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Alay vs Neftchi — Premier League

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Alay
Alay
6º · 1.52 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 12d 0h
vs
–
–
Neftchi
Neftchi
8º · 1.33 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h
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Alay and Neftchi meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Alay have recorded 11 wins from 28 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Neftchi have won 39% of their 28 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 21%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Alay and 1.15 for Neftchi. The models give Alay a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Neftchi win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Alay
—
Neftchi
6º
Position
8º
1.52
PPG
1.33
41%
Win %
41%
1.26
Goals / game
1.41
1.26
Conceded / game
1.63
54%
BTTS %
57%
29%
Clean sheet %
21%
43%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Alay
Home (13)
—
Neftchi
Away (13)
1.38
PPG
1.00
31%
Win %
31%
1.00
Goals / game
1.31
0.92
Conceded / game
2.08
46%
BTTS %
54%
38%
Clean sheet %
23%
23%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

AlayHomeAwayNeftchiHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%69%73%75%73%77%
Over 1.5 Scored43%31%53%43%47%38%
Over 2.5 Scored7%0%13%21%27%15%
Failed To Score29%31%27%25%27%23%

Goals Conceded

AlayHomeAwayNeftchiHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded71%62%80%79%80%77%
Over 1.5 Conceded32%23%40%46%40%54%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%8%13%21%13%31%
Clean Sheets29%38%20%21%20%23%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AlayNeftchi
Over 0.589%96%
Over 1.579%82%
Over 2.543%57%
Over 3.521%39%
Over 4.511%21%
BTTS54%57%
BTTS & Win21%21%
BTTS & Draw18%7%
BTTS & Over 2.539%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.54%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AlayNeftchi
Win 1st Half31%26%
Draw 1st Half31%41%
Loss 1st Half38%33%
Scored 1st Half50%44%
Conceded 1st Half54%56%
Win 2nd Half35%37%
Draw 2nd Half35%26%
Loss 2nd Half31%37%
Scored 2nd Half46%52%
Conceded 2nd Half42%52%
Over 0.5 HT85%70%
Over 1.5 HT35%44%

Recent Venue Form

Alay (H)
DAlga1–1
DAbdish-Ata0–0
LMuras United0–1
DAsiagoal0–0
WTalant2–0
DOzgon2–2
Neftchi (A)
WKara-Balta2–0
LAsia Talas2–3
LBishkek City0–1
LBars0–4
LDordoi Bishkek1–5
WOshMU Aldier3–1

Head to Head · 30 matches

19
Alay
63%
6
Draws
20%
5
Neftchi
17%
77%
Over 1.5
23/30
60%
Over 2.5
18/30
37%
Over 3.5
11/30
67%
BTTS
20/30
08/03/26
Neftchi
0–2
Alay
09/11/25
Alay
4–0
Neftchi
04/03/25
Neftchi
0–2
Alay
21/11/24
Alay
2–1
Neftchi
26/05/24
Neftchi
2–4
Alay
29/04/24
Alay
1–1
Neftchi
23/10/23
Neftchi
1–1
Alay
23/06/23
Neftchi
1–2
Alay
21/04/23
Alay
2–1
Neftchi
15/10/22
Alay
2–1
Neftchi
12/05/22
Alay
0–0
Neftchi
25/04/22
Neftchi
2–3
Alay
20/10/21
Neftchi
0–1
Alay
15/09/21
Alay
2–3
Neftchi
03/08/21
Alay
2–2
Neftchi
20/04/21
Neftchi
2–3
Alay
16/09/20
Neftchi
2–4
Alay
13/08/20
Alay
0–1
Neftchi
02/11/19
Alay
3–2
Neftchi
08/09/19
Neftchi
3–1
Alay
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Bars271845+3658
2Alga271683+2656
3Ozgon261736+2354
4Muras United261583+2953
5Asia Talas271575+1952
6Alay271188041
7Bishkek City27999+136
8Neftchi2711313-636
9Talant278910+633
10Toktogul269413-1031
11Dordoi Bishkek268513029
12Ilbirs266119-1429
13OshMU Aldier277713-1928
14Asiagoal275913-1124
15Abdish-Ata263617-3015
16Kara-Balta271719-5010

Team Insights

Alay
  • ●Alay have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Alay have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Alay have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Alay have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Alay failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Alay have won 7 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Alay have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●62% of Alay's goals have been scored away.
  • ●65% of Alay's goals conceded were conceded away.
Neftchi
  • ●Neftchi have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Neftchi have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Neftchi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Neftchi failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●Neftchi have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●Neftchi have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
DHAlga2º1–1
DHAlga1º1–1
LAAsia Talas5º1–2
LAAsia Talas5º1–2
DHAbdish-Ata15º0–0
DHAbdish-Ata15º0–0
LABishkek City7º2–4
LABishkek City10º2–4
LHMuras United4º0–1
LHMuras United2º0–1
WHToktogul10º3–2
WHToktogul13º3–2
WAKara-Balta16º2–0
WAKara-Balta16º2–0
DHMuras United4º0–0
DHMuras United2º0–0
LAAsia Talas5º2–3
LAAsia Talas5º2–3
WHAsiagoal14º3–1
WHAsiagoal12º3–1

Season Schedule

Alay
DHAlga1–1
LAAsia Talas1–2
DHAbdish-Ata0–0
LABishkek City2–4
LHMuras United0–1
LABars0–6
–AKara-Balta28/10
–HNeftchi02/11
Neftchi
WHToktogul3–2
WAKara-Balta2–0
DHMuras United0–0
LAAsia Talas2–3
WHAsiagoal3–1
LABishkek City0–1
–HIlbirs28/10
–AAlay02/11

Top Scorers

Alay
N. Melnikov8 ⚽
G. Kelly5 ⚽
D. Ismoilov4 ⚽
K. Talantbek uulu2 ⚽
E. Mashirapov2 ⚽
G. Babaliev2 ⚽
Neftchi
M. Ergemlidze5 ⚽
N. Basheleishvili4 ⚽
A. Cobet4 ⚽
D. Toktosunov4 ⚽
S. Sindarov4 ⚽
M. Yusupov3 ⚽

Cards Given

Alay
S. Satikhonov1 🟨
Neftchi
S. Sindarov2 🟨
A. Baker1 🟨