Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda — Torneo Federal A
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Alvarado and Sarmiento de La Banda meet in the Torneo Federal A 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Alvarado have recorded 13 wins from 30 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 23% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Sarmiento de La Banda have won 31% of their 29 matches, with 1.03 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Alvarado and 0.86 for Sarmiento de La Banda. The models give Alvarado a 59% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Sarmiento de La Banda win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Alvarado—
Sarmiento de La Banda2º
Position
4º
1.69
PPG
1.56
44%
Win %
44%
1.19
Goals / game
1.06
0.44
Conceded / game
0.94
23%
BTTS %
38%
60%
Clean sheet %
45%
20%
Over 2.5 %
41%
4.0
Avg corners
4.1
10.7
Avg shots
12.3
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.1
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.4
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.8%
Avg possession
52.7%
Home vs Away
Alvarado
Home (8)
—
Sarmiento de La Banda
Away (8)
2.50
PPG
1.00
75%
Win %
25%
2.00
Goals / game
0.75
0.13
Conceded / game
1.50
33%
BTTS %
53%
67%
Clean sheet %
20%
27%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.0
Avg corners
4.1
10.7
Avg shots
12.3
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.1
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.4
49.8%
Avg possession
52.7%
Goals Scored
| Alvarado | Home | Away | Sarmiento de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 87% | 40% | 69% | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 47% | 27% | 24% | 36% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% | 21% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 13% | 60% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Alvarado | Home | Away | Sarmiento de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 47% | 55% | 29% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 13% | 20% | 34% | 21% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 7% | 47% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 67% | 53% | 45% | 71% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alvarado | Sarmiento de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 53% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 14% |
| BTTS | 23% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 3% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 24% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alvarado | Sarmiento de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 34% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 28% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 40% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Alvarado (H)L
Sportivo Las Parejas1–2
Sportivo Las Parejas1–2D
Cipolletti0–0
Cipolletti0–0W
Defensores de Belgrano VR2–0
Defensores de Belgrano VR2–0D
Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–1W
Atenas3–2
Atenas3–2D
Argentino Monte Maíz1–1
Argentino Monte Maíz1–1Sarmiento de (A)LAtenas2–4
Atenas2–4D
Sportivo Belgrano1–1
Sportivo Belgrano1–1L
San Martin Formosa0–3
San Martin Formosa0–3L
Gimnasia Chivilcoy0–1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy0–1L
Douglas Haig1–3
Douglas Haig1–3D
Bartolomé Mitre1–1
Bartolomé Mitre1–1Number of Corners
8.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
8.4
94 games
8.0
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Alvarado | Sarmiento de | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 43% | 68% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 43% | 57% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 43% | 44% |
| Over 9 | 22% | 43% | 36% |
| Over 10 | 11% | 43% | 26% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 29% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 29% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Alvarado | Sarmiento de |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 22% | 29% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 31 |
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +7 | 31 |
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 30 |
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +4 | 25 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 26 |
| 2 | Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +5 | 27 |
| 3 |  Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 26 |
| 3 |  Sol de América | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 26 |
| 3 | Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 23 |
| 4 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 25 |
| 4 |  Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 |  Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 23 |
| 5 |  9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 25 |
| 5 |  Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +8 | 25 |
| 5 |  Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 5 |  Germinal de Rawson | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 18 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 19 |
| 6 |  Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 22 |
| 7 |  San Martín Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 |  Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 8 |  Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 9 |  El Linqueño | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 |  Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -11 | 15 |
| 9 |  Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 |  Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 17 |
Team Insights
Alvarado- ●Alvarado have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Alvarado have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Alvarado have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●71% of Alvarado's goals have been scored at home.
Sarmiento de- ●Sarmiento de La Banda have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento de La Banda failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Sarmiento de La Banda have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento de La Banda failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●62% of Sarmiento de La Banda's goals have been scored at home.
- ●74% of Sarmiento de La Banda's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
AlvaradoLHSportivo Las Parejas1–2
Sportivo Las Parejas1–2WASportivo Las Parejas1–0
Sportivo Las Parejas1–0DHCipolletti0–0
Cipolletti0–0LACipolletti0–1
Cipolletti0–1WHDefensores de Belgrano VR2–0
Defensores de Belgrano VR2–0DADefensores de Belgrano VR2–2
Defensores de Belgrano VR2–2–ASarmiento de La Banda08/11
Sarmiento de La Banda08/11–HSarmiento de La Banda15/11
Sarmiento de La Banda15/11Sarmiento deLAAtenas2–4
Atenas2–4WHAtenas3–0
Atenas3–0DHSportivo Belgrano0–0
Sportivo Belgrano0–0DASportivo Belgrano1–1
Sportivo Belgrano1–1LHDefensores de Belgrano VR0–2
Defensores de Belgrano VR0–2LASan Martin Formosa0–3
San Martin Formosa0–3–HAlvarado08/11
Alvarado08/11–AAlvarado15/11
Alvarado15/11Top Scorers
AlvaradoS. Gutierrez6 ⚽
G. Cervera6 ⚽
F. Centurion2 ⚽
G. Sosa2 ⚽
German Sosa2 ⚽
Germán Cervera2 ⚽
Sarmiento deI. Roldan7 ⚽
4 ⚽
G. Guzman3 ⚽
Israel Roldan2 ⚽
I. Garzon2 ⚽
E. Gutierrez2 ⚽
Cards Given
Alvarado40 🟨
F. Centurion3 🟨
G. Sosa2 🟨
T. Berra2 🟨
T. Fernandez2 🟨
M. Mansilla1 🟨
Sarmiento de48 🟨
M. Sanchez Arriola3 🟨
G. Guzman2 🟨
A. Ochoa2 🟨
I. Roldan2 🟨
A. Tevez2 🟨