 7 |  FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +3 | 43 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | +9 | 42 |
| 8 |  Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | -1 | 40 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 |  Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 |  Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 |  Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 |  Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -20 | 24 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -29 | 21 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | -46 | 14 |
Team Insights
Louisville City- ●Louisville City have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Louisville City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Louisville City have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Louisville City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Louisville City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Louisville City failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Louisville City failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored in 15 of their 15 away matches.
Miami FC- ●Miami FC have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Miami FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Miami FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Miami FC have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Miami FC have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Miami FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●63% of Miami FC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Louisville CityWHPittsburgh Riverhounds1–0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0DHDetroit City0–0
Detroit City0–0WASporting JAX2–0
Sporting JAX2–0WHIndy Eleven4–1
Indy Eleven4–1WACharleston Battery2–0
Charleston Battery2–0DAHartford Athletic2–2
Hartford Athletic2–2–HMiami FC08/11
Miami FC08/11Miami FCDATampa Bay Rowdies1–1
Tampa Bay Rowdies1–1LHCharleston Battery1–2
Charleston Battery1–2LHLoudoun United0–2
Loudoun United0–2WATampa Bay Rowdies2–1
Tampa Bay Rowdies2–1WHSporting JAX4–1
Sporting JAX4–1WAIndy Eleven2–0
Indy Eleven2–0–ALouisville City08/11
Louisville City08/11Top Scorers
Louisville CityJ. Wilson14 ⚽
C. Donovan11 ⚽
R. Serrano10 ⚽
T. Showunmi8 ⚽
Q. Huerman5 ⚽
J. Morris5 ⚽
Miami FCA. Rocha14 ⚽
J. Locadia10 ⚽
M. Tunbridge7 ⚽
A. Milesi3 ⚽
D. Knutson3 ⚽
C. D. Milanes Navarro3 ⚽
Cards Given
Louisville CityA. McFadden8 🟨
Z. Duncan6 🟨
S. Totsch6 🟨
B. Niang6 🟨
K. Adams6 🟨
E. Davila5 🟨
Miami FCR. Tori13 🟨
A. Milesi13 🟨
D. Knutson9 🟨
B. Ndiaye8 🟨
M. Tunbridge7 🟨
A. Calfo6 🟨