Forge vs Atlético Ottawa — Canadian Premier League
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Forge and Atlético Ottawa meet in the Canadian Premier League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Forge have recorded 20 wins from 37 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.68 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Atlético Ottawa have won 41% of their 34 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.07 for Forge and 1.04 for Atlético Ottawa. The models give Forge a 60% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Atlético Ottawa win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Forge—
Atlético Ottawa2º
Position
3º
2.07
PPG
1.54
61%
Win %
46%
1.75
Goals / game
1.50
0.79
Conceded / game
1.61
54%
BTTS %
65%
41%
Clean sheet %
18%
46%
Over 2.5 %
71%
5.9
Avg corners
3.9
13.9
Avg shots
8.3
4.7
Avg shots on target
3.2
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
13.1
Avg fouls
11.0
45.8%
Avg possession
53.5%
Home vs Away
Forge
Home (14)
—
Atlético Ottawa
Away (14)
2.36
PPG
1.14
71%
Win %
36%
2.00
Goals / game
1.21
0.64
Conceded / game
1.86
28%
BTTS %
65%
67%
Clean sheet %
18%
44%
Over 2.5 %
76%
5.9
Avg corners
3.9
13.9
Avg shots
8.3
4.7
Avg shots on target
3.2
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
45.8%
Avg possession
53.5%
Goals Scored
| Forge | Home | Away | Atlético Ottawa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 83% | 89% | 79% | 76% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 56% | 32% | 41% | 53% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 39% | 16% | 21% | 29% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 17% | 11% | 21% | 24% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Forge | Home | Away | Atlético Ottawa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 33% | 84% | 82% | 82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 17% | 21% | 59% | 53% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 6% | 5% | 29% | 18% | 41% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 67% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Forge | Atlético Ottawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 18% |
| BTTS | 54% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Forge | Atlético Ottawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 26% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 24% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 49% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 19% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Forge (H)W
York United5–0
York United5–0W
Pacific FC3–0
Pacific FC3–0D
HFX Wanderers FC3–3
HFX Wanderers FC3–3W
Supra du Quebec1–0
Supra du Quebec1–0WAtlético Ottawa3–0
Atlético Ottawa3–0DYork United1–1
York United1–1Atlético Ottawa (A)LYork United1–2
York United1–2WPacific FC2–0
Pacific FC2–0WHFX Wanderers FC1–0
HFX Wanderers FC1–0LForge0–3
Forge0–3L
Cavalry FC1–3
Cavalry FC1–3WSupra du Quebec2–1
Supra du Quebec2–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
19 games
League Avg
9.4
66 games
9.1
Corners / Match
20 games
| Match Corners | Forge | Atlético Ottawa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 75% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 60% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 47% | 40% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 26% | 30% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 26% | 25% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 16% | 15% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 5% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Forge | Atlético Ottawa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.6 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 68% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 47% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 26% | 60% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
16
Forge
52%
8
Draws
26%
7
Atlético Ottawa
23%
77%
Over 1.5
24/31
42%
Over 2.5
13/31
19%
Over 3.5
6/31
35%
BTTS
11/31
01/11/26Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2–2Forge17/10/26Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1–2Forge12/09/26Atlético Ottawa
Forge
3–0Atlético Ottawa24/05/26Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2–1Forge04/04/26Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2–0Atlético Ottawa26/10/25Atlético Ottawa
Forge
1–2Atlético Ottawa21/09/25Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1–1Forge17/08/25Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2–0Atlético Ottawa12/07/25Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1–1Forge13/05/25Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2–2Atlético Ottawa02/11/24Atlético Ottawa
Forge
1–0Atlético Ottawa12/10/24Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0–2Atlético Ottawa10/08/24Atlético Ottawa
Forge
3–0Atlético Ottawa28/06/24Forge
Atlético Ottawa
4–3Forge25/05/24Forge
Atlético Ottawa
3–0Forge07/10/23Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0–1Atlético Ottawa26/08/23Forge
Atlético Ottawa
0–0Forge25/06/23Atlético Ottawa
Forge
4–3Atlético Ottawa27/05/23Forge
Atlético Ottawa
0–1Forge09/05/23Atlético Ottawa
Forge
1–1Atlético Ottawa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | +35 | 60 |
| 2 | Forge | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | +27 | 58 |
| 3 | Atlético Ottawa | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 43 |
| 4 | Supra du Quebec | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | -3 | 38 |
| 5 |  Vancouver FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 37 |
| 6 | York United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -23 | 30 |
| 7 | HFX Wanderers FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -6 | 28 |
| 8 | Pacific FC | 28 | 2 | 9 | 17 | -29 | 15 |
Team Insights
Forge- ●Forge have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Forge have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Forge have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Forge have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Forge have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Forge have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Forge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Forge have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Forge have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Forge have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Forge failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Forge have won 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Forge have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
Atlético Ottawa- ●Atlético Ottawa have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
ForgeDAAtlético Ottawa2–2
Atlético Ottawa2–2DAPacific FC1–1
Pacific FC1–1WAAtlético Ottawa2–1
Atlético Ottawa2–1WHYork United5–0
York United5–0WHPacific FC3–0
Pacific FC3–0DHHFX Wanderers FC3–3
HFX Wanderers FC3–3–HAtlético Ottawa07/11
Atlético Ottawa07/11Atlético OttawaDHForge2–2
Forge2–2LAYork United1–2
York United1–2LHForge1–2
Forge1–2WAPacific FC2–0
Pacific FC2–0WHCavalry FC3–2
Cavalry FC3–2WAHFX Wanderers FC1–0
HFX Wanderers FC1–0–AForge07/11
Forge07/11Top Scorers
ForgeB. Wright7 ⚽
A. Batisse6 ⚽
T. Borges5 ⚽
D. Nimick5 ⚽
I. Oketokoun4 ⚽
B. Paton4 ⚽
Atlético OttawaB. Tabla14 ⚽
N. Fleuriau Chateau8 ⚽
E. Garcia6 ⚽
G. Antinoro3 ⚽
J. Assi3 ⚽
Ballou Tabla2 ⚽
Cards Given
ForgeA. Aromatario6 🟨
Rezart Rama6 🟨
A. Batisse6 🟨
D. Nimick6 🟨
Anthony Aromatario5 🟨
M. Jevremovic4 🟨
Atlético OttawaManny Aparicio4 🟨
Sergei Kozlovskiy4 🟨
E. Garcia4 🟨
M. Aparicio4 🟨
S. Kozlovskiy4 🟨
D. Aguilar3 🟨