Durango vs Leones Negros UDG — Liga de Expansión MX
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Estadio Francisco Zarco·Durango·Mexico·18,000
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Durango and Leones Negros UDG meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Durango have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Leones Negros UDG have won 56% of their 16 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Durango and 1.66 for Leones Negros UDG. The models give Durango a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leones Negros UDG win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Durango—
Leones Negros UDG6º
Position
5º
2.00
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
67%
0.67
Goals / game
2.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.67
33%
BTTS %
69%
47%
Clean sheet %
19%
40%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Durango
Home (1)
—
Leones Negros UDG
Away (2)
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
0.00
Goals / game
3.00
3.00
Conceded / game
1.00
57%
BTTS %
63%
29%
Clean sheet %
25%
71%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Durango | Home | Away | Leones Negros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 86% | 50% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 57% | 13% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 43% | 0% | 31% | 38% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 14% | 50% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Durango | Home | Away | Leones Negros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 71% | 38% | 81% | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 43% | 25% | 44% | 63% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 38% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 29% | 63% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Durango | Leones Negros | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS | 33% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Durango | Leones Negros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 19% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
Durango (H)W
Monarcas3–1
Monarcas3–1W
Tapatío5–0
Tapatío5–0W
Mineros de Zacatecas4–2
Mineros de Zacatecas4–2W
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–0D
Tlaxcala1–1
Tlaxcala1–1LLeones Negros UDG1–2
Leones Negros UDG1–2Leones Negros (A)WMineros de Zacatecas2–0
Mineros de Zacatecas2–0D
Venados FC1–1
Venados FC1–1WCruz Azul Hidalgo2–1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–1LMonarcas0–2
Monarcas0–2WTapatío3–1
Tapatío3–1WDurango2–1
Durango2–1Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Durango
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Leones Negros
67%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
23/08/26Leones Negros UDG
Durango
1–2Leones Negros UDG08/02/23Durango
Leones Negros UDG
1–0Durango18/08/22Leones Negros UDG
Durango
1–0Leones Negros UDG| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 |  Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 | Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Dorados | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | -33 | 7 |
Team Insights
Durango- ●Durango have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Durango have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Durango have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Durango failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Durango have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Durango have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Durango have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●76% of Durango's goals have been scored at home.
Leones Negros- ●Leones Negros UDG have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have won 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●63% of Leones Negros UDG's points have been earned away.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
DurangoWHMonarcas3–1
Monarcas3–1LAVenados FC2–3
Venados FC2–3WHTapatío5–0
Tapatío5–0DACDS Tampico Madero0–0
CDS Tampico Madero0–0WHMineros de Zacatecas4–2
Mineros de Zacatecas4–2WADorados1–0
Dorados1–0–HLeones Negros UDG06/11
Leones Negros UDG06/11–ALeones Negros UDG08/11
Leones Negros UDG08/11Leones NegrosWHTepatitlán3–1
Tepatitlán3–1WAMineros de Zacatecas2–0
Mineros de Zacatecas2–0LHAlebrijes de Oaxaca1–2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca1–2DAVenados FC1–1
Venados FC1–1WHDorados6–3
Dorados6–3WACruz Azul Hidalgo2–1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–1–ADurango06/11
Durango06/11–HDurango08/11
Durango08/11Top Scorers
DurangoJ. I. Reyes Olguin4 ⚽
J. Angulo3 ⚽
J. Munoz2 ⚽
L. Gutierrez2 ⚽
A. Escoboza2 ⚽
E. Cantu2 ⚽
Leones NegrosO. Gil6 ⚽
L. Razo6 ⚽
S. A. Hernandez4 ⚽
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago3 ⚽
J. Brigido3 ⚽
J. Marchand3 ⚽
Cards Given
DurangoL. Gutierrez4 🟨
J. Munoz4 🟨
A. Garcia4 🟨
J. Gonzalez4 🟨
J. Angulo3 🟨
E. Cantu3 🟨
Leones NegrosJ. Aguayo8 🟨
J. Escalante8 🟨
U. Torres7 🟨
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago5 🟨
O. Gonzalez4 🟨
J. Marchand3 🟨