CD Marathon vs Génesis — Liga Nacional
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Estadio Yankel Rosenthal·San Pedro Sula·Honduras·15,000
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CD Marathon and Génesis meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 23 November 2026. CD Marathon have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Génesis have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for CD Marathon and 0.90 for Génesis. The models give CD Marathon a 59% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Génesis win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
CD Marathon—
Génesis2º
Position
9º
2.10
PPG
1.00
60%
Win %
27%
1.60
Goals / game
1.09
0.70
Conceded / game
1.09
50%
BTTS %
36%
44%
Clean sheet %
36%
56%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
CD Marathon
Home (5)
—
Génesis
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
0.80
80%
Win %
20%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.40
Conceded / game
1.40
44%
BTTS %
40%
44%
Clean sheet %
20%
56%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| CD Marathon | Home | Away | Génesis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 89% | 78% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 56% | 44% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 22% | 11% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 11% | 22% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| CD Marathon | Home | Away | Génesis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 56% | 56% | 64% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 11% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 22% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 44% | 44% | 36% | 50% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| CD Marathon | Génesis | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| CD Marathon | Génesis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
CD Marathon (H)W
Alianza2–1
Alianza2–1W
Olancho2–1
Olancho2–1W
CD Olimpia1–0
CD Olimpia1–0D
LD Alajuelense2–2
LD Alajuelense2–2W
Estrella Roja5–0
Estrella Roja5–0W
Real Estelí3–0
Real Estelí3–0Génesis (A)L
Atlético Choloma1–3
Atlético Choloma1–3L
CD Motagua0–1
CD Motagua0–1W
Juticalpa3–0
Juticalpa3–0D
Atletico Independiente1–1
Atletico Independiente1–1L
Real Espana0–2
Real Espana0–2LCD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2Head to Head · 15 matches
10
CD Marathon
67%
3
Draws
20%
2
Génesis
13%
60%
Over 1.5
9/15
40%
Over 2.5
6/15
0%
Over 3.5
0/15
40%
BTTS
6/15
29/08/26CD Marathon
Génesis
1–2CD Marathon18/04/26CD Marathon
Génesis
0–1CD Marathon27/02/26Génesis
CD Marathon
1–2Génesis18/10/25CD Marathon
Génesis
0–3CD Marathon09/08/25Génesis
CD Marathon
1–0Génesis19/04/25Génesis
CD Marathon
0–0Génesis18/02/25CD Marathon
Génesis
1–1CD Marathon23/11/24Génesis
CD Marathon
1–1Génesis19/09/24CD Marathon
Génesis
1–2CD Marathon11/05/24Génesis
CD Marathon
1–0Génesis09/05/24CD Marathon
Génesis
0–2CD Marathon31/03/24CD Marathon
Génesis
1–0CD Marathon01/02/24Génesis
CD Marathon
3–0Génesis04/11/23CD Marathon
Génesis
0–1CD Marathon13/09/23Génesis
CD Marathon
2–1Génesis| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 |  Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
CD Marathon- ●CD Marathon have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●CD Marathon have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●78% of CD Marathon's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●CD Marathon have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●CD Marathon have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Génesis- ●Génesis have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Génesis have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Génesis have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Génesis have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Génesis have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Génesis failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
CD MarathonDAAtletico Independiente2–2
Atletico Independiente2–2WHOlancho2–1
Olancho2–1DALobos Upnfm0–0
Lobos Upnfm0–0LAJuticalpa2–3
Juticalpa2–3WHCD Olimpia1–0
CD Olimpia1–0WHEstrella Roja5–0
Estrella Roja5–0–ACD Motagua01/11
CD Motagua01/11–HPlatense FC06/11
Platense FC06/11–HAtlético Choloma09/11
Atlético Choloma09/11GénesisLAAtlético Choloma1–3
Atlético Choloma1–3LHEstrella Roja1–2
Estrella Roja1–2LHCD Olimpia0–1
CD Olimpia0–1DHOlancho0–0
Olancho0–0LACD Motagua0–1
CD Motagua0–1WAJuticalpa3–0
Juticalpa3–0–ALobos Upnfm31/10
Lobos Upnfm31/10–HReal Espana05/11
Real Espana05/11–APlatense FC08/11
Platense FC08/11Top Scorers
CD MarathonN. Messiniti9 ⚽
D. Ramirez5 ⚽
Y. Moreno3 ⚽
I. Castillo2 ⚽
J. A. Arriaga Chavez1 ⚽
H. Figueroa1 ⚽
GénesisE. Alderete3 ⚽
C. I. Arzu Zapata2 ⚽
D. Nunez2 ⚽
J. Figueroa1 ⚽
R. Sander1 ⚽
B. Felix1 ⚽
Cards Given
CD MarathonT. A. Sorto Caballero6 🟨
Y. Moreno5 🟨
B. Farioli4 🟨
S. Agurcia4 🟨
J. Rivera3 🟨
N. Messiniti3 🟨
GénesisM. Gamboa4 🟨
C. Guillen4 🟨
D. Nunez3 🟨
A. Vargas3 🟨
R. Sander3 🟨
Gabriel Araujo2 🟨