Atlético Choloma vs Real Espana — Liga Nacional
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Atlético Choloma and Real Espana meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 23 November 2026. Atlético Choloma have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Real Espana have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Atlético Choloma and 1.03 for Real Espana. The models give Atlético Choloma a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Real Espana win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Atlético Choloma—
Real Espana5º
Position
3º
1.18
PPG
2.10
36%
Win %
60%
1.09
Goals / game
1.50
1.09
Conceded / game
0.60
45%
BTTS %
54%
27%
Clean sheet %
38%
45%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
11.0
0.0%
Avg possession
45.0%
Home vs Away
Atlético Choloma
Home (5)
—
Real Espana
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.60
60%
Win %
40%
1.40
Goals / game
1.40
0.40
Conceded / game
0.80
20%
BTTS %
50%
60%
Clean sheet %
33%
20%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
45.0%
Goals Scored
| Atlético Choloma | Home | Away | Real Espana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 60% | 67% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 60% | 17% | 38% | 57% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 40% | 33% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlético Choloma | Home | Away | Real Espana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 40% | 100% | 62% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 0% | 67% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 29% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 60% | 0% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlético Choloma | Real Espana | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS | 45% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlético Choloma | Real Espana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 73% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlético Choloma (H)W
Génesis3–1
Génesis3–1W
Estrella Roja2–0
Estrella Roja2–0D
Olancho0–0
Olancho0–0W
Platense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0L
CD Marathon0–1
CD Marathon0–1L
CD Olimpia1–3
CD Olimpia1–3Real Espana (A)LCD Olimpia1–2
CD Olimpia1–2WEstrella Roja1–0
Estrella Roja1–0DOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1DCD Marathon1–1
CD Marathon1–1WPlatense FC3–0
Platense FC3–0LCD Olimpia2–3
CD Olimpia2–3Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atlético Choloma | Real Espana |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
1
Atlético Choloma
7%
3
Draws
20%
11
Real Espana
73%
93%
Over 1.5
14/15
80%
Over 2.5
12/15
40%
Over 3.5
6/15
73%
BTTS
11/15
30/08/26Atlético Choloma
Real Espana
2–1Atlético Choloma09/04/26Real Espana
Atlético Choloma
3–2Real Espana15/02/26Atlético Choloma
Real Espana
2–1Atlético Choloma19/10/25Atlético Choloma
Real Espana
3–0Atlético Choloma09/08/25Real Espana
Atlético Choloma
0–3Real Espana03/03/13Atlético Choloma
Real Espana
2–1Atlético Choloma20/01/13Real Espana
Atlético Choloma
2–2Real Espana28/10/12Real Espana
Atlético Choloma
2–2Real Espana26/08/12Atlético Choloma
Real Espana
3–1Atlético Choloma29/04/12Real Espana
Atlético Choloma
1–2Real Espana26/04/12Atlético Choloma
Real Espana
1–0Atlético Choloma11/03/12Atlético Choloma
Real Espana
3–1Atlético Choloma15/01/12Real Espana
Atlético Choloma
1–1Real Espana03/11/11Atlético Choloma
Real Espana
2–0Atlético Choloma08/09/11Real Espana
Atlético Choloma
1–4Real Espana| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 |  CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Atlético Choloma- ●Atlético Choloma have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●83% of Atlético Choloma's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●77% of Atlético Choloma's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atlético Choloma have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Atlético Choloma have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Real Espana- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Real Espana have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Espana have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Real Espana's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Real Espana have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Real Espana have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Atlético CholomaWHGénesis3–1
Génesis3–1WAJuticalpa2–1
Juticalpa2–1LACD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2WHEstrella Roja2–0
Estrella Roja2–0LALobos Upnfm0–1
Lobos Upnfm0–1DHOlancho0–0
Olancho0–0–HCD Olimpia01/11
CD Olimpia01/11–HAtletico Independiente05/11
Atletico Independiente05/11–ACD Marathon09/11
CD Marathon09/11Real EspanaWHPlatense FC4–3
Platense FC4–3LACD Olimpia1–2
CD Olimpia1–2WAEstrella Roja1–0
Estrella Roja1–0WHCD Motagua1–0
CD Motagua1–0DAOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1WHLobos Upnfm2–0
Lobos Upnfm2–0–HJuticalpa31/10
Juticalpa31/10–AGénesis05/11
Génesis05/11–AAtletico Independiente08/11
Atletico Independiente08/11Top Scorers
Atlético CholomaJ. Quejada3 ⚽
A. Villatoro3 ⚽
L. Ferreira2 ⚽
O. Zamora1 ⚽
J. Castillo1 ⚽
Alvarado1 ⚽
Real EspanaE. Hernandez5 ⚽
D. Sayago3 ⚽
D. Vuelto3 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
M. Aceituno2 ⚽
N. Cruz2 ⚽
Cards Given
Atlético CholomaJ. Barrios4 🟨
A. Villatoro4 🟨
Alvarado3 🟨
E. Florez3 🟨
H. Castillo3 🟨
C. Madrid3 🟨
Real EspanaR. Osorto4 🟨
D. Aparicio4 🟨
D. Sayago3 🟨
D. Cacho3 🟨
M. Pereira3 🟨
C. Mejia2 🟨