Olancho vs CD Motagua — Liga Nacional
← Back
vs
–
–
Estadio Juan Ramón Brevé Vargas·Juticalpa·Honduras·22,000
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Olancho and CD Motagua meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 23 November 2026. Olancho have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. CD Motagua have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Olancho and 1.19 for CD Motagua. The models give Olancho a 35% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an CD Motagua win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Olancho—
CD Motagua6º
Position
4º
1.18
PPG
1.90
18%
Win %
60%
1.00
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
0.90
64%
BTTS %
39%
36%
Clean sheet %
50%
27%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Olancho
Home (5)
—
CD Motagua
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
1.40
20%
Win %
40%
1.40
Goals / game
1.20
1.20
Conceded / game
0.80
80%
BTTS %
25%
20%
Clean sheet %
63%
20%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Olancho | Home | Away | CD Motagua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 67% | 72% | 80% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 39% | 40% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 33% | 28% | 20% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Olancho | Home | Away | CD Motagua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 80% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 20% | 33% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 20% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 63% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Olancho | CD Motagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 11% |
| BTTS | 64% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 45% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Olancho | CD Motagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 61% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 9% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 28% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 45% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 9% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Olancho (H)D
Estrella Roja3–3
Estrella Roja3–3D
Atletico Independiente1–1
Atletico Independiente1–1D
Real Espana1–1
Real Espana1–1D
CD Olimpia1–1
CD Olimpia1–1W
Juticalpa1–0
Juticalpa1–0LCD Motagua0–2
CD Motagua0–2CD Motagua (A)W
Platense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0LReal Espana0–1
Real Espana0–1D
Alianza0–0
Alianza0–0DAtletico Independiente0–0
Atletico Independiente0–0D
Municipal1–1
Municipal1–1LCD Olimpia1–3
CD Olimpia1–3Head to Head · 22 matches
6
Olancho
27%
8
Draws
36%
8
CD Motagua
36%
55%
Over 1.5
12/22
41%
Over 2.5
9/22
27%
Over 3.5
6/22
50%
BTTS
11/22
30/08/26Olancho
CD Motagua
2–1Olancho13/05/26CD Motagua
Olancho
0–2CD Motagua10/05/26Olancho
CD Motagua
1–2Olancho24/04/26CD Motagua
Olancho
0–0CD Motagua01/03/26Olancho
CD Motagua
1–1Olancho21/11/25Olancho
CD Motagua
3–2Olancho10/08/25CD Motagua
Olancho
3–1CD Motagua13/03/25Olancho
CD Motagua
1–0Olancho26/01/25CD Motagua
Olancho
2–1CD Motagua03/11/24Olancho
CD Motagua
2–2Olancho24/08/24CD Motagua
Olancho
0–0CD Motagua10/03/24CD Motagua
Olancho
0–0CD Motagua22/01/24Olancho
CD Motagua
2–2Olancho04/12/23Olancho
CD Motagua
1–1Olancho01/12/23CD Motagua
Olancho
2–2CD Motagua05/11/23CD Motagua
Olancho
0–1CD Motagua14/09/23Olancho
CD Motagua
1–0Olancho18/08/23Olancho
CD Motagua
1–0Olancho19/03/23CD Motagua
Olancho
1–0CD Motagua02/02/23Olancho
CD Motagua
0–1Olancho| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Olancho- ●Olancho have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Olancho have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Olancho have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Olancho failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Olancho have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Olancho's goals have been scored at home.
CD Motagua- ●CD Motagua have won their last 2 matches.
- ●CD Motagua have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
OlanchoDHEstrella Roja3–3
Estrella Roja3–3LACD Marathon1–2
CD Marathon1–2DHAtletico Independiente1–1
Atletico Independiente1–1DAGénesis0–0
Génesis0–0DHReal Espana1–1
Real Espana1–1DAAtlético Choloma0–0
Atlético Choloma0–0–HPlatense FC01/11
Platense FC01/11–HLobos Upnfm04/11
Lobos Upnfm04/11–ACD Olimpia08/11
CD Olimpia08/11CD MotaguaWAPlatense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0WHAtlético Choloma2–1
Atlético Choloma2–1LAReal Espana0–1
Real Espana0–1WHGénesis1–0
Génesis1–0DAAtletico Independiente0–0
Atletico Independiente0–0WHOlancho2–1
Olancho2–1–HJuticalpa25/10
Juticalpa25/10–HCD Marathon01/11
CD Marathon01/11–AEstrella Roja04/11
Estrella Roja04/11Top Scorers
OlanchoM. R. Ramirez Arauz2 ⚽
J. Bengtson2 ⚽
Joanderson2 ⚽
C. J. Zuniga Bernardez1 ⚽
O. Almendarez1 ⚽
O. Padilla1 ⚽
CD MotaguaR. De Olivera6 ⚽
J. Moya5 ⚽
O. Discua2 ⚽
A. Reyes2 ⚽
L. Vega2 ⚽
J. Macias1 ⚽
Cards Given
OlanchoH. Gomez7 🟨
D. Martinez5 🟨
N. Munoz3 🟨
J. Lasso2 🟨
C. J. Zuniga Bernardez2 🟨
J. Delgado2 🟨
CD MotaguaJ. Macias6 🟨
J. Serrano4 🟨
A. Reyes4 🟨
C. Melendez3 🟨
O. Discua3 🟨
J. Lopez2 🟨