Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente — Liga Nacional
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Atlético Choloma and Atletico Independiente meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Atlético Choloma have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Atletico Independiente have won 18% of their 11 matches, with 0.91 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Atlético Choloma and 0.80 for Atletico Independiente. The models give Atlético Choloma a 50% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Atletico Independiente win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Atlético Choloma—
Atletico Independiente5º
Position
10º
1.18
PPG
1.00
36%
Win %
20%
1.09
Goals / game
0.80
1.09
Conceded / game
1.60
45%
BTTS %
64%
27%
Clean sheet %
9%
45%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Atlético Choloma
Home (5)
—
Atletico Independiente
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.40
60%
Win %
0%
1.40
Goals / game
0.60
0.40
Conceded / game
1.80
20%
BTTS %
60%
60%
Clean sheet %
0%
20%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Atlético Choloma | Home | Away | Atletico Independiente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 60% | 67% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 60% | 17% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 40% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlético Choloma | Home | Away | Atletico Independiente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 40% | 100% | 91% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 0% | 67% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 60% | 0% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlético Choloma | Atletico Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 45% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlético Choloma | Atletico Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 73% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 73% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlético Choloma (H)W
Génesis3–1
Génesis3–1W
Estrella Roja2–0
Estrella Roja2–0D
Olancho0–0
Olancho0–0W
Platense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0L
CD Marathon0–1
CD Marathon0–1L
CD Olimpia1–3
CD Olimpia1–3Atletico Independiente (A)DOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1LCD Olimpia0–4
CD Olimpia0–4LPlatense FC1–2
Platense FC1–2D
Real Espana1–1
Real Espana1–1LCD Marathon0–1
CD Marathon0–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Atlético Choloma
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Atletico Independiente
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
10/08/26Atlético Choloma
Atletico Independiente
2–1Atlético Choloma| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 |  CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Atlético Choloma- ●Atlético Choloma have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●83% of Atlético Choloma's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●77% of Atlético Choloma's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atlético Choloma have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Atlético Choloma have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico Independiente- ●Atletico Independiente have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Atletico Independiente's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Atletico Independiente's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atletico Independiente have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Atlético CholomaWHGénesis3–1
Génesis3–1WAJuticalpa2–1
Juticalpa2–1LACD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2WHEstrella Roja2–0
Estrella Roja2–0LALobos Upnfm0–1
Lobos Upnfm0–1DHOlancho0–0
Olancho0–0–HCD Olimpia01/11
CD Olimpia01/11–HAtletico Independiente05/11
Atletico Independiente05/11–ACD Marathon09/11
CD Marathon09/11Atletico IndependienteDHCD Marathon2–2
CD Marathon2–2LHLobos Upnfm0–4
Lobos Upnfm0–4DAOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1LACD Olimpia0–4
CD Olimpia0–4WHJuticalpa2–1
Juticalpa2–1DHCD Motagua0–0
CD Motagua0–0–AEstrella Roja31/10
Estrella Roja31/10–AAtlético Choloma05/11
Atlético Choloma05/11–HReal Espana08/11
Real Espana08/11Top Scorers
Atlético CholomaJ. Quejada3 ⚽
A. Villatoro3 ⚽
L. Ferreira2 ⚽
O. Zamora1 ⚽
J. Castillo1 ⚽
Alvarado1 ⚽
Atletico IndependienteL. Melendez3 ⚽
S. Cruz3 ⚽
A. Cabrera1 ⚽
M. Techera1 ⚽
O. Cabrera1 ⚽
S. Espinoza1 ⚽
Cards Given
Atlético CholomaJ. Barrios4 🟨
A. Villatoro4 🟨
Alvarado3 🟨
E. Florez3 🟨
H. Castillo3 🟨
C. Madrid3 🟨
Atletico IndependienteI. Martinez2 🟨
L. Melendez2 🟨
A. Cabrera2 🟨
D. Herrera2 🟨
D. Llorente2 🟨
W. Ramirez2 🟨