Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero — Primera División
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Aurora and Independiente Petrolero meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 4 December 2026. Aurora have recorded 14 wins from 41 matches this season (34% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Independiente Petrolero have won 33% of their 46 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.33 for Aurora and 1.42 for Independiente Petrolero. The models give Aurora a 54% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Independiente Petrolero win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aurora | Home | Away | Independiente Petrolero | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 95% | 77% | 66% | 71% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 65% | 23% | 34% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 30% | 0% | 19% | 29% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 5% | 23% | 34% | 29% | 39% |
Goals Conceded
| Aurora | Home | Away | Independiente Petrolero | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 75% | 77% | 83% | 79% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 32% | 57% | 58% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 10% | 18% | 34% | 38% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 21% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aurora | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS | 67% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 49% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aurora | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Aurora | Independiente Petrolero | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 67% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 67% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 57% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 48% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 33% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 24% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 7% | 19% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 10% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aurora | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 3.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 79% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 52% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | +36 | 57 | |
| 2 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | +41 | 54 | |
| 3 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | +18 | 48 | |
| 4 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | +14 | 39 | |
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 38 | |
| 6 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | +4 | 35 | |
| 7 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | +4 | 32 | |
| 8 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -8 | 30 | |
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -14 | 30 | |
| 10 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | +6 | 28 | |
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -19 | 28 | |
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -18 | 27 | |
| 13 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | -17 | 21 | |
| 14 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 20 | |
| 15 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | -19 | 20 | |
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -24 | 20 |
Team Insights
- ●Aurora have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aurora failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Aurora have scored in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Aurora failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●63% of Aurora's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Independiente Petrolero have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Independiente Petrolero failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Independiente Petrolero failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Independiente Petrolero have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.