Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC — K League 1
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Sungui Arena Park·Incheon·South Korea·20,891
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Incheon United and Ulsan Hyundai FC meet in the K League 1 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Incheon United have recorded 13 wins from 38 matches this season (34% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Ulsan Hyundai FC have won 46% of their 37 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Incheon United and 1.46 for Ulsan Hyundai FC. The models give Incheon United a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ulsan Hyundai FC win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Incheon United—
Ulsan Hyundai FC6º
Position
4º
1.38
PPG
1.55
38%
Win %
45%
1.33
Goals / game
1.50
1.14
Conceded / game
1.45
53%
BTTS %
70%
26%
Clean sheet %
16%
45%
Over 2.5 %
65%
4.2
Avg corners
4.3
10.9
Avg shots
11.4
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.4
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
9.8
Avg fouls
12.2
53.3%
Avg possession
49.3%
Home vs Away
Incheon United
Home (11)
—
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Away (10)
1.18
PPG
1.80
36%
Win %
50%
1.09
Goals / game
1.50
1.09
Conceded / game
1.20
56%
BTTS %
61%
22%
Clean sheet %
17%
44%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.2
Avg corners
4.3
10.9
Avg shots
11.4
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.4
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
53.3%
Avg possession
49.3%
Goals Scored
| Incheon United | Home | Away | Ulsan Hyundai | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 78% | 70% | 81% | 89% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 28% | 30% | 54% | 58% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 22% | 30% | 19% | 11% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| Incheon United | Home | Away | Ulsan Hyundai | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 78% | 70% | 84% | 84% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 17% | 30% | 35% | 32% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 22% | 30% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Incheon United | Ulsan Hyundai | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 16% |
| BTTS | 53% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Incheon United | Ulsan Hyundai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 51% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 49% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Incheon United (H)W
Jeju United FC3–1
Jeju United FC3–1W
Pohang Steelers3–0
Pohang Steelers3–0D
Daejeon Citizen1–1
Daejeon Citizen1–1W
Bucheon FC 19952–1
Bucheon FC 19952–1D
Jeonbuk Motors1–1
Jeonbuk Motors1–1D
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1Ulsan Hyundai (A)L
Gwangju FC3–4
Gwangju FC3–4L
FC Anyang1–2
FC Anyang1–2DJeju United FC0–0
Jeju United FC0–0LDaejeon Citizen1–2
Daejeon Citizen1–2LJeonbuk Motors0–1
Jeonbuk Motors0–1WPohang Steelers2–0
Pohang Steelers2–0Number of Corners
7.8
Corners / Match
19 games
League Avg
8.4
109 games
8.4
Corners / Match
18 games
| Match Corners | Incheon United | Ulsan Hyundai | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 68% | 61% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 53% | 56% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 32% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 9 | 16% | 39% | 31% |
| Over 10 | 11% | 28% | 17% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 22% | 13% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 17% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 5% | 17% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Incheon United | Ulsan Hyundai |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 74% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 68% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 32% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 26% | 33% |
Head to Head · 30 matches
6
Incheon United
20%
10
Draws
33%
14
Ulsan Hyundai
47%
70%
Over 1.5
21/30
60%
Over 2.5
18/30
33%
Over 3.5
10/30
60%
BTTS
18/30
12/09/26Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2–1Incheon United21/07/26Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1–2Incheon United11/04/26Ulsan Hyundai FC
Incheon United
1–2Ulsan Hyundai FC14/05/25Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3–0Incheon United22/09/24Ulsan Hyundai FC
Incheon United
0–0Ulsan Hyundai FC17/07/24Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1–0Incheon United29/05/24Ulsan Hyundai FC
Incheon United
1–1Ulsan Hyundai FC17/03/24Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3–3Incheon United24/11/23Ulsan Hyundai FC
Incheon United
3–1Ulsan Hyundai FC08/10/23Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–0Incheon United12/07/23Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1–2Incheon United25/04/23Ulsan Hyundai FC
Incheon United
0–1Ulsan Hyundai FC01/10/22Ulsan Hyundai FC
Incheon United
0–3Ulsan Hyundai FC14/09/22Ulsan Hyundai FC
Incheon United
0–0Ulsan Hyundai FC14/05/22Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2–2Incheon United02/04/22Ulsan Hyundai FC
Incheon United
1–1Ulsan Hyundai FC29/08/21Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3–2Incheon United25/04/21Ulsan Hyundai FC
Incheon United
0–0Ulsan Hyundai FC09/03/21Incheon United
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3–1Incheon United20/09/20Ulsan Hyundai FC
Incheon United
0–1Ulsan Hyundai FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Seoul | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | +31 | 67 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 | 54 |
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +12 | 50 |
| 4 | Incheon United | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | +9 | 49 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | +10 | 49 |
| 6 |  Gangwon FC | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | +9 | 48 |
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +2 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | -7 | 46 |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -9 | 43 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 34 | 5 | 20 | 9 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
Incheon United- ●Incheon United have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Incheon United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Incheon United failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have won 6 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Incheon United have scored in 13 of their 17 away matches.
Ulsan Hyundai- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC have scored in 16 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Ulsan Hyundai FC have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
Incheon UnitedWAFC Seoul1–0
FC Seoul1–0WHJeju United FC3–1
Jeju United FC3–1DAGangwon FC1–1
Gangwon FC1–1WHPohang Steelers3–0
Pohang Steelers3–0DAGangwon FC0–0
Gangwon FC0–0DHDaejeon Citizen1–1
Daejeon Citizen1–1–ADaejeon Citizen08/11
Daejeon Citizen08/11–HUlsan Hyundai FC21/11
Ulsan Hyundai FC21/11–HGangwon FC29/11
Gangwon FC29/11Ulsan HyundaiWHGangwon FC2–1
Gangwon FC2–1DHPohang Steelers2–2
Pohang Steelers2–2WHBucheon FC 19952–1
Bucheon FC 19952–1LAGwangju FC3–4
Gwangju FC3–4LAFC Anyang1–2
FC Anyang1–2WHIncheon United2–1
Incheon United2–1–AFC Seoul08/11
FC Seoul08/11–AIncheon United21/11
Incheon United21/11–HJeonbuk Motors29/11
Jeonbuk Motors29/11Top Scorers
Incheon UnitedS. Mugosa10 ⚽
M. Ferrier6 ⚽
Gerso4 ⚽
Stefan Mugoša4 ⚽
Lee Chung-Yong3 ⚽
Lee Dong-Ryul3 ⚽
Ulsan HyundaiYago Cariello13 ⚽
Lee Dong-Gyeong9 ⚽
Marcao5 ⚽
Lee Dong-gyeong3 ⚽
Kim Young-Gwon3 ⚽
Jung Seung-Hyun3 ⚽
Cards Given
Incheon UnitedJuan Ibiza11 🟨
Myung Joo Lee4 🟨
Choi Seung-Gu4 🟨
Morgan Ferrier4 🟨
Chung-yong Lee3 🟨
Chi-in Jeong3 🟨
Ulsan HyundaiJung Seung-Hyun 3 🟨
Yago Cariello3 🟨
Jung Jae-Sang3 🟨
Dong-gyeong Lee3 🟨
Kyu-seong Lee3 🟨
Choi Seok-Hyun2 🟨