Independiente Petrolero vs Real Oruro — Primera División
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Independiente Petrolero and Real Oruro meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Independiente Petrolero have recorded 15 wins from 45 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Real Oruro have won 32% of their 37 matches, with 1.62 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Independiente Petrolero and 1.73 for Real Oruro. The models give Independiente Petrolero a 46% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Real Oruro win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Independiente Petrolero—
Real Oruro11º
Position
9º
1.09
PPG
1.27
27%
Win %
36%
1.36
Goals / game
2.00
1.73
Conceded / game
2.45
53%
BTTS %
73%
18%
Clean sheet %
11%
73%
Over 2.5 %
73%
3.3
Avg corners
4.4
11.3
Avg shots
13.6
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.1
10.8
Avg fouls
13.4
45.1%
Avg possession
41.0%
Home vs Away
Independiente Petrolero
Home (6)
—
Real Oruro
Away (6)
1.17
PPG
1.17
33%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
1.83
1.50
Conceded / game
2.33
58%
BTTS %
89%
21%
Clean sheet %
0%
79%
Over 2.5 %
79%
3.3
Avg corners
4.4
11.3
Avg shots
13.6
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.1
45.1%
Avg possession
41.0%
Goals Scored
| Independiente Petrolero | Home | Away | Real Oruro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 71% | 57% | 84% | 78% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 38% | 29% | 49% | 61% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 29% | 10% | 19% | 28% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 29% | 43% | 16% | 22% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Independiente Petrolero | Home | Away | Real Oruro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 79% | 86% | 89% | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 58% | 57% | 59% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 38% | 29% | 38% | 33% | 42% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 21% | 14% | 11% | 22% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Independiente Petrolero | Real Oruro | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 41% |
| BTTS | 53% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 49% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Independiente Petrolero | Real Oruro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 59% |
Recent Venue Form
Independiente Petrolero (H)W
ABB4–2
ABB4–2W
Aurora4–0
Aurora4–0W
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–0L
Bolívar0–3
Bolívar0–3W
Real Tomayapo5–1
Real Tomayapo5–1L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1–3
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1–3Real Oruro (A)W
Universitario de Vinto3–1
Universitario de Vinto3–1L
Nacional Potosí0–2
Nacional Potosí0–2LReal Tomayapo1–2
Real Tomayapo1–2L
The Strongest0–5
The Strongest0–5LGualberto Villarroel SJ1–4
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–4D
Blooming1–1
Blooming1–1Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
19 games
League Avg
9.4
100 games
11.5
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Independiente Petrolero | Real Oruro | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 68% | 86% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 68% | 86% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 79% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 47% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 32% | 50% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 29% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 29% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 21% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Independiente Petrolero | Real Oruro |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.3 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 7.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 53% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 42% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 32% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 74% | 93% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 53% | 86% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Independiente Petrolero
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Real Oruro
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
01/08/26Independiente Petrolero
Real Oruro
0–3Independiente Petrolero24/08/25Independiente Petrolero
Real Oruro
3–4Independiente Petrolero11/04/25Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
0–0Real Oruro| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | +34 | 51 |
| 2 |  Always Ready | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | +35 | 48 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +17 | 45 |
| 4 |  Real Potosí | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +14 | 38 |
| 5 |  Oriente Petrolero | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 34 |
| 6 | Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 |  Guabirá | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -10 | 30 |
| 8 | Blooming | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | +6 | 28 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosí | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | +1 | 28 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Independiente Petrolero | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -19 | 24 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -13 | 20 |
| 15 | ABB | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -23 | 20 |
Team Insights
Independiente Petrolero- ●Independiente Petrolero failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Independiente Petrolero failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Independiente Petrolero have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
Real Oruro- ●Real Oruro have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Real Oruro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Real Oruro failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Real Oruro have lost 6 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Real Oruro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Real Oruro have won 4 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Real Oruro have scored in 10 of their 11 away matches.
Season Schedule
Independiente PetroleroWHABB4–2
ABB4–2DABlooming0–0
Blooming0–0LAAlways Ready0–2
Always Ready0–2LHSan Antonio Bulo Bulo1–3
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1–3LAUniversitario de Vinto1–3
Universitario de Vinto1–3LHBolívar0–4
Bolívar0–4–AReal Potosí30/10
Real Potosí30/10–HReal Tomayapo06/11
Real Tomayapo06/11–AOriente Petrolero21/11
Oriente Petrolero21/11Real OruroWHAurora1–0
Aurora1–0WAUniversitario de Vinto3–1
Universitario de Vinto3–1LHReal Potosí0–2
Real Potosí0–2LAThe Strongest0–5
The Strongest0–5WHSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2–0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo2–0DABlooming1–1
Blooming1–1–AAlways Ready25/10
Always Ready25/10–HNacional Potosí31/10
Nacional Potosí31/10–AGualberto Villarroel SJ07/11
Gualberto Villarroel SJ07/11Top Scorers
Independiente PetroleroWillie16 ⚽
A. Mercado7 ⚽
R. Rivas6 ⚽
G. Cristaldo4 ⚽
G. Alvarez3 ⚽
J. E. Cristaldo3 ⚽
Real OruroD. Porozo7 ⚽
A. Quinonez7 ⚽
J. Montenegro4 ⚽
D. Pinto4 ⚽
A. Fernandez4 ⚽
L. Corulo4 ⚽
Cards Given
Independiente PetroleroAlan Mercado7 🟨
L. Crescencio7 🟨
A. Mercado6 🟨
C. Urdininea5 🟨
G. Mendoza5 🟨
S. Torres5 🟨
Real OruroE. Rivera7 🟨
A. Rivera6 🟨
F. Gatti5 🟨
L. Corulo5 🟨
A. Quinonez5 🟨
R. J. Balceras Cuellar4 🟨