Cerro vs Central Espanol — Primera División
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Cerro and Central Espanol meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Cerro have recorded 10 wins from 37 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.81 goals scored and 1.49 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Central Espanol have won 30% of their 40 matches, with 1.02 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Cerro and 1.01 for Central Espanol. The models give Cerro a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Central Espanol win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Cerro—
Central Espanol16º
Position
5º
0.67
PPG
1.60
13%
Win %
47%
0.53
Goals / game
1.53
1.60
Conceded / game
1.47
49%
BTTS %
45%
19%
Clean sheet %
33%
41%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.0
Avg corners
4.0
10.0
Avg shots
5.5
4.7
Avg shots on target
2.3
4.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
51.0%
Avg possession
49.8%
Home vs Away
Cerro
Home (8)
—
Central Espanol
Away (8)
1.13
PPG
1.38
25%
Win %
38%
0.63
Goals / game
1.38
0.75
Conceded / game
1.63
39%
BTTS %
33%
28%
Clean sheet %
44%
17%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.0
Avg corners
4.0
10.0
Avg shots
5.5
4.7
Avg shots on target
2.3
4.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
51.0%
Avg possession
49.8%
Goals Scored
| Cerro | Home | Away | Central Espanol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 67% | 63% | 63% | 68% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 6% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 0% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 33% | 37% | 38% | 32% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Cerro | Home | Away | Central Espanol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 72% | 89% | 68% | 77% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 22% | 58% | 35% | 27% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 37% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 28% | 11% | 33% | 23% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cerro | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 13% |
| BTTS | 49% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cerro | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 16% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 54% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Cerro (H)D
Cerro Largo1–1
Cerro Largo1–1L
Wanderers0–2
Wanderers0–2L
Deportivo Maldonado1–2
Deportivo Maldonado1–2L
Penarol1–2
Penarol1–2L
Cerrito0–2
Cerrito0–2W
Racing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo1–0Central Espanol (A)L
Danubio0–1
Danubio0–1LDeportivo Maldonado0–3
Deportivo Maldonado0–3DCerro Largo0–0
Cerro Largo0–0WRacing Montevideo4–2
Racing Montevideo4–2LWanderers0–3
Wanderers0–3LPenarol1–2
Penarol1–2Number of Corners
7.0
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
8.6
29 games
8.3
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Cerro | Central Espanol | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 33% | 75% | 72% |
| Over 7 | 33% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 50% | 24% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 25% | 21% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cerro | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
4
Cerro
50%
1
Draws
13%
3
Central Espanol
38%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
24/05/26Central Espanol
Cerro
1–0Central Espanol26/04/26Cerro
Central Espanol
3–1Cerro05/08/22Central Espanol
Cerro
2–0Central Espanol14/05/22Cerro
Central Espanol
1–2Cerro28/09/21Central Espanol
Cerro
0–0Central Espanol16/06/21Cerro
Central Espanol
3–2Cerro18/05/13Cerro
Central Espanol
0–2Cerro25/11/12Central Espanol
Cerro
0–2Central Espanol| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 43 | 14 | 14 | +56 | 143 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 70 | 42 | 14 | 14 | +54 | 137 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | +21 | 59 |
| 4 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 70 | 32 | 22 | 16 | +27 | 118 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 29 | 23 | 19 | +13 | 110 |
| 6 |  Atletico Torque | 70 | 30 | 16 | 24 | +18 | 106 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 71 | 28 | 18 | 25 | +2 | 102 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 71 | 26 | 19 | 26 | -6 | 97 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +3 | 46 |
| 10 |  Boston River | 70 | 24 | 20 | 26 | +1 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 70 | 20 | 23 | 27 | -8 | 83 |
| 12 | Cerro | 70 | 22 | 18 | 30 | -30 | 83 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 70 | 20 | 21 | 29 | -23 | 81 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -14 | 38 |
| 15 | Danubio | 70 | 16 | 27 | 27 | -14 | 75 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 70 | 19 | 14 | 37 | -39 | 71 |
Team Insights
Cerro- ●Cerro have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cerro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Cerro failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 away matches.
- ●73% of Cerro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Cerro have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Central Espanol- ●Central Espanol have failed to win in their last 11 matches.
- ●Central Espanol have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Central Espanol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Central Espanol have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Central Espanol have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Central Espanol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Central Espanol have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Central Espanol failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Central Espanol have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
CerroDHCerro Largo1–1
Cerro Largo1–1WADefensor Sporting3–2
Defensor Sporting3–2LHWanderers0–2
Wanderers0–2DAJuventud0–0
Juventud0–0LHPenarol1–2
Penarol1–2WAProgreso3–1
Progreso3–1–AAtletico Torque25/10
Atletico Torque25/10–HCentral Espanol31/10
Central Espanol31/10Central EspanolLHAlbion FC1–3
Albion FC1–3LADanubio0–1
Danubio0–1LHClub Nacional0–1
Club Nacional0–1LADeportivo Maldonado0–3
Deportivo Maldonado0–3LHLiverpool Montevideo1–2
Liverpool Montevideo1–2LHAtletico Torque1–4
Atletico Torque1–4–ACerro31/10
Cerro31/10Top Scorers
CerroA. Cambon6 ⚽
J. Amaro3 ⚽
A. Macelli3 ⚽
A. Severo3 ⚽
B. Aleman2 ⚽
Agustin Miranda1 ⚽
Central EspanolR. Tarragona8 ⚽
M. Alonso4 ⚽
F. Munoz4 ⚽
I. Mendez3 ⚽
L. Pino3 ⚽
G. Gandolfo2 ⚽
Cards Given
CerroD. Suarez10 🟨
B. Aleman6 🟨
A. Macelli6 🟨
Cristian Barros6 🟨
C. Barros5 🟨
Alejo Macelli5 🟨
Central EspanolA. Villoldo13 🟨
I. Rodriguez12 🟨
G. Gandolfo9 🟨
L. Fernandez8 🟨
M. Aguilera7 🟨
F. Munoz5 🟨