Ilbirs vs Toktogul — Premier League
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Ilbirs and Toktogul meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Ilbirs have recorded 6 wins from 29 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Toktogul have won 32% of their 28 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Ilbirs and 1.01 for Toktogul. The models give Ilbirs a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Toktogul win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Ilbirs—
Toktogul12º
Position
11º
1.04
PPG
1.11
21%
Win %
32%
1.07
Goals / game
1.14
1.71
Conceded / game
1.64
55%
BTTS %
54%
24%
Clean sheet %
14%
41%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ilbirs
Home (14)
—
Toktogul
Away (13)
1.21
PPG
0.77
21%
Win %
23%
1.21
Goals / game
0.77
1.07
Conceded / game
1.69
60%
BTTS %
38%
20%
Clean sheet %
8%
33%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ilbirs | Home | Away | Toktogul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 73% | 71% | 64% | 80% | 46% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 27% | 21% | 36% | 47% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 13% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 27% | 29% | 36% | 20% | 54% |
Goals Conceded
| Ilbirs | Home | Away | Toktogul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 80% | 71% | 86% | 80% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 20% | 50% | 57% | 53% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 7% | 50% | 18% | 20% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 20% | 29% | 14% | 20% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ilbirs | Toktogul | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 25% |
| BTTS | 55% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 3% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 34% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ilbirs | Toktogul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Ilbirs (H)D
Kara-Balta1–1
Kara-Balta1–1L
Bars0–3
Bars0–3D
Bishkek City1–1
Bishkek City1–1W
Dordoi Bishkek3–0
Dordoi Bishkek3–0D
Asia Talas1–1
Asia Talas1–1W
OshMU Aldier4–0
OshMU Aldier4–0Toktogul (A)LBars0–3
Bars0–3L
Neftchi2–3
Neftchi2–3LAsia Talas0–2
Asia Talas0–2L
Alay0–1
Alay0–1DBishkek City1–1
Bishkek City1–1L
Ozgon1–2
Ozgon1–2Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Ilbirs
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Toktogul
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
06/03/26Ilbirs
Toktogul
3–2Ilbirs| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alga | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | +30 | 62 |
| 2 | Bars | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | +39 | 61 |
| 3 | Asia Talas | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +22 | 58 |
| 4 | Ozgon | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | +24 | 57 |
| 5 |  Muras United | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | +28 | 56 |
| 6 | Alay | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 44 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Bishkek City | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 |  Talant | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | +6 | 36 |
| 10 | Dordoi Bishkek | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | +1 | 33 |
| 11 | Toktogul | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | -14 | 31 |
| 12 | Ilbirs | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | -18 | 29 |
| 13 | OshMU Aldier | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -23 | 28 |
| 14 |  Asiagoal | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 |  Abdish-Ata | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -28 | 21 |
| 16 | Kara-Balta | 28 | 1 | 7 | 20 | -54 | 10 |
Team Insights
Ilbirs- ●Ilbirs have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Ilbirs failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ilbirs have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ilbirs failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Ilbirs failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Ilbirs have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●69% of Ilbirs's goals conceded were conceded away.
Toktogul- ●Toktogul have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Toktogul have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Toktogul have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Toktogul have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Toktogul have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Toktogul failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Toktogul have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Toktogul failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Toktogul failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Toktogul have lost 9 of their 13 away matches.
- ●69% of Toktogul's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
IlbirsLANeftchi0–3
Neftchi0–3DHKara-Balta1–1
Kara-Balta1–1LAAlga0–6
Alga0–6LHBars0–3
Bars0–3LAAbdish-Ata0–1
Abdish-Ata0–1WAAsiagoal1–0
Asiagoal1–0–HToktogul04/11
Toktogul04/11ToktogulLHDordoi Bishkek2–3
Dordoi Bishkek2–3LABars0–3
Bars0–3LANeftchi2–3
Neftchi2–3WHAbdish-Ata2–0
Abdish-Ata2–0LAAsia Talas0–2
Asia Talas0–2DHTalant1–1
Talant1–1–AIlbirs04/11
Ilbirs04/11Top Scorers
IlbirsI. Karpuk11 ⚽
A. Levkovets4 ⚽
3 ⚽
A. Isakov2 ⚽
T. Gevlych2 ⚽
D. Prytykovsky1 ⚽
ToktogulM. Akhmataliev8 ⚽
L. Eloshvili4 ⚽
S. Kvirkvelia3 ⚽
M. Stephen2 ⚽
I. Yrysbekov2 ⚽
I. Gomozov2 ⚽
Cards Given
IlbirsToktogulE. Karbasov1 🟨
N. Picus1 🟨