CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma — Liga Nacional
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Estadio Yankel Rosenthal·San Pedro Sula·Honduras·15,000
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CD Marathon and Atlético Choloma meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 9 November 2026. CD Marathon have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Atlético Choloma have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for CD Marathon and 0.82 for Atlético Choloma. The models give CD Marathon a 62% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Atlético Choloma win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
CD Marathon—
Atlético Choloma2º
Position
5º
2.10
PPG
1.18
60%
Win %
36%
1.60
Goals / game
1.09
0.70
Conceded / game
1.09
50%
BTTS %
45%
44%
Clean sheet %
27%
56%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
CD Marathon
Home (5)
—
Atlético Choloma
Away (6)
2.60
PPG
0.50
80%
Win %
17%
2.00
Goals / game
0.83
0.40
Conceded / game
1.67
44%
BTTS %
67%
44%
Clean sheet %
0%
56%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| CD Marathon | Home | Away | Atlético Choloma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 89% | 78% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 56% | 44% | 36% | 60% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 22% | 11% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 11% | 22% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| CD Marathon | Home | Away | Atlético Choloma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 56% | 56% | 73% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 11% | 33% | 36% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 44% | 44% | 27% | 60% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| CD Marathon | Atlético Choloma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| CD Marathon | Atlético Choloma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 73% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
CD Marathon (H)W
Alianza2–1
Alianza2–1W
Olancho2–1
Olancho2–1W
CD Olimpia1–0
CD Olimpia1–0D
LD Alajuelense2–2
LD Alajuelense2–2W
Estrella Roja5–0
Estrella Roja5–0W
Real Estelí3–0
Real Estelí3–0Atlético Choloma (A)W
Juticalpa2–1
Juticalpa2–1L
CD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2L
Lobos Upnfm0–1
Lobos Upnfm0–1L
Real Espana1–2
Real Espana1–2L
Atletico Independiente1–2
Atletico Independiente1–2L
Génesis0–2
Génesis0–2Head to Head · 15 matches
4
CD Marathon
27%
8
Draws
53%
3
Atlético Choloma
20%
60%
Over 1.5
9/15
40%
Over 2.5
6/15
33%
Over 3.5
5/15
53%
BTTS
8/15
16/08/26CD Marathon
Atlético Choloma
0–1CD Marathon01/05/26Atlético Choloma
CD Marathon
0–1Atlético Choloma11/03/26CD Marathon
Atlético Choloma
0–0CD Marathon27/11/25CD Marathon
Atlético Choloma
0–4CD Marathon14/09/25Atlético Choloma
CD Marathon
1–0Atlético Choloma20/04/13Atlético Choloma
CD Marathon
1–1Atlético Choloma28/02/13CD Marathon
Atlético Choloma
0–0CD Marathon22/11/12Atlético Choloma
CD Marathon
2–2Atlético Choloma17/11/12CD Marathon
Atlético Choloma
0–0CD Marathon14/10/12CD Marathon
Atlético Choloma
2–2CD Marathon17/08/12Atlético Choloma
CD Marathon
1–2Atlético Choloma22/04/12Atlético Choloma
CD Marathon
1–1Atlético Choloma26/02/12CD Marathon
Atlético Choloma
2–3CD Marathon13/11/11Atlético Choloma
CD Marathon
1–1Atlético Choloma18/09/11CD Marathon
Atlético Choloma
3–1CD Marathon| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 |  Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
CD Marathon- ●CD Marathon have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●CD Marathon have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●78% of CD Marathon's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●CD Marathon have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●CD Marathon have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Atlético Choloma- ●Atlético Choloma have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●83% of Atlético Choloma's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●77% of Atlético Choloma's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atlético Choloma have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Atlético Choloma have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CD MarathonDAAtletico Independiente2–2
Atletico Independiente2–2WHOlancho2–1
Olancho2–1DALobos Upnfm0–0
Lobos Upnfm0–0LAJuticalpa2–3
Juticalpa2–3WHCD Olimpia1–0
CD Olimpia1–0WHEstrella Roja5–0
Estrella Roja5–0–ACD Motagua01/11
CD Motagua01/11–HPlatense FC06/11
Platense FC06/11–HAtlético Choloma09/11
Atlético Choloma09/11Atlético CholomaWHGénesis3–1
Génesis3–1WAJuticalpa2–1
Juticalpa2–1LACD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2WHEstrella Roja2–0
Estrella Roja2–0LALobos Upnfm0–1
Lobos Upnfm0–1DHOlancho0–0
Olancho0–0–HCD Olimpia01/11
CD Olimpia01/11–HAtletico Independiente05/11
Atletico Independiente05/11–ACD Marathon09/11
CD Marathon09/11Top Scorers
CD MarathonN. Messiniti9 ⚽
D. Ramirez5 ⚽
Y. Moreno3 ⚽
I. Castillo2 ⚽
J. A. Arriaga Chavez1 ⚽
H. Figueroa1 ⚽
Atlético CholomaJ. Quejada3 ⚽
A. Villatoro3 ⚽
L. Ferreira2 ⚽
O. Zamora1 ⚽
J. Castillo1 ⚽
Alvarado1 ⚽
Cards Given
CD MarathonT. A. Sorto Caballero6 🟨
Y. Moreno5 🟨
B. Farioli4 🟨
S. Agurcia4 🟨
J. Rivera3 🟨
N. Messiniti3 🟨
Atlético CholomaJ. Barrios4 🟨
A. Villatoro4 🟨
Alvarado3 🟨
E. Florez3 🟨
H. Castillo3 🟨
C. Madrid3 🟨