Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira — Primera División
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Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado·Valencia·Venezuela·12,000
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Carabobo FC and Deportivo La Guaira meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Carabobo FC have recorded 20 wins from 44 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Deportivo La Guaira have won 34% of their 41 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Carabobo FC and 1.10 for Deportivo La Guaira. The models give Carabobo FC a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Deportivo La Guaira win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Carabobo FC—
Deportivo La Guaira7º
Position
1º
1.46
PPG
2.08
31%
Win %
54%
1.77
Goals / game
1.15
1.08
Conceded / game
0.46
45%
BTTS %
56%
43%
Clean sheet %
37%
30%
Over 2.5 %
39%
4.6
Avg corners
3.5
11.7
Avg shots
8.7
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.2
10.7
Avg fouls
11.8
40.2%
Avg possession
43.0%
Home vs Away
Carabobo FC
Home (7)
—
Deportivo La Guaira
Away (7)
2.14
PPG
2.14
57%
Win %
57%
2.43
Goals / game
1.29
0.86
Conceded / game
0.71
35%
BTTS %
65%
61%
Clean sheet %
30%
26%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.6
Avg corners
3.5
11.7
Avg shots
8.7
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.2
40.2%
Avg possession
43.0%
Goals Scored
| Carabobo FC | Home | Away | Deportivo La | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 78% | 76% | 78% | 71% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 33% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 29% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Carabobo FC | Home | Away | Deportivo La | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 39% | 76% | 63% | 57% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 17% | 24% | 32% | 38% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 4% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 61% | 24% | 37% | 43% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Carabobo FC | Deportivo La | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS | 45% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Carabobo FC | Deportivo La | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 34% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Carabobo FC (H)D
Mineros de Guyana1–1
Mineros de Guyana1–1D
Deportivo Tachira FC2–2
Deportivo Tachira FC2–2WDeportivo La Guaira1–0
Deportivo La Guaira1–0W
Estudiantes de Merida FC1–0
Estudiantes de Merida FC1–0D
Zamora FC0–0
Zamora FC0–0W
Metropolitanos FC1–0
Metropolitanos FC1–0Deportivo La (A)D
Portuguesa FC0–0
Portuguesa FC0–0LCarabobo FC0–1
Carabobo FC0–1D
Puerto Cabello1–1
Puerto Cabello1–1W
Rayo Zuliano4–1
Rayo Zuliano4–1W
Caracas FC2–1
Caracas FC2–1W
Monagas SC2–1
Monagas SC2–1Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
10.0
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Carabobo FC | Deportivo La | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 90% | 67% | — |
| Over 7 | 90% | 67% | — |
| Over 8 | 80% | 67% | — |
| Over 9 | 60% | 67% | — |
| Over 10 | 50% | 50% | — |
| Over 11 | 30% | 33% | — |
| Over 12 | 10% | 33% | — |
| Over 13 | 10% | 17% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Carabobo FC | Deportivo La |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.7 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 90% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 80% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 70% | 50% |
Head to Head · 37 matches
13
Carabobo FC
35%
13
Draws
35%
11
Deportivo La
30%
73%
Over 1.5
27/37
30%
Over 2.5
11/37
19%
Over 3.5
7/37
49%
BTTS
18/37
15/09/26Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1–0Deportivo La Guaira02/04/26Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1–1Carabobo FC28/09/25Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
0–0Deportivo La Guaira17/04/25Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0–0Carabobo FC10/11/24Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1–1Deportivo La Guaira03/11/24Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0–1Carabobo FC15/09/24Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
3–1Deportivo La Guaira19/03/24Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0–0Carabobo FC27/01/24Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
4–1Carabobo FC15/07/23Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1–1Carabobo FC29/04/23Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
3–2Deportivo La Guaira03/07/22Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
3–2Carabobo FC22/05/22Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
2–0Deportivo La Guaira03/10/21Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1–2Deportivo La Guaira15/08/21Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0–2Carabobo FC25/06/21Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1–1Deportivo La Guaira09/05/21Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
4–2Carabobo FC15/11/20Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
0–2Deportivo La Guaira15/10/20Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2–0Carabobo FC01/03/20Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
0–0Deportivo La Guaira| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +18 | 51 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 44 |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | +14 | 41 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 | Portuguesa FC | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | +10 | 39 |
| 7 |  UCV | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 39 |
| 8 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Monagas SC | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 11 | Zamora FC | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 25 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -21 | 25 |
| 13 |  Trujillanos FC | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Anzoátegui FC | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -24 | 17 |
Team Insights
Carabobo FC- ●Carabobo FC have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have been undefeated in their last 17 home matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Carabobo FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Carabobo FC have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●67% of Carabobo FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Deportivo La- ●Deportivo La Guaira have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Deportivo La Guaira have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Deportivo La Guaira have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Deportivo La Guaira have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Deportivo La Guaira have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●61% of Deportivo La Guaira's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Carabobo FCDHDeportivo Tachira FC2–2
Deportivo Tachira FC2–2WAAnzoátegui FC1–0
Anzoátegui FC1–0DAUCV1–1
UCV1–1WHDeportivo La Guaira1–0
Deportivo La Guaira1–0WAPuerto Cabello2–0
Puerto Cabello2–0WHEstudiantes de Merida FC1–0
Estudiantes de Merida FC1–0–APortuguesa FC25/10
Portuguesa FC25/10–HDeportivo La Guaira28/10
Deportivo La Guaira28/10–HMetropolitanos FC01/11
Metropolitanos FC01/11Deportivo LaLHTrujillanos FC1–2
Trujillanos FC1–2DAPortuguesa FC0–0
Portuguesa FC0–0LHDeportivo Tachira FC2–4
Deportivo Tachira FC2–4LACarabobo FC0–1
Carabobo FC0–1LHUCV0–2
UCV0–2WHAnzoátegui FC2–0
Anzoátegui FC2–0–HMetropolitanos FC25/10
Metropolitanos FC25/10–ACarabobo FC28/10
Carabobo FC28/10–HPortuguesa FC01/11
Portuguesa FC01/11Top Scorers
Carabobo FCE. Tortolero10 ⚽
L. Martinez10 ⚽
E. Ramirez8 ⚽
J. Berios5 ⚽
E. Castillo4 ⚽
Eric Ramirez4 ⚽
Deportivo LaJ. Castellanos9 ⚽
F. Londono7 ⚽
G. Ortiz5 ⚽
A. Uribe4 ⚽
C. Da Silva3 ⚽
J. Meza3 ⚽
Cards Given
Carabobo FCJ. Berios6 🟨
J. Bilbao6 🟨
E. Castillo5 🟨
E. Tortolero4 🟨
E. Ramirez4 🟨
A. Bahachille4 🟨
Deportivo LaR. Ibarra8 🟨
F. Caceres7 🟨
G. Ortiz7 🟨
J. Meza6 🟨
C. Varela5 🟨
Guillermo Ortíz5 🟨