Black Man Warrior vs Paynesville — LFA First Division
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Black Man Warrior and Paynesville meet in the LFA First Division 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Black Man Warrior have recorded 0 wins from 5 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 20% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Paynesville have won 80% of their 5 matches, with 3.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Black Man Warrior and 1.76 for Paynesville. The models give Black Man Warrior a 26% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Paynesville win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Black Man WarriorPaynesvilleHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Black Man | Home | Away | Paynesville | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 80% | 75% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 80% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Black Man | Home | Away | Paynesville | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Black Man | Paynesville | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 60% |
| BTTS | 20% | 100% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 80% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 100% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Black Man | Paynesville | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 100% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 100% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 20% | 100% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Black Man (H)
LISCR0–0
Fassell0–2
Freeport0–0
LPRC Oilers0–3
Watanga1–2
Heaven Eleven0–0Paynesville (A)Freeport5–2Freeport3–3LISCR1–1
Jubilee1–1
Downtown0–1Watanga0–0Head to Head · 4 matches
PaynesvilleBlack Man WarriorPaynesvilleBlack Man Warrior| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BEA Mountain | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | Paynesville | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 3 | Freeport | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 4 | Heaven Eleven | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 10 |
| 5 | Fassell | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 |  Discoveries | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  NPA Anchors | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Invincible Eleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Wologizi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 | LPRC Oilers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | LISCR | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 | Downtown | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Borough | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Black Man Warrior | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 |  District 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 15 | Watanga | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Golden Dream | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 |  Gardnersville | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 2 |
| 18 |  Shaita | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
Black Man- ●Black Man Warrior have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Black Man Warrior have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
Paynesville- ●Paynesville have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Paynesville failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Paynesville have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Paynesville have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Paynesville have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Paynesville have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●74% of Paynesville's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Paynesville's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●77% of Paynesville's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Black ManDiscoveries0–0LISCR0–0LPRC Oilers3–3Fassell0–2BEA Mountain0–2Paynesville04/11PaynesvilleDistrict 173–1Freeport5–2Shaita5–2Downtown4–2NPA Anchors2–2Black Man Warrior04/11