Bolívar vs Universitario de Vinto — Primera División
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Estadio Hernando Siles·La Paz·Bolivia·45,000
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Bolívar and Universitario de Vinto meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Bolívar have recorded 29 wins from 50 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Universitario de Vinto have won 25% of their 36 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 2.03 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.81 for Bolívar and 1.26 for Universitario de Vinto. The models give Bolívar a 73% win probability, with a draw at 17% and an Universitario de Vinto win at 10%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Bolívar—
Universitario de Vinto3º
Position
13º
1.91
PPG
1.00
55%
Win %
30%
2.36
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
70%
BTTS %
72%
26%
Clean sheet %
8%
62%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.5
Avg corners
5.8
18.3
Avg shots
15.3
6.9
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.9
9.7
Avg fouls
12.4
58.7%
Avg possession
49.8%
Home vs Away
Bolívar
Home (6)
—
Universitario de Vinto
Away (5)
2.17
PPG
0.60
67%
Win %
20%
3.17
Goals / game
0.80
1.00
Conceded / game
2.20
75%
BTTS %
65%
25%
Clean sheet %
6%
71%
Over 2.5 %
71%
5.5
Avg corners
5.8
18.3
Avg shots
15.3
6.9
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.9
58.7%
Avg possession
49.8%
Goals Scored
| Bolívar | Home | Away | Universitario de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 96% | 88% | 81% | 89% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 67% | 46% | 39% | 47% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 23% | 22% | 32% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 11% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Bolívar | Home | Away | Universitario de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 75% | 73% | 92% | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 29% | 31% | 64% | 47% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 4% | 15% | 22% | 5% | 41% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 25% | 27% | 8% | 11% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bolívar | Universitario de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 25% |
| BTTS | 70% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bolívar | Universitario de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 34% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 66% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 72% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Bolívar (H)W
Blooming1–0
Blooming1–0W
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–2
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–2WBlooming3–0
Blooming3–0WGualberto Villarroel SJ4–2
Gualberto Villarroel SJ4–2D
Independiente Petrolero1–1
Independiente Petrolero1–1W
The Strongest4–2
The Strongest4–2Universitario de (A)L
Oriente Petrolero0–2
Oriente Petrolero0–2LThe Strongest2–5
The Strongest2–5L
Aurora2–4
Aurora2–4DBlooming1–1
Blooming1–1L
ABB0–2
ABB0–2LThe Strongest3–4
The Strongest3–4Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
22 games
League Avg
9.4
100 games
9.8
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Bolívar | Universitario de | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 69% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 59% | 69% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 63% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 31% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 31% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 19% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 5% | 13% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bolívar | Universitario de |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 55% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 45% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 38% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
9
Bolívar
60%
5
Draws
33%
1
Universitario de
7%
87%
Over 1.5
13/15
53%
Over 2.5
8/15
40%
Over 3.5
6/15
67%
BTTS
10/15
16/05/26Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
3–2Bolívar03/11/25Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
3–0Universitario de Vinto24/05/25Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
1–1Bolívar11/03/25Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
3–2Universitario de Vinto08/03/25Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
1–2Bolívar13/12/24Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
5–1Universitario de Vinto25/08/24Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
0–1Bolívar09/12/23Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
2–2Universitario de Vinto28/11/23Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
1–1Bolívar05/11/23Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
2–2Bolívar08/05/23Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
1–1Universitario de Vinto10/09/22Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
2–0Universitario de Vinto07/07/22Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
0–1Bolívar19/04/22Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
1–4Bolívar13/02/22Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
2–0Universitario de Vinto| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | +34 | 51 |
| 2 |  Always Ready | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | +35 | 48 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +17 | 45 |
| 4 |  Real Potosí | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +14 | 38 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 34 |
| 6 | Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 |  Guabirá | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -10 | 30 |
| 8 | Blooming | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | +6 | 28 |
| 9 |  Nacional Potosí | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | +1 | 28 |
| 10 |  Real Oruro | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Independiente Petrolero | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 |  San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -19 | 24 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -13 | 20 |
| 15 | ABB | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 |  Real Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -23 | 20 |
Team Insights
Bolívar- ●Bolívar have won their last 10 matches.
- ●Bolívar have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Bolívar have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bolívar failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in 11 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have won 7 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
Universitario de- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Universitario de Vinto have lost 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●69% of Universitario de Vinto's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Universitario de Vinto's points have been earned at home.
- ●Universitario de Vinto have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BolívarWANacional Potosí1–0
Nacional Potosí1–0WHBlooming1–0
Blooming1–0WHGualberto Villarroel SJ4–2
Gualberto Villarroel SJ4–2WAReal Tomayapo2–1
Real Tomayapo2–1WAIndependiente Petrolero4–0
Independiente Petrolero4–0WHABB4–1
ABB4–1–HUniversitario de Vinto27/10
Universitario de Vinto27/10–AGuabirá01/11
Guabirá01/11–HThe Strongest08/11
The Strongest08/11Universitario deWHSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2–1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo2–1LHReal Oruro1–3
Real Oruro1–3DABlooming1–1
Blooming1–1WHIndependiente Petrolero3–1
Independiente Petrolero3–1LAABB0–2
ABB0–2WHNacional Potosí2–0
Nacional Potosí2–0–ABolívar27/10
Bolívar27/10–HAlways Ready01/11
Always Ready01/11–AAurora10/11
Aurora10/11Top Scorers
BolívarM. Cauteruccio17 ⚽
Robson Matheus12 ⚽
D. Romero9 ⚽
D. Asprilla9 ⚽
7 ⚽
J. Velasquez6 ⚽
Universitario deH. Rodriguez6 ⚽
R. Llano6 ⚽
A. Jara6 ⚽
G. Cuellar4 ⚽
D. Saavedra4 ⚽
D. A. Camacho Almanza3 ⚽
Cards Given
BolívarJ. Sagredo12 🟨
L. Justiniano7 🟨
Pato Rodriguez4 🟨
Leonel Justiniano4 🟨
D. Asprilla3 🟨
José Sagredo3 🟨
Universitario deJoel Calicho6 🟨
J. Calicho4 🟨
Agustin Jara4 🟨
D. Vargas4 🟨
A. Jara4 🟨
Felipe Pasadore4 🟨