Guabirá vs Universitario de Vinto — Primera División
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Estadio Gilberto Parada·Montero·Bolivia·18,000
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Guabirá and Universitario de Vinto meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Guabirá have recorded 13 wins from 35 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Universitario de Vinto have won 25% of their 36 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 2.03 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.37 for Guabirá and 1.29 for Universitario de Vinto. The models give Guabirá a 62% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Universitario de Vinto win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Guabirá—
Universitario de Vinto10º
Position
13º
1.27
PPG
1.00
36%
Win %
30%
1.64
Goals / game
1.50
2.27
Conceded / game
2.00
71%
BTTS %
72%
14%
Clean sheet %
8%
77%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.8
Avg corners
5.8
14.0
Avg shots
15.3
4.5
Avg shots on target
5.7
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.9
10.8
Avg fouls
12.4
49.7%
Avg possession
49.8%
Home vs Away
Guabirá
Home (5)
—
Universitario de Vinto
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.60
60%
Win %
20%
2.40
Goals / game
0.80
1.20
Conceded / game
2.20
88%
BTTS %
65%
12%
Clean sheet %
6%
82%
Over 2.5 %
71%
3.8
Avg corners
5.8
14.0
Avg shots
15.3
4.5
Avg shots on target
5.7
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.9
49.7%
Avg possession
49.8%
Goals Scored
| Guabirá | Home | Away | Universitario de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 61% | 81% | 89% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 49% | 76% | 22% | 39% | 47% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 29% | 0% | 22% | 32% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 39% | 19% | 11% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Guabirá | Home | Away | Universitario de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 88% | 83% | 92% | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 18% | 67% | 64% | 47% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 56% | 22% | 5% | 41% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 12% | 17% | 8% | 11% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guabirá | Universitario de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 25% |
| BTTS | 71% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guabirá | Universitario de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 66% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Guabirá (H)D
Oriente Petrolero1–1
Oriente Petrolero1–1W
The Strongest2–1
The Strongest2–1WOriente Petrolero2–1
Oriente Petrolero2–1W
San Antonio Bulo Bulo2–1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo2–1W
Aurora3–1
Aurora3–1D
Real Potosí1–1
Real Potosí1–1Universitario de (A)LOriente Petrolero0–2
Oriente Petrolero0–2LThe Strongest2–5
The Strongest2–5LAurora2–4
Aurora2–4D
Blooming1–1
Blooming1–1L
ABB0–2
ABB0–2LThe Strongest3–4
The Strongest3–4Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.4
100 games
9.8
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Guabirá | Universitario de | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 69% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 69% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 63% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 17% | 31% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 31% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 19% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 13% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Guabirá | Universitario de |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 42% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 58% | 38% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
9
Guabirá
53%
2
Draws
12%
6
Universitario de
35%
65%
Over 1.5
11/17
53%
Over 2.5
9/17
35%
Over 3.5
6/17
53%
BTTS
9/17
29/09/26Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
3–1Guabirá18/08/26Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
2–1Universitario de Vinto31/07/26Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1–1Guabirá25/02/26Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
5–2Guabirá20/02/26Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
2–1Universitario de Vinto03/08/25Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
3–0Universitario de Vinto26/07/25Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2–2Guabirá30/04/25Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
2–0Universitario de Vinto28/03/25Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
4–2Guabirá29/11/24Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1–0Guabirá04/08/24Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
4–2Universitario de Vinto30/03/24Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
3–1Universitario de Vinto21/02/24Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1–0Guabirá01/12/23Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1–0Guabirá04/06/23Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1–0Universitario de Vinto12/10/22Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1–0Universitario de Vinto30/07/22Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
0–1Guabirá| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bolívar | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | +34 | 51 |
| 2 |  Always Ready | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | +35 | 48 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +17 | 45 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +14 | 38 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 34 |
| 6 | Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -10 | 30 |
| 8 | Blooming | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | +6 | 28 |
| 9 |  Nacional Potosí | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | +1 | 28 |
| 10 |  Real Oruro | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 |  Independiente Petrolero | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -19 | 24 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 |  Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -13 | 20 |
| 15 | ABB | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 |  Real Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -23 | 20 |
Team Insights
Guabirá- ●Guabirá failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Guabirá have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Guabirá failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Guabirá have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Guabirá have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Guabirá have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Guabirá failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Guabirá have scored in 11 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Guabirá failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Guabirá have lost 7 of their 11 away matches.
- ●71% of Guabirá's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Guabirá's goals conceded were conceded away.
Universitario de- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto have lost 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●69% of Universitario de Vinto's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Universitario de Vinto's points have been earned at home.
- ●Universitario de Vinto have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GuabiráDHOriente Petrolero1–1
Oriente Petrolero1–1LAGualberto Villarroel SJ1–4
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–4WHAurora3–1
Aurora3–1LAAlways Ready0–6
Always Ready0–6DHReal Potosí1–1
Real Potosí1–1LAIndependiente Petrolero1–3
Independiente Petrolero1–3–ANacional Potosí26/10
Nacional Potosí26/10–HBolívar01/11
Bolívar01/11–HSan Antonio Bulo Bulo07/11
San Antonio Bulo Bulo07/11Universitario deWHSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2–1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo2–1LHReal Oruro1–3
Real Oruro1–3DABlooming1–1
Blooming1–1WHIndependiente Petrolero3–1
Independiente Petrolero3–1LAABB0–2
ABB0–2WHNacional Potosí2–0
Nacional Potosí2–0–ABolívar27/10
Bolívar27/10–HAlways Ready01/11
Always Ready01/11–AAurora10/11
Aurora10/11Top Scorers
GuabiráPedro11 ⚽
S. Garzon6 ⚽
G. Peredo5 ⚽
M. Maciel4 ⚽
L. Ursino3 ⚽
C. Anez3 ⚽
Universitario deH. Rodriguez6 ⚽
R. Llano6 ⚽
A. Jara6 ⚽
G. Cuellar4 ⚽
D. Saavedra4 ⚽
D. A. Camacho Almanza3 ⚽
Cards Given
GuabiráG. Peredo8 🟨
S. Gil6 🟨
Thiago Ribeiro6 🟨
C. Anez6 🟨
J. Barro5 🟨
A. Moreno5 🟨
Universitario deJoel Calicho6 🟨
J. Calicho4 🟨
Agustin Jara4 🟨
D. Vargas4 🟨
A. Jara4 🟨
Felipe Pasadore4 🟨