Penarol vs Wanderers — Primera División
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Penarol and Wanderers meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Penarol have recorded 22 wins from 50 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Wanderers have won 34% of their 41 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Penarol and 1.14 for Wanderers. The models give Penarol a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Wanderers win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Penarol—
Wanderers4º
Position
10º
1.80
PPG
1.33
53%
Win %
40%
1.53
Goals / game
1.07
1.07
Conceded / game
1.40
52%
BTTS %
56%
34%
Clean sheet %
29%
38%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.1
Avg corners
5.3
11.8
Avg shots
5.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
2.7
3.3
Avg yellow cards
3.0
10.7
Avg fouls
0.0
46.9%
Avg possession
49.3%
Home vs Away
Penarol
Home (8)
—
Wanderers
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
0.86
38%
Win %
29%
1.63
Goals / game
1.00
1.38
Conceded / game
1.86
61%
BTTS %
57%
25%
Clean sheet %
24%
50%
Over 2.5 %
62%
4.1
Avg corners
5.3
11.8
Avg shots
5.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
2.7
3.3
Avg yellow cards
3.0
46.9%
Avg possession
49.3%
Goals Scored
| Penarol | Home | Away | Wanderers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 75% | 77% | 78% | 80% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 43% | 32% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 20% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Penarol | Home | Away | Wanderers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 75% | 55% | 71% | 65% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 18% | 18% | 46% | 30% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 15% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 25% | 45% | 29% | 35% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Penarol | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 12% |
| BTTS | 52% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Penarol | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Penarol (H)D
Progreso1–1
Progreso1–1W
Boston River2–1
Boston River2–1W
Albion FC3–1
Albion FC3–1L
Club Nacional0–1
Club Nacional0–1W
Atletico Torque1–0
Atletico Torque1–0W
Central Espanol2–1
Central Espanol2–1Wanderers (A)L
Racing Montevideo0–3
Racing Montevideo0–3D
Cerrito2–2
Cerrito2–2W
Cerro2–0
Cerro2–0D
Danubio1–1
Danubio1–1L
Deportivo Maldonado1–4
Deportivo Maldonado1–4LDeportivo Maldonado0–2
Deportivo Maldonado0–2Number of Corners
7.3
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
8.6
29 games
10.3
Corners / Match
3 games
| Match Corners | Penarol | Wanderers | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 67% | 72% |
| Over 7 | 55% | 67% | 52% |
| Over 8 | 36% | 67% | 45% |
| Over 9 | 9% | 33% | 24% |
| Over 10 | 9% | 33% | 21% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 33% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Penarol | Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.2 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 27% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 67% |
Head to Head · 34 matches
18
Penarol
53%
9
Draws
26%
7
Wanderers
21%
71%
Over 1.5
24/34
38%
Over 2.5
13/34
15%
Over 3.5
5/34
38%
BTTS
13/34
05/08/26Wanderers
Penarol
5–1Wanderers26/04/26Penarol
Wanderers
1–0Penarol19/10/25Wanderers
Penarol
3–0Wanderers22/06/25Wanderers
Penarol
2–0Wanderers19/04/25Penarol
Wanderers
1–2Penarol14/11/24Penarol
Wanderers
0–2Penarol08/06/24Penarol
Wanderers
2–0Penarol11/05/24Wanderers
Penarol
1–0Wanderers06/12/23Penarol
Wanderers
0–0Penarol24/06/23Penarol
Wanderers
0–0Penarol13/05/23Wanderers
Penarol
1–1Wanderers02/10/22Penarol
Wanderers
0–2Penarol16/07/22Penarol
Wanderers
3–3Penarol08/05/22Wanderers
Penarol
1–0Wanderers04/10/21Wanderers
Penarol
3–0Wanderers06/06/21Penarol
Wanderers
0–0Penarol21/02/21Penarol
Wanderers
0–1Penarol30/08/20Wanderers
Penarol
0–2Wanderers10/10/19Wanderers
Penarol
1–0Wanderers17/03/19Penarol
Wanderers
2–0Penarol| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 43 | 14 | 14 | +56 | 143 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 70 | 42 | 14 | 14 | +54 | 137 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | +21 | 59 |
| 4 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 70 | 32 | 22 | 16 | +27 | 118 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 29 | 23 | 19 | +13 | 110 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 70 | 30 | 16 | 24 | +18 | 106 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 71 | 28 | 18 | 25 | +2 | 102 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 71 | 26 | 19 | 26 | -6 | 97 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +3 | 46 |
| 10 | Boston River | 70 | 24 | 20 | 26 | +1 | 92 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 70 | 20 | 23 | 27 | -8 | 83 |
| 12 | Cerro | 70 | 22 | 18 | 30 | -30 | 83 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 70 | 20 | 21 | 29 | -23 | 81 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -14 | 38 |
| 15 | Danubio | 70 | 16 | 27 | 27 | -14 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 70 | 19 | 14 | 37 | -39 | 71 |
Team Insights
Penarol- ●Penarol have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Penarol have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Penarol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Penarol failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Penarol have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Penarol have won 10 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Penarol have scored in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●68% of Penarol's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Wanderers- ●Wanderers have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Wanderers have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Wanderers failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Wanderers have won 7 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Wanderers have scored in 14 of their 18 away matches.
- ●68% of Wanderers's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
PenarolDAJuventud0–0
Juventud0–0LALiverpool Montevideo0–1
Liverpool Montevideo0–1DHProgreso1–1
Progreso1–1WARacing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo1–0DAAtletico Torque1–1
Atletico Torque1–1WHBoston River2–1
Boston River2–1–HWanderers31/10
Wanderers31/10WanderersLARacing Montevideo0–3
Racing Montevideo0–3LHBoston River1–3
Boston River1–3WACerro2–0
Cerro2–0WHAlbion FC2–1
Albion FC2–1DADanubio1–1
Danubio1–1DHClub Nacional1–1
Club Nacional1–1–HProgreso25/10
Progreso25/10–APenarol31/10
Penarol31/10Top Scorers
PenarolM. Arezo14 ⚽
A. Hernandez8 ⚽
L. Umpierrez6 ⚽
L. Angulo4 ⚽
C. Jaime4 ⚽
M. Olivera4 ⚽
WanderersL. Cosentino10 ⚽
J. Zeballos5 ⚽
J. Luna4 ⚽
F. Labandeira4 ⚽
Facundo Labandeira2 ⚽
J. Alberti2 ⚽
Cards Given
PenarolEric Remedi12 🟨
L. Ferreira8 🟨
Jesús Trindade7 🟨
Lucas Ferreira6 🟨
Mauricio Lemos6 🟨
Maximiliano Olivera6 🟨
WanderersDarlin Mencía9 🟨
L. Zazpe6 🟨
6 🟨
Gonzalo Freitas5 🟨
G. Freitas5 🟨
L. N. Olivera Moreira4 🟨