Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United — K League 1
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Daejeon World Cup Stadium·Daejeon·South Korea·41,295
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Daejeon Citizen and Incheon United meet in the K League 1 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Daejeon Citizen have recorded 17 wins from 44 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Incheon United have won 34% of their 38 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Daejeon Citizen and 1.43 for Incheon United. The models give Daejeon Citizen a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Incheon United win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Daejeon Citizen—
Incheon United9º
Position
6º
1.10
PPG
1.38
24%
Win %
38%
1.19
Goals / game
1.33
1.10
Conceded / game
1.14
55%
BTTS %
53%
25%
Clean sheet %
26%
48%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.1
Avg corners
4.2
11.7
Avg shots
10.9
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.3
10.9
Avg fouls
9.8
51.7%
Avg possession
53.3%
Home vs Away
Daejeon Citizen
Home (11)
—
Incheon United
Away (10)
0.73
PPG
1.60
9%
Win %
40%
0.82
Goals / game
1.60
1.27
Conceded / game
1.20
50%
BTTS %
50%
25%
Clean sheet %
30%
45%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.1
Avg corners
4.2
11.7
Avg shots
10.9
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.3
51.7%
Avg possession
53.3%
Goals Scored
| Daejeon Citizen | Home | Away | Incheon United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 70% | 71% | 74% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 45% | 46% | 29% | 28% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 15% | 25% | 13% | 17% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 30% | 29% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Daejeon Citizen | Home | Away | Incheon United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 74% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 40% | 29% | 24% | 17% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Daejeon Citizen | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 8% |
| BTTS | 55% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Daejeon Citizen | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 49% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 52% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Daejeon Citizen (H)L
Vissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1W
Gwangju FC3–2
Gwangju FC3–2W
Jeonbuk Motors2–1
Jeonbuk Motors2–1W
Kyoto Sanga1–0
Kyoto Sanga1–0D
Pohang Steelers2–2
Pohang Steelers2–2W
FC Anyang3–2
FC Anyang3–2Incheon United (A)W
FC Seoul1–0
FC Seoul1–0D
Gangwon FC1–1
Gangwon FC1–1DGangwon FC0–0
Gangwon FC0–0L
Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2
Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2LFC Seoul0–1
FC Seoul0–1LFC Anyang1–2
FC Anyang1–2Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
22 games
League Avg
8.4
109 games
7.8
Corners / Match
19 games
| Match Corners | Daejeon Citizen | Incheon United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 68% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 53% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 59% | 32% | 43% |
| Over 9 | 41% | 16% | 31% |
| Over 10 | 32% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 11% | 13% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 11% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 5% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Daejeon Citizen | Incheon United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 77% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 59% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 26% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
3
Daejeon Citizen
30%
3
Draws
30%
4
Incheon United
40%
80%
Over 1.5
8/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
60%
BTTS
6/10
20/09/26Daejeon Citizen
Incheon United
1–1Daejeon Citizen05/05/26Incheon United
Daejeon Citizen
0–0Incheon United18/03/26Daejeon Citizen
Incheon United
1–3Daejeon Citizen10/11/24Daejeon Citizen
Incheon United
1–2Daejeon Citizen17/08/24Incheon United
Daejeon Citizen
2–1Incheon United18/05/24Incheon United
Daejeon Citizen
0–1Incheon United30/03/24Daejeon Citizen
Incheon United
2–0Daejeon Citizen16/07/23Daejeon Citizen
Incheon United
2–0Daejeon Citizen04/06/23Incheon United
Daejeon Citizen
1–3Incheon United04/03/23Daejeon Citizen
Incheon United
3–3Daejeon Citizen| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | +31 | 67 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 | 54 |
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +12 | 50 |
| 4 | Incheon United | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | +9 | 49 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | +10 | 49 |
| 6 | Gangwon FC | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | +9 | 48 |
| 7 |  Jeju United FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +2 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | -7 | 46 |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -9 | 43 |
| 10 |  Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 34 | 5 | 20 | 9 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 |  Bucheon FC 1995 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -39 | 22 |
Team Insights
Daejeon Citizen- ●Daejeon Citizen have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Daejeon Citizen have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Daejeon Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Daejeon Citizen have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Daejeon Citizen have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Daejeon Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Daejeon Citizen have won 7 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Daejeon Citizen have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
Incheon United- ●Incheon United have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Incheon United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Incheon United failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have won 6 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Incheon United have scored in 13 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
Daejeon CitizenDAJeonbuk Motors0–0
Jeonbuk Motors0–0WAGimcheon Sangmu FC2–1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–1WHGwangju FC3–2
Gwangju FC3–2WHJeonbuk Motors2–1
Jeonbuk Motors2–1DAIncheon United1–1
Incheon United1–1DHPohang Steelers2–2
Pohang Steelers2–2–HIncheon United08/11
Incheon United08/11–AGangwon FC21/11
Gangwon FC21/11–AFC Seoul28/11
FC Seoul28/11Incheon UnitedWAFC Seoul1–0
FC Seoul1–0WHJeju United FC3–1
Jeju United FC3–1DAGangwon FC1–1
Gangwon FC1–1WHPohang Steelers3–0
Pohang Steelers3–0DAGangwon FC0–0
Gangwon FC0–0DHDaejeon Citizen1–1
Daejeon Citizen1–1–ADaejeon Citizen08/11
Daejeon Citizen08/11–HUlsan Hyundai FC21/11
Ulsan Hyundai FC21/11–HGangwon FC29/11
Gangwon FC29/11Top Scorers
Daejeon CitizenDiogo Oliveira10 ⚽
Jeong Jae-Hee7 ⚽
Joo Min-Kyu7 ⚽
Seo Jin-Su5 ⚽
M. Ishida4 ⚽
G. Ludwigson4 ⚽
Incheon UnitedS. Mugosa10 ⚽
M. Ferrier6 ⚽
Gerso4 ⚽
Stefan Mugoša4 ⚽
Lee Chung-Yong3 ⚽
Lee Dong-Ryul3 ⚽
Cards Given
Daejeon CitizenKim Bong-Soo5 🟨
Jo Seong-Kwon5 🟨
Anton Kryvotsiuk3 🟨
Diogo Oliveira3 🟨
Min-deok Kim3 🟨
Victor Bobsin3 🟨
Incheon UnitedJuan Ibiza11 🟨
Myung Joo Lee4 🟨
Choi Seung-Gu4 🟨
Morgan Ferrier4 🟨
Chung-yong Lee3 🟨
Chi-in Jeong3 🟨