Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana — Liga Nacional
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Atletico Independiente and Real Espana meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Atletico Independiente have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 0.91 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Real Espana have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Atletico Independiente and 1.29 for Real Espana. The models give Atletico Independiente a 30% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Real Espana win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Atletico Independiente—
Real Espana10º
Position
3º
1.00
PPG
2.10
20%
Win %
60%
0.80
Goals / game
1.50
1.60
Conceded / game
0.60
64%
BTTS %
54%
9%
Clean sheet %
38%
55%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
11.0
0.0%
Avg possession
45.0%
Home vs Away
Atletico Independiente
Home (5)
—
Real Espana
Away (5)
1.60
PPG
1.60
40%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
1.40
1.40
Conceded / game
0.80
67%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
45.0%
Goals Scored
| Atletico Independiente | Home | Away | Real Espana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 60% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 50% | 0% | 38% | 57% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 33% | 40% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico Independiente | Home | Away | Real Espana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 83% | 100% | 62% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 40% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 29% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 17% | 0% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico Independiente | Real Espana | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS | 64% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico Independiente | Real Espana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico Independiente (H)D
CD Marathon2–2
CD Marathon2–2L
Lobos Upnfm0–4
Lobos Upnfm0–4W
Juticalpa2–1
Juticalpa2–1D
CD Motagua0–0
CD Motagua0–0D
Génesis1–1
Génesis1–1W
Atlético Choloma2–1
Atlético Choloma2–1Real Espana (A)L
CD Olimpia1–2
CD Olimpia1–2W
Estrella Roja1–0
Estrella Roja1–0D
Olancho1–1
Olancho1–1DCD Marathon1–1
CD Marathon1–1W
Platense FC3–0
Platense FC3–0LCD Olimpia2–3
CD Olimpia2–3Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atletico Independiente | Real Espana |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Atletico Independiente
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Real Espana
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
16/08/26Atletico Independiente
Real Espana
1–1Atletico Independiente| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Atletico Independiente- ●Atletico Independiente have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Atletico Independiente's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Atletico Independiente's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atletico Independiente have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Real Espana- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Real Espana have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Espana have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Real Espana's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Real Espana have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Real Espana have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Atletico IndependienteDHCD Marathon2–2
CD Marathon2–2LHLobos Upnfm0–4
Lobos Upnfm0–4DAOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1LACD Olimpia0–4
CD Olimpia0–4WHJuticalpa2–1
Juticalpa2–1DHCD Motagua0–0
CD Motagua0–0–AEstrella Roja31/10
Estrella Roja31/10–AAtlético Choloma05/11
Atlético Choloma05/11–HReal Espana08/11
Real Espana08/11Real EspanaWHPlatense FC4–3
Platense FC4–3LACD Olimpia1–2
CD Olimpia1–2WAEstrella Roja1–0
Estrella Roja1–0WHCD Motagua1–0
CD Motagua1–0DAOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1WHLobos Upnfm2–0
Lobos Upnfm2–0–HJuticalpa31/10
Juticalpa31/10–AGénesis05/11
Génesis05/11–AAtletico Independiente08/11
Atletico Independiente08/11Top Scorers
Atletico IndependienteL. Melendez3 ⚽
S. Cruz3 ⚽
A. Cabrera1 ⚽
M. Techera1 ⚽
O. Cabrera1 ⚽
S. Espinoza1 ⚽
Real EspanaE. Hernandez5 ⚽
D. Sayago3 ⚽
D. Vuelto3 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
M. Aceituno2 ⚽
N. Cruz2 ⚽
Cards Given
Atletico IndependienteI. Martinez2 🟨
L. Melendez2 🟨
A. Cabrera2 🟨
D. Herrera2 🟨
D. Llorente2 🟨
W. Ramirez2 🟨
Real EspanaR. Osorto4 🟨
D. Aparicio4 🟨
D. Sayago3 🟨
D. Cacho3 🟨
M. Pereira3 🟨
C. Mejia2 🟨