Aşgabat vs Merw — Ýokary Liga
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Aşgabat and Merw meet in the Ýokary Liga 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Aşgabat have recorded 4 wins from 23 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Merw have won 27% of their 22 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.24 for Aşgabat and 1.40 for Merw. The models give Aşgabat a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Merw win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Aşgabat
MerwHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aşgabat | Home | Away | Merw | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 75% | 73% | 55% | 64% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 25% | 27% | 32% | 55% | 9% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 25% | 27% | 45% | 36% | 55% |
Goals Conceded
| Aşgabat | Home | Away | Merw | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 75% | 91% | 86% | 91% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 42% | 73% | 64% | 55% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 48% | 42% | 55% | 36% | 27% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 25% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aşgabat | Merw | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 32% |
| BTTS | 61% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 4% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aşgabat | Merw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 59% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 24% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 24% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 41% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Aşgabat (H)
Nebitci0–0
Altyn Asyr2–4
Ahal3–4
Köpetdag Aşgabat1–1
Şagadam1–0
Arkadag1–7Merw (A)Nebitci0–3Şagadam2–0Ahal0–4Arkadag0–7Köpetdag Aşgabat0–2Aşgabat1–5Head to Head · 23 matches
AşgabatMerwAşgabatMerwAşgabatAşgabatMerwMerwAşgabatAşgabatMerwMerwMerwAşgabatMerwAşgabatMerwAşgabatAşgabatMerw| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 25 | 25 | 0 | 0 | +89 | 75 |
| 2 | Altyn Asyr | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | +24 | 53 |
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +22 | 42 |
| 4 | Nebitci | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -17 | 25 |
| 5 | Şagadam | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -18 | 22 |
| 6 | Merw | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -44 | 18 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -25 | 15 |
| 8 | Köpetdag Aşgabat | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -31 | 14 |
Team Insights
Aşgabat- ●Aşgabat have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Aşgabat have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aşgabat have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Aşgabat have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat have lost 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●75% of Aşgabat's points have been earned at home.
Merw- ●Merw failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Merw failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Merw have lost 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●73% of Merw's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Merw's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
AşgabatNebitci0–0Altyn Asyr2–4Ahal3–4Köpetdag Aşgabat1–1Merw2–3Arkadag0–3Merw01/11Köpetdag Aşgabat07/11Arkadag20/11MerwNebitci0–3Arkadag0–5Şagadam2–0Köpetdag Aşgabat2–2Aşgabat3–2Ahal0–4Altyn Asyr21/10Aşgabat01/11Altyn Asyr07/11