United States · USL League One · Semi-finals

Charlotte Independence

1º · 2.13 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 0h

–

Forward Madison

3º · 1.77 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 9d 0h

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Charlotte Independence and Forward Madison meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 9 November 2026. Charlotte Independence have recorded 25 wins from 41 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 2.29 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Forward Madison have won 46% of their 39 matches, with 1.59 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 28%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.96 for Charlotte Independence and 1.19 for Forward Madison. The models give Charlotte Independence a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Forward Madison win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 60%.

Season Statistics

Charlotte Independence

—

Forward Madison

1º

Position

3º

2.13

PPG

1.77

65%

Win %

52%

2.35

Goals / game

1.74

1.35

Conceded / game

0.97

73%

BTTS %

51%

20%

Clean sheet %

28%

73%

Over 2.5 %

46%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Charlotte Independence

Home (16)

—

Forward Madison

Away (16)

2.69

PPG

1.44

88%

Win %

44%

2.81

Goals / game

1.19

Conceded / game

1.19

68%

BTTS %

45%

32%

Clean sheet %

25%

73%

Over 2.5 %

45%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Charlotte Independence	Home	Away	Forward Madison	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	93%	100%	84%	72%	84%	60%
Over 1.5 Scored	66%	77%	53%	49%	58%	40%
Over 2.5 Scored	44%	59%	26%	23%	42%	5%
Failed To Score	7%	0%	16%	28%	16%	40%

Goals Conceded

	Charlotte Independence	Home	Away	Forward Madison	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	80%	68%	95%	72%	68%	75%
Over 1.5 Conceded	39%	27%	53%	26%	11%	40%
Over 2.5 Conceded	20%	18%	21%	10%	5%	15%
Clean Sheets	20%	32%	5%	28%	32%	25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Charlotte Independence	Forward Madison
Over 0.5	100%	92%
Over 1.5	93%	74%
Over 2.5	73%	46%
Over 3.5	56%	28%
Over 4.5	37%	13%
BTTS	73%	51%
BTTS & Win	41%	26%
BTTS & Draw	20%	15%
BTTS & Over 2.5	59%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	15%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Charlotte Independence	Forward Madison
Win 1st Half	54%	46%
Draw 1st Half	37%	31%
Loss 1st Half	10%	23%
Scored 1st Half	76%	56%
Conceded 1st Half	44%	41%
Win 2nd Half	41%	31%
Draw 2nd Half	27%	46%
Loss 2nd Half	32%	23%
Scored 2nd Half	63%	49%
Conceded 2nd Half	61%	46%
Over 0.5 HT	85%	77%
Over 1.5 HT	56%	38%

Recent Venue Form

Charlotte Independence (H)

Naples5–1

NY Cosmos3–0

Fort Wayne1–1

Westchester SC5–4

Portland Hearts of Pine3–2

Alta5–0

Forward Madison (A)

Westchester SC2–3

Fort Wayne0–0

Chattanooga Red Wolves0–1

Corpus Christi2–0

Richmond Kickers2–1

Portland Hearts of Pine2–1

Head to Head · 14 matches

Charlotte Independence

29%

Draws

43%

Forward Madison

29%

79%

Over 1.5

11/14

43%

Over 2.5

6/14

21%

Over 3.5

3/14

64%

BTTS

9/14

23/08/26

Forward Madison

1–1

Charlotte Independence

23/05/26

Charlotte Independence

3–1

Forward Madison

17/07/25

Forward Madison

1–1

Charlotte Independence

11/04/25

Charlotte Independence

1–1

Forward Madison

02/11/24

Forward Madison

2–0

Charlotte Independence

04/10/24

Charlotte Independence

2–4

Forward Madison

11/09/24

Forward Madison

2–1

Charlotte Independence

15/08/24

Forward Madison

0–0

Charlotte Independence

11/05/24

Charlotte Independence

1–2

Forward Madison

23/09/23

Charlotte Independence

2–0

Forward Madison

29/04/23

Forward Madison

0–0

Charlotte Independence

05/08/22

Charlotte Independence

0–0

Forward Madison

26/06/22

Charlotte Independence

6–2

Forward Madison

22/05/22

Forward Madison

1–2

Charlotte Independence

USL League One

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	32	20	6	6	+28	66
2	Union Omaha	32	19	5	8	+20	62
3	Boise	32	17	7	8	+10	58
4	Forward Madison	32	16	8	8	+24	56
5	Spokane Velocity	32	16	6	10	+6	54
6	One Knoxville	32	15	9	8	+16	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	32	14	5	13	+6	47
8	Naples	32	14	4	14	-7	46
9	Fort Wayne	32	12	9	11	+5	45
10	Westchester SC	32	11	7	14	+4	40
11	Sarasota Paradise	32	11	7	14	-2	40
12	Corpus Christi	32	9	10	13	-15	37
13	Alta	32	8	10	14	-8	34
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	32	8	10	14	-10	34
15	Greenville Triumph	32	8	6	18	-23	30
16	NY Cosmos	32	7	6	19	-26	27
17	Richmond Kickers	32	7	5	20	-28	26
18	Tormenta	0	0	0	0	0	0

Team Insights

Charlotte Independence

●Charlotte Independence have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
●Charlotte Independence have won their last 2 home matches.
●Charlotte Independence have scored in each of their last 17 home matches.
●Charlotte Independence have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Charlotte Independence have scored in 17 of their 17 home matches.
●Charlotte Independence failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
●Charlotte Independence have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
●Charlotte Independence have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
●63% of Charlotte Independence's goals have been scored at home.
●Charlotte Independence have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.

Forward Madison

●Forward Madison have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
●Forward Madison have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
●Forward Madison have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
●Forward Madison failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
●Forward Madison have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
●66% of Forward Madison's goals have been scored at home.
●Forward Madison have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.

Charlotte Independence

WHNaples9º5–1

WHNaples8º5–1

LAPortland Hearts of Pine14º1–4

WAGreenville Triumph15º3–0

WHNY Cosmos16º3–0

WASarasota Paradise11º3–2

Forward Madison

WHSpokane Velocity5º2–1

DHUnion Omaha2º0–0

WHPortland Hearts of Pine14º2–0

LAWestchester SC10º2–3

DAFort Wayne8º0–0

DAFort Wayne9º0–0

Season Schedule

Charlotte Independence

Naples5–1

Portland Hearts of Pine1–4

Greenville Triumph3–0

NY Cosmos3–0

Sarasota Paradise3–2

Fort Wayne1–1

–H

Forward Madison09/11

Forward Madison

Spokane Velocity2–1

Union Omaha0–0

Portland Hearts of Pine2–0

Westchester SC2–3

Fort Wayne0–0

Spokane Velocity0–1

–A

Charlotte Independence09/11

Top Scorers

Charlotte Independence

S. Marou21 ⚽

L. Alvarez10 ⚽

J. Bakero9 ⚽

J. Skinner7 ⚽

E. Martinez6 ⚽

Stefano Pinho6 ⚽

Forward Madison

R. Carmichael16 ⚽

H. Karamoko8 ⚽

J. Bolma7 ⚽

S. Gyamfi6 ⚽

R. Torres4 ⚽

K. Toure4 ⚽

Cards Given

Charlotte Independence

R. Manin12 🟨

J. Romero10 🟨

S. Coulibaly9 🟨

J. Amaya7 🟨

C. Jaime6 🟨

J. Skinner5 🟨

Forward Madison

R. Torres17 🟨

K. Toure11 🟨

A. Edwards10 🟨

E. Munjoma8 🟨

M. Glaeser8 🟨

G. Kanyane7 🟨

Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison — USL League One

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Head to Head · 14 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given