Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC — Primera División
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Estadio Olímpico de la UCV·Caracas·Venezuela·23,940
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Deportivo La Guaira and Carabobo FC meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Deportivo La Guaira have recorded 14 wins from 41 matches this season (34% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Carabobo FC have won 45% of their 44 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 30%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.07 for Carabobo FC. The models give Deportivo La Guaira a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Carabobo FC win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Deportivo La Guaira—
Carabobo FC1º
Position
7º
2.08
PPG
1.46
54%
Win %
31%
1.15
Goals / game
1.77
0.46
Conceded / game
1.08
56%
BTTS %
45%
37%
Clean sheet %
43%
39%
Over 2.5 %
30%
3.5
Avg corners
4.6
8.7
Avg shots
11.7
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.3
11.8
Avg fouls
10.7
43.0%
Avg possession
40.2%
Home vs Away
Deportivo La Guaira
Home (6)
—
Carabobo FC
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.67
50%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.17
Conceded / game
1.33
48%
BTTS %
57%
43%
Clean sheet %
24%
38%
Over 2.5 %
33%
3.5
Avg corners
4.6
8.7
Avg shots
11.7
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.3
43.0%
Avg possession
40.2%
Goals Scored
| Deportivo La | Home | Away | Carabobo FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 71% | 85% | 77% | 78% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 33% | 30% | 34% | 30% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 29% | 15% | 23% | 22% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Deportivo La | Home | Away | Carabobo FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 57% | 70% | 57% | 39% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 38% | 25% | 20% | 17% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 43% | 30% | 43% | 61% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Deportivo La | Carabobo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS | 56% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Deportivo La | Carabobo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 51% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Deportivo La (H)W
Aragua FC3–0
Aragua FC3–0L
Trujillanos FC1–2
Trujillanos FC1–2L
Deportivo Tachira FC2–4
Deportivo Tachira FC2–4L
UCV0–2
UCV0–2W
Anzoátegui FC2–0
Anzoátegui FC2–0L
Estudiantes de Merida FC1–2
Estudiantes de Merida FC1–2Carabobo FC (A)WAnzoátegui FC1–0
Anzoátegui FC1–0DUCV1–1
UCV1–1W
Puerto Cabello2–0
Puerto Cabello2–0L
Rayo Zuliano3–4
Rayo Zuliano3–4D
Caracas FC1–1
Caracas FC1–1L
Monagas SC0–1
Monagas SC0–1Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
10.3
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Deportivo La | Carabobo FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 90% | — |
| Over 7 | 67% | 90% | — |
| Over 8 | 67% | 80% | — |
| Over 9 | 67% | 60% | — |
| Over 10 | 50% | 50% | — |
| Over 11 | 33% | 30% | — |
| Over 12 | 33% | 10% | — |
| Over 13 | 17% | 10% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Deportivo La | Carabobo FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 70% |
Head to Head · 37 matches
11
Deportivo La
30%
13
Draws
35%
13
Carabobo FC
35%
73%
Over 1.5
27/37
30%
Over 2.5
11/37
19%
Over 3.5
7/37
49%
BTTS
18/37
15/09/26Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1–0Deportivo La Guaira02/04/26Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1–1Carabobo FC28/09/25Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
0–0Deportivo La Guaira17/04/25Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0–0Carabobo FC10/11/24Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1–1Deportivo La Guaira03/11/24Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0–1Carabobo FC15/09/24Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
3–1Deportivo La Guaira19/03/24Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0–0Carabobo FC27/01/24Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
4–1Carabobo FC15/07/23Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1–1Carabobo FC29/04/23Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
3–2Deportivo La Guaira03/07/22Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
3–2Carabobo FC22/05/22Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
2–0Deportivo La Guaira03/10/21Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1–2Deportivo La Guaira15/08/21Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0–2Carabobo FC25/06/21Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1–1Deportivo La Guaira09/05/21Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
4–2Carabobo FC15/11/20Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
0–2Deportivo La Guaira15/10/20Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2–0Carabobo FC01/03/20Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
0–0Deportivo La Guaira| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metropolitanos FC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +18 | 51 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 44 |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | +14 | 41 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Portuguesa FC | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | +10 | 39 |
| 7 | UCV | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 39 |
| 8 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Monagas SC | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 11 |  Zamora FC | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 25 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -21 | 25 |
| 13 | Trujillanos FC | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -23 | 18 |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -24 | 17 |
Team Insights
Deportivo La- ●Deportivo La Guaira have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Deportivo La Guaira have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Deportivo La Guaira have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Deportivo La Guaira have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Deportivo La Guaira have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●61% of Deportivo La Guaira's points have been earned away.
Carabobo FC- ●Carabobo FC have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have been undefeated in their last 17 home matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Carabobo FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●67% of Carabobo FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Deportivo LaLHTrujillanos FC1–2
Trujillanos FC1–2DAPortuguesa FC0–0
Portuguesa FC0–0LHDeportivo Tachira FC2–4
Deportivo Tachira FC2–4LACarabobo FC0–1
Carabobo FC0–1LHUCV0–2
UCV0–2WHAnzoátegui FC2–0
Anzoátegui FC2–0–HMetropolitanos FC25/10
Metropolitanos FC25/10–ACarabobo FC28/10
Carabobo FC28/10–HPortuguesa FC01/11
Portuguesa FC01/11Carabobo FCDHDeportivo Tachira FC2–2
Deportivo Tachira FC2–2WAAnzoátegui FC1–0
Anzoátegui FC1–0DAUCV1–1
UCV1–1WHDeportivo La Guaira1–0
Deportivo La Guaira1–0WAPuerto Cabello2–0
Puerto Cabello2–0WHEstudiantes de Merida FC1–0
Estudiantes de Merida FC1–0–APortuguesa FC25/10
Portuguesa FC25/10–HDeportivo La Guaira28/10
Deportivo La Guaira28/10–HMetropolitanos FC01/11
Metropolitanos FC01/11Top Scorers
Deportivo LaJ. Castellanos9 ⚽
F. Londono7 ⚽
G. Ortiz5 ⚽
A. Uribe4 ⚽
C. Da Silva3 ⚽
J. Meza3 ⚽
Carabobo FCE. Tortolero10 ⚽
L. Martinez10 ⚽
E. Ramirez8 ⚽
J. Berios5 ⚽
E. Castillo4 ⚽
Eric Ramirez4 ⚽
Cards Given
Deportivo LaR. Ibarra8 🟨
F. Caceres7 🟨
G. Ortiz7 🟨
J. Meza6 🟨
C. Varela5 🟨
Guillermo Ortíz5 🟨
Carabobo FCJ. Berios6 🟨
J. Bilbao6 🟨
E. Castillo5 🟨
E. Tortolero4 🟨
E. Ramirez4 🟨
A. Bahachille4 🟨