Uruguay · Primera División · Clausura - 12

Cerro Largo

12º · 1.13 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 4d 0h

–

Boston River

13º · 1.13 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 8d 0h

Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla·Melo·Uruguay·15,000

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Cerro Largo and Boston River meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Cerro Largo have recorded 10 wins from 41 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 0.95 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 34%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Boston River have won 33% of their 48 matches, with 1.04 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Cerro Largo and 1.08 for Boston River. The models give Cerro Largo a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Boston River win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Cerro Largo

—

Boston River

12º

Position

13º

1.13

PPG

1.13

33%

Win %

33%

1.07

Goals / game

0.93

1.27

Conceded / game

1.33

49%

BTTS %

46%

22%

Clean sheet %

25%

34%

Over 2.5 %

42%

4.7

Avg corners

3.0

7.0

Avg shots

9.5

2.0

Avg shots on target

3.2

3.3

Avg yellow cards

2.3

0.0

Avg fouls

11.3

53.0%

Avg possession

42.9%

Home vs Away

Cerro Largo

Home (7)

—

Boston River

Away (7)

1.00

PPG

1.00

29%

Win %

29%

1.29

Goals / game

0.86

1.29

Conceded / game

1.71

55%

BTTS %

50%

25%

Clean sheet %

30%

Over 2.5 %

50%

4.7

Avg corners

3.0

7.0

Avg shots

9.5

2.0

Avg shots on target

3.2

3.3

Avg yellow cards

2.3

53.0%

Avg possession

42.9%

Goals Scored

	Cerro Largo	Home	Away	Boston River	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	66%	75%	57%	60%	62%	59%
Over 1.5 Scored	20%	25%	14%	27%	27%	27%
Over 2.5 Scored	10%	10%	10%	13%	15%	9%
Failed To Score	34%	25%	43%	40%	38%	41%

Goals Conceded

	Cerro Largo	Home	Away	Boston River	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	78%	75%	81%	75%	62%	91%
Over 1.5 Conceded	34%	25%	43%	40%	27%	55%
Over 2.5 Conceded	10%	10%	10%	10%	4%	18%
Clean Sheets	22%	25%	19%	25%	38%	9%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Cerro Largo	Boston River
Over 0.5	95%	90%
Over 1.5	68%	63%
Over 2.5	34%	42%
Over 3.5	15%	21%
Over 4.5	5%	17%
BTTS	49%	46%
BTTS & Win	7%	19%
BTTS & Draw	24%	10%
BTTS & Over 2.5	27%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	7%	4%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Cerro Largo	Boston River
Win 1st Half	24%	19%
Draw 1st Half	37%	52%
Loss 1st Half	39%	29%
Scored 1st Half	39%	31%
Conceded 1st Half	54%	46%
Win 2nd Half	32%	25%
Draw 2nd Half	29%	42%
Loss 2nd Half	39%	33%
Scored 2nd Half	39%	48%
Conceded 2nd Half	46%	54%
Over 0.5 HT	76%	60%
Over 1.5 HT	20%	23%

Recent Venue Form

Cerro Largo (H)

Albion FC0–1

Rentistas1–0

Club Nacional0–2

Central Espanol0–0

Defensor Sporting1–1

Liverpool Montevideo1–1

Boston River (A)

Wanderers3–1

Penarol1–2

Racing Montevideo2–3

Liverpool Montevideo0–1

Liverpool Montevideo1–0

Albion FC3–2

Number of Corners

8.3

Corners / Match

3 games

League Avg

8.6

29 games

9.8

Corners / Match

10 games

Match Corners	Cerro Largo	Boston River	League Avg
Over 6	100%	90%	72%
Over 7	67%	70%	52%
Over 8	67%	70%	45%
Over 9	0%	50%	24%
Over 10	0%	40%	21%
Over 11	0%	20%	14%
Over 12	0%	20%	14%
Over 13	0%	20%	10%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Cerro Largo	Boston River
Corners Earned / Match	4.7	3.0
Corners Against / Match	3.7	6.8
Over 2.5 Corners For	100%	60%
Over 3.5 Corners For	67%	30%
Over 4.5 Corners For	67%	20%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	100%	90%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	67%	90%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	0%	70%

Head to Head · 22 matches

Cerro Largo

32%

Draws

27%

Boston River

41%

64%

Over 1.5

14/22

41%

Over 2.5

9/22

18%

Over 3.5

4/22

36%

BTTS

8/22

23/05/26

Cerro Largo

3–0

Boston River

20/04/26

Boston River

1–0

Cerro Largo

11/10/25

Cerro Largo

2–2

Boston River

13/04/25

Boston River

1–0

Cerro Largo

03/11/24

Boston River

3–0

Cerro Largo

17/06/24

Boston River

0–2

Cerro Largo

27/04/24

Cerro Largo

2–0

Boston River

03/12/23

Boston River

0–1

Cerro Largo

05/05/23

Cerro Largo

2–2

Boston River

04/09/22

Cerro Largo

1–1

Boston River

20/07/22

Boston River

2–0

Cerro Largo

25/02/22

Boston River

3–0

Cerro Largo

04/11/21

Cerro Largo

1–1

Boston River

11/07/21

Boston River

1–0

Cerro Largo

29/01/21

Boston River

2–1

Cerro Largo

09/03/20

Cerro Largo

0–0

Boston River

27/11/19

Cerro Largo

1–0

Boston River

26/05/19

Boston River

2–3

Cerro Largo

03/06/16

Cerro Largo

0–1

Boston River

08/11/15

Boston River

1–2

Cerro Largo

Primera División

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	71	43	14	14	+56	143
2	Club Nacional	70	42	14	14	+54	137
2	Deportivo Maldonado	33	17	8	8	+21	59
4	Liverpool Montevideo	70	32	22	16	+27	118
5	Racing Montevideo	71	29	23	19	+13	110
6	Atletico Torque	70	30	16	24	+18	106
7	Juventud	71	28	18	25	+2	102
8	Defensor Sporting	71	26	19	26	-6	97
8	Albion FC	34	13	7	14	+3	46
10	Boston River	70	24	20	26	+1	92
11	Cerro Largo	70	20	23	27	-8	83
12	Cerro	70	22	18	30	-30	83
13	Wanderers	70	20	21	29	-23	81
14	Central Espanol	34	10	8	16	-14	38
15	Danubio	70	16	27	27	-14	75
16	Progreso	70	19	14	37	-39	71

Team Insights

Cerro Largo

●Cerro Largo have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
●Cerro Largo have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
●Cerro Largo failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.

Boston River

●Boston River have won their last 2 matches.
●Boston River have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
●70% of Boston River's goals conceded were conceded away.

Cerro Largo

LALiverpool Montevideo0–1

DACerro16º1–1

DACerro7º1–1

DACerro12º1–1

DACerro6º1–1

LHAlbion FC3º0–1

LHAlbion FC12º0–1

Boston River

WHDefensor Sporting8º1–0

WHDefensor Sporting14º1–0

WHDefensor Sporting8º1–0

WHDefensor Sporting13º1–0

WHDefensor Sporting7º1–0

DHCA River Plate0–0

WAWanderers10º3–1

WAWanderers11º3–1

Season Schedule

Cerro Largo

Cerro1–1

Albion FC0–1

Danubio1–2

Club Nacional0–2

Deportivo Maldonado0–2

Central Espanol0–0

–H

Boston River25/10

–A

Racing Montevideo31/10

Boston River

Defensor Sporting1–0

Wanderers3–1

Juventud0–0

Penarol1–2

Progreso1–2

Racing Montevideo2–3

–A

Cerro Largo25/10

–H

Atletico Torque01/11

Top Scorers

Cerro Largo

A. Pandiani9 ⚽

D. Daguerre5 ⚽

T. Correa5 ⚽

F. Sellecchia3 ⚽

B. Barone2 ⚽

B. Hernandez2 ⚽

Boston River

F. Bonfiglio8 ⚽

F. Munoa7 ⚽

L. Suhr5 ⚽

J. S. O'Neill Lopez3 ⚽

A. Gonzalez3 ⚽

G. Ramirez3 ⚽

Cards Given

Cerro Largo

A. Piegas7 🟨

Lucas Correa5 🟨

S. Franca4 🟨

L. Correa4 🟨

A. Hernandez4 🟨

Santiago Marcel4 🟨

Boston River

L. Vazquez7 🟨

L. Suhr5 🟨

Franco Pérez5 🟨

F. Bonfiglio5 🟨

J. Acosta5 🟨

M. Gonzalez5 🟨

Cerro Largo vs Boston River — Primera División

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 22 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given