Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo — Primera División
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Estadio Gran Parque Central·Montevideo·Uruguay·34,000
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Club Nacional and Liverpool Montevideo meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Club Nacional have recorded 25 wins from 50 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Liverpool Montevideo have won 43% of their 40 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 48%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Club Nacional and 1.38 for Liverpool Montevideo. The models give Club Nacional a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Liverpool Montevideo win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Club Nacional—
Liverpool Montevideo7º
Position
9º
1.47
PPG
1.33
47%
Win %
33%
1.73
Goals / game
1.33
1.40
Conceded / game
1.20
50%
BTTS %
40%
38%
Clean sheet %
48%
52%
Over 2.5 %
40%
5.2
Avg corners
4.2
9.2
Avg shots
10.4
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.5
Avg yellow cards
3.0
10.3
Avg fouls
10.0
43.6%
Avg possession
57.0%
Home vs Away
Club Nacional
Home (7)
—
Liverpool Montevideo
Away (8)
1.43
PPG
1.50
43%
Win %
38%
1.57
Goals / game
1.25
0.71
Conceded / game
1.00
44%
BTTS %
53%
44%
Clean sheet %
37%
48%
Over 2.5 %
37%
5.2
Avg corners
4.2
9.2
Avg shots
10.4
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.5
Avg yellow cards
3.0
43.6%
Avg possession
57.0%
Goals Scored
| Club Nacional | Home | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 78% | 78% | 73% | 67% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 41% | 43% | 33% | 29% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 22% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 22% | 22% | 28% | 33% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Club Nacional | Home | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 56% | 70% | 53% | 43% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 26% | 43% | 28% | 38% | 16% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 4% | 26% | 10% | 10% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 44% | 30% | 48% | 57% | 37% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 8% |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Club Nacional (H)W
Deportivo Maldonado3–2
Deportivo Maldonado3–2W
Rentistas3–0
Rentistas3–0W
Atletico Torque2–0
Atletico Torque2–0W
Defensor Sporting3–2
Defensor Sporting3–2D
Juventud2–2
Juventud2–2D
Albion FC0–0
Albion FC0–0Liverpool Montevideo (A)DDeportivo Maldonado1–1
Deportivo Maldonado1–1W
Central Espanol2–1
Central Espanol2–1LAtletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3D
Cerro Largo1–1
Cerro Largo1–1W
Fenix2–0
Fenix2–0WDefensor Sporting4–0
Defensor Sporting4–0Number of Corners
11.2
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
8.6
29 games
8.0
Corners / Match
5 games
| Match Corners | Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 100% | 72% |
| Over 7 | 91% | 60% | 52% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 40% | 45% |
| Over 9 | 64% | 0% | 24% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 11 | 45% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Club Nacional | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 64% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 20% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
16
Club Nacional
52%
7
Draws
23%
8
Liverpool Montevideo
26%
74%
Over 1.5
23/31
61%
Over 2.5
19/31
35%
Over 3.5
11/31
58%
BTTS
18/31
19/04/26Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
1–3Club Nacional20/09/25Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
3–1Liverpool Montevideo26/03/25Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
2–2Club Nacional08/09/24Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1–0Liverpool Montevideo15/06/24Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2–1Liverpool Montevideo25/02/24Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
1–1Club Nacional06/02/24Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
2–1Club Nacional20/08/23Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
0–0Club Nacional23/06/23Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3–0Club Nacional06/02/23Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
2–1Liverpool Montevideo30/01/23Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
1–0Club Nacional14/08/22Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
0–1Club Nacional21/02/22Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
0–0Liverpool Montevideo26/11/21Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
2–2Club Nacional15/08/21Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1–0Liverpool Montevideo22/03/21Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
0–4Liverpool Montevideo03/10/20Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
1–3Club Nacional15/09/19Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
4–1Liverpool Montevideo16/02/19Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
1–1Club Nacional03/10/18Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
1–2Club Nacional| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 71 | 43 | 14 | 14 | +56 | 143 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 70 | 42 | 14 | 14 | +54 | 137 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | +21 | 59 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 70 | 32 | 22 | 16 | +27 | 118 |
| 5 |  Racing Montevideo | 71 | 29 | 23 | 19 | +13 | 110 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 70 | 30 | 16 | 24 | +18 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 28 | 18 | 25 | +2 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 26 | 19 | 26 | -6 | 97 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +3 | 46 |
| 10 |  Boston River | 70 | 24 | 20 | 26 | +1 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 70 | 20 | 23 | 27 | -8 | 83 |
| 12 |  Cerro | 70 | 22 | 18 | 30 | -30 | 83 |
| 13 |  Wanderers | 70 | 20 | 21 | 29 | -23 | 81 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -14 | 38 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 70 | 16 | 27 | 27 | -14 | 75 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 70 | 19 | 14 | 37 | -39 | 71 |
Team Insights
Club Nacional- ●Club Nacional have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Club Nacional have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Club Nacional have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Club Nacional have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Club Nacional have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Liverpool Montevideo- ●Liverpool Montevideo have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have won 7 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have scored in 14 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
Club NacionalWHDeportivo Maldonado3–2
Deportivo Maldonado3–2WACentral Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0WHAtletico Torque2–0
Atletico Torque2–0WACerro Largo2–0
Cerro Largo2–0WHDefensor Sporting3–2
Defensor Sporting3–2DAWanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1–HLiverpool Montevideo25/10
Liverpool Montevideo25/10–ADanubio01/11
Danubio01/11Liverpool MontevideoWHPenarol1–0
Penarol1–0DADeportivo Maldonado1–1
Deportivo Maldonado1–1WHProgreso3–2
Progreso3–2WACentral Espanol2–1
Central Espanol2–1DHRacing Montevideo0–0
Racing Montevideo0–0LAAtletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3–AClub Nacional25/10
Club Nacional25/10–HJuventud02/11
Juventud02/11Top Scorers
Club NacionalM. Gomez20 ⚽
T. Veron6 ⚽
M. Silvera6 ⚽
T. Correa4 ⚽
F. Calvo3 ⚽
L. Boggio3 ⚽
Liverpool MontevideoF. Martinez10 ⚽
F. Barcelo9 ⚽
R. Bentancourt7 ⚽
D. Romero5 ⚽
R. Machado3 ⚽
Diego Zabala2 ⚽
Cards Given
Club NacionalL. Rodriguez8 🟨
Maximiliano Gómez6 🟨
M. Gomez6 🟨
E. Ancheta6 🟨
Sebastián Coates6 🟨
T. Viera6 🟨
Liverpool MontevideoN. Garayalde7 🟨
Rubén Bentancourt6 🟨
Enzo Castillo6 🟨
Nicolás Garayalde5 🟨
E. Castillo4 🟨
F. Barcelo4 🟨