Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua — Liga Nacional
← Back
vs
–
–
Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse·Choluteca·Honduras·8,000
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Lobos Upnfm and CD Motagua meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Lobos Upnfm have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. CD Motagua have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Lobos Upnfm and 1.06 for CD Motagua. The models give Lobos Upnfm a 33% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an CD Motagua win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Lobos Upnfm—
CD Motagua8º
Position
4º
1.20
PPG
1.90
30%
Win %
60%
1.10
Goals / game
1.50
1.20
Conceded / game
0.90
30%
BTTS %
39%
40%
Clean sheet %
50%
30%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lobos Upnfm
Home (4)
—
CD Motagua
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
1.40
25%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
1.20
0.75
Conceded / game
0.80
50%
BTTS %
25%
50%
Clean sheet %
63%
25%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lobos Upnfm | Home | Away | CD Motagua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 75% | 50% | 72% | 80% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 25% | 33% | 39% | 40% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 25% | 50% | 28% | 20% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Lobos Upnfm | Home | Away | CD Motagua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 60% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 25% | 50% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 63% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lobos Upnfm | CD Motagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS | 30% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lobos Upnfm | CD Motagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 61% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 80% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 28% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Lobos Upnfm (H)D
CD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon0–0W
Atlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0D
Estrella Roja2–2
Estrella Roja2–2D
Olancho1–1
Olancho1–1WCD Motagua2–1
CD Motagua2–1L
Génesis0–1
Génesis0–1CD Motagua (A)W
Platense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0L
Real Espana0–1
Real Espana0–1D
Alianza0–0
Alianza0–0D
Atletico Independiente0–0
Atletico Independiente0–0D
Municipal1–1
Municipal1–1L
CD Olimpia1–3
CD Olimpia1–3Head to Head · 40 matches
4
Lobos Upnfm
10%
10
Draws
25%
26
CD Motagua
65%
80%
Over 1.5
32/40
60%
Over 2.5
24/40
40%
Over 3.5
16/40
57%
BTTS
23/40
22/08/26Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
4–1Lobos Upnfm01/05/26CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
2–1CD Motagua11/03/26Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
2–0Lobos Upnfm28/11/25CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
0–0CD Motagua14/09/25Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
3–3Lobos Upnfm08/04/25CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
2–1CD Motagua07/02/25Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
5–0Lobos Upnfm28/09/24CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
0–2CD Motagua27/07/24Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
4–2Lobos Upnfm14/04/24Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
4–0Lobos Upnfm18/02/24CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
0–2CD Motagua09/11/23CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
1–4CD Motagua30/07/23Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
1–1Lobos Upnfm02/03/23Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
4–3Lobos Upnfm21/01/23CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
2–1CD Motagua21/10/22Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
2–2Lobos Upnfm21/08/22CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
2–3CD Motagua10/04/22Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
2–0Lobos Upnfm20/02/22CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
0–0CD Motagua21/11/21Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
3–1Lobos Upnfm| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Lobos Upnfm- ●Lobos Upnfm have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Lobos Upnfm's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Lobos Upnfm's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
CD Motagua- ●CD Motagua have won their last 2 matches.
- ●CD Motagua have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Lobos UpnfmWAAtletico Independiente4–0
Atletico Independiente4–0DHCD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon0–0WAPlatense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0WHAtlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0LAReal Espana0–2
Real Espana0–2LAJuticalpa0–1
Juticalpa0–1–HCD Olimpia25/10
CD Olimpia25/10–HGénesis31/10
Génesis31/10–AOlancho04/11
Olancho04/11CD MotaguaWAPlatense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0WHAtlético Choloma2–1
Atlético Choloma2–1LAReal Espana0–1
Real Espana0–1WHGénesis1–0
Génesis1–0DAAtletico Independiente0–0
Atletico Independiente0–0WHOlancho2–1
Olancho2–1–HJuticalpa25/10
Juticalpa25/10–HCD Marathon01/11
CD Marathon01/11–AEstrella Roja04/11
Estrella Roja04/11Top Scorers
Lobos UpnfmD. Carter5 ⚽
S. Elvir2 ⚽
D. Suazo1 ⚽
J. Garcia1 ⚽
J. Villafranca1 ⚽
Y. Hinestroza1 ⚽
CD MotaguaR. De Olivera6 ⚽
J. Moya5 ⚽
O. Discua2 ⚽
A. Reyes2 ⚽
L. Vega2 ⚽
J. Macias1 ⚽
Cards Given
Lobos UpnfmE. Lopez3 🟨
J. Ponce3 🟨
B. Lopez2 🟨
D. Suazo2 🟨
J. Nunez2 🟨
Y. Hinestroza2 🟨
CD MotaguaJ. Macias6 🟨
J. Serrano4 🟨
A. Reyes4 🟨
C. Melendez3 🟨
O. Discua3 🟨
J. Lopez2 🟨