Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo — Primera División
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Racing Montevideo and Cerro Largo meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Racing Montevideo have recorded 17 wins from 40 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Cerro Largo have won 24% of their 41 matches, with 0.95 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 34%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Racing Montevideo and 1.07 for Cerro Largo. The models give Racing Montevideo a 53% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Cerro Largo win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Racing Montevideo | Home | Away | Cerro Largo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 89% | 52% | 66% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 42% | 29% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 11% | 48% | 34% | 25% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Racing Montevideo | Home | Away | Cerro Largo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 53% | 76% | 78% | 75% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 16% | 29% | 34% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 47% | 24% | 22% | 25% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Racing Montevideo | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 5% |
| BTTS | 45% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Racing Montevideo | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 39% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Racing Montevideo | Cerro Largo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 100% | 72% |
| Over 7 | 40% | 67% | 52% |
| Over 8 | 20% | 67% | 45% |
| Over 9 | 20% | 0% | 24% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Racing Montevideo | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 80% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 20% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 20% | 0% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71 | 43 | 14 | 14 | +56 | 143 | |
| 2 | 70 | 42 | 14 | 14 | +54 | 137 | |
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | +21 | 59 | |
| 4 | 70 | 32 | 22 | 16 | +27 | 118 | |
| 5 | 71 | 29 | 23 | 19 | +13 | 110 | |
| 6 | 70 | 30 | 16 | 24 | +18 | 106 | |
| 7 | 71 | 28 | 18 | 25 | +2 | 102 | |
| 8 | 71 | 26 | 19 | 26 | -6 | 97 | |
| 8 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +3 | 46 | |
| 10 | 70 | 24 | 20 | 26 | +1 | 92 | |
| 11 | 70 | 20 | 23 | 27 | -8 | 83 | |
| 12 | 70 | 22 | 18 | 30 | -30 | 83 | |
| 13 | 70 | 20 | 21 | 29 | -23 | 81 | |
| 14 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -14 | 38 | |
| 15 | 70 | 16 | 27 | 27 | -14 | 75 | |
| 16 | 70 | 19 | 14 | 37 | -39 | 71 |
Team Insights
- ●Racing Montevideo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Cerro Largo have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
- ●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Cerro Largo have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.