Sarmiento de La Banda vs Alvarado — Torneo Federal A
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Sarmiento de La Banda and Alvarado meet in the Torneo Federal A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Sarmiento de La Banda have recorded 9 wins from 29 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.03 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Alvarado have won 43% of their 30 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 23%, Over 2.5 at 20%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Sarmiento de La Banda and 0.72 for Alvarado. The models give Sarmiento de La Banda a 47% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Alvarado win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 35%.
Season Statistics
Sarmiento de La Banda—
Alvarado4º
Position
2º
1.56
PPG
1.69
44%
Win %
44%
1.06
Goals / game
1.19
0.94
Conceded / game
0.44
38%
BTTS %
23%
45%
Clean sheet %
60%
41%
Over 2.5 %
20%
4.1
Avg corners
4.0
12.3
Avg shots
10.7
5.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
52.7%
Avg possession
49.8%
Home vs Away
Sarmiento de La Banda
Home (8)
—
Alvarado
Away (8)
2.13
PPG
0.88
63%
Win %
13%
1.38
Goals / game
0.38
0.38
Conceded / game
0.75
21%
BTTS %
13%
71%
Clean sheet %
53%
36%
Over 2.5 %
13%
4.1
Avg corners
4.0
12.3
Avg shots
10.7
5.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
52.7%
Avg possession
49.8%
Goals Scored
| Sarmiento de | Home | Away | Alvarado | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 71% | 67% | 63% | 87% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 36% | 13% | 37% | 47% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 21% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 29% | 33% | 37% | 13% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Sarmiento de | Home | Away | Alvarado | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 29% | 80% | 40% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 21% | 47% | 17% | 13% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 7% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 71% | 20% | 60% | 67% | 53% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sarmiento de | Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 7% |
| BTTS | 38% | 23% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 3% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 13% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sarmiento de | Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 28% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Sarmiento de (H)W
Atenas3–0
Atenas3–0D
Sportivo Belgrano0–0
Sportivo Belgrano0–0L
Defensores de Belgrano VR0–2
Defensores de Belgrano VR0–2L
9 de Julio Rafaela1–4
9 de Julio Rafaela1–4WSportivo Belgrano3–0
Sportivo Belgrano3–0D
Sol de América0–0
Sol de América0–0Alvarado (A)W
Sportivo Las Parejas1–0
Sportivo Las Parejas1–0L
Cipolletti0–1
Cipolletti0–1DDefensores de Belgrano VR2–2
Defensores de Belgrano VR2–2LCipolletti0–1
Cipolletti0–1W
Kimberley Mar del Plata2–0
Kimberley Mar del Plata2–0D
Villa Mitre0–0
Villa Mitre0–0Number of Corners
8.0
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
8.4
94 games
8.0
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Sarmiento de | Alvarado | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 43% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 7 | 43% | 56% | 57% |
| Over 8 | 43% | 33% | 44% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 22% | 36% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 11% | 26% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 11% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 11% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 0% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sarmiento de | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 43% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 43% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 57% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 22% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 31 |
| 1 |  Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +7 | 31 |
| 1 |  San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 30 |
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +4 | 25 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 26 |
| 2 |  Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 3 |  Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +5 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de América | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 26 |
| 3 | Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 23 |
| 4 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 25 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 |  Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 23 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 25 |
| 5 |  Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +8 | 25 |
| 5 |  Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 5 |  Germinal de Rawson | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 18 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 19 |
| 6 |  Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 22 |
| 7 |  San Martín Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 |  Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 8 |  Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 9 |  El Linqueño | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 |  Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -11 | 15 |
| 9 |  Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 |  Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 17 |
Team Insights
Sarmiento de- ●Sarmiento de La Banda have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento de La Banda failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Sarmiento de La Banda have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento de La Banda failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●62% of Sarmiento de La Banda's goals have been scored at home.
- ●74% of Sarmiento de La Banda's goals conceded were conceded away.
Alvarado- ●Alvarado have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Alvarado have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Alvarado have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●71% of Alvarado's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Sarmiento deLAAtenas2–4
Atenas2–4WHAtenas3–0
Atenas3–0DHSportivo Belgrano0–0
Sportivo Belgrano0–0DASportivo Belgrano1–1
Sportivo Belgrano1–1LHDefensores de Belgrano VR0–2
Defensores de Belgrano VR0–2LASan Martin Formosa0–3
San Martin Formosa0–3–HAlvarado08/11
Alvarado08/11–AAlvarado15/11
Alvarado15/11AlvaradoLHSportivo Las Parejas1–2
Sportivo Las Parejas1–2WASportivo Las Parejas1–0
Sportivo Las Parejas1–0DHCipolletti0–0
Cipolletti0–0LACipolletti0–1
Cipolletti0–1WHDefensores de Belgrano VR2–0
Defensores de Belgrano VR2–0DADefensores de Belgrano VR2–2
Defensores de Belgrano VR2–2–ASarmiento de La Banda08/11
Sarmiento de La Banda08/11–HSarmiento de La Banda15/11
Sarmiento de La Banda15/11Top Scorers
Sarmiento deI. Roldan7 ⚽
4 ⚽
G. Guzman3 ⚽
Israel Roldan2 ⚽
I. Garzon2 ⚽
E. Gutierrez2 ⚽
AlvaradoS. Gutierrez6 ⚽
G. Cervera6 ⚽
F. Centurion2 ⚽
G. Sosa2 ⚽
German Sosa2 ⚽
Germán Cervera2 ⚽
Cards Given
Sarmiento de48 🟨
M. Sanchez Arriola3 🟨
G. Guzman2 🟨
A. Ochoa2 🟨
I. Roldan2 🟨
A. Tevez2 🟨
Alvarado40 🟨
F. Centurion3 🟨
G. Sosa2 🟨
T. Berra2 🟨
T. Fernandez2 🟨
M. Mansilla1 🟨