Génesis vs Real Espana — Liga Nacional
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Génesis and Real Espana meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Génesis have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Real Espana have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Génesis and 1.11 for Real Espana. The models give Génesis a 31% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Real Espana win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Génesis—
Real Espana9º
Position
3º
1.00
PPG
2.10
27%
Win %
60%
1.09
Goals / game
1.50
1.09
Conceded / game
0.60
36%
BTTS %
54%
36%
Clean sheet %
38%
45%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
11.0
0.0%
Avg possession
45.0%
Home vs Away
Génesis
Home (6)
—
Real Espana
Away (5)
1.17
PPG
1.60
33%
Win %
40%
1.17
Goals / game
1.40
0.83
Conceded / game
0.80
33%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
45.0%
Goals Scored
| Génesis | Home | Away | Real Espana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 60% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 20% | 38% | 57% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 33% | 40% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Génesis | Home | Away | Real Espana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 80% | 62% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 40% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 20% | 15% | 29% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 50% | 20% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Génesis | Real Espana | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS | 36% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Génesis | Real Espana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Génesis (H)L
Estrella Roja1–2
Estrella Roja1–2L
CD Olimpia0–1
CD Olimpia0–1D
Olancho0–0
Olancho0–0L
CD Marathon1–2
CD Marathon1–2W
Platense FC3–0
Platense FC3–0W
Atlético Choloma2–0
Atlético Choloma2–0Real Espana (A)LCD Olimpia1–2
CD Olimpia1–2WEstrella Roja1–0
Estrella Roja1–0DOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1DCD Marathon1–1
CD Marathon1–1WPlatense FC3–0
Platense FC3–0LCD Olimpia2–3
CD Olimpia2–3Team Corners
| Team Corners | Génesis | Real Espana |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
3
Génesis
20%
5
Draws
33%
7
Real Espana
47%
73%
Over 1.5
11/15
27%
Over 2.5
4/15
0%
Over 3.5
0/15
53%
BTTS
8/15
09/08/26Génesis
Real Espana
2–0Génesis19/03/26Génesis
Real Espana
2–1Génesis28/01/26Real Espana
Génesis
1–2Real Espana27/11/25Génesis
Real Espana
1–0Génesis15/09/25Real Espana
Génesis
1–1Real Espana06/03/25Real Espana
Génesis
2–0Real Espana19/01/25Génesis
Real Espana
1–1Génesis07/12/24Génesis
Real Espana
2–0Génesis05/12/24Real Espana
Génesis
1–1Real Espana27/10/24Real Espana
Génesis
1–1Real Espana17/08/24Génesis
Real Espana
1–0Génesis24/04/24Génesis
Real Espana
2–1Génesis28/02/24Real Espana
Génesis
1–0Real Espana24/10/23Génesis
Real Espana
0–0Génesis27/08/23Real Espana
Génesis
2–1Real Espana| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 |  CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Génesis- ●Génesis have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Génesis have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Génesis have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Génesis have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Génesis have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Génesis failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Real Espana- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Real Espana have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Espana have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Real Espana's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Real Espana have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Real Espana have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GénesisLAAtlético Choloma1–3
Atlético Choloma1–3LHEstrella Roja1–2
Estrella Roja1–2LHCD Olimpia0–1
CD Olimpia0–1DHOlancho0–0
Olancho0–0LACD Motagua0–1
CD Motagua0–1WAJuticalpa3–0
Juticalpa3–0–ALobos Upnfm31/10
Lobos Upnfm31/10–HReal Espana05/11
Real Espana05/11–APlatense FC08/11
Platense FC08/11Real EspanaWHPlatense FC4–3
Platense FC4–3LACD Olimpia1–2
CD Olimpia1–2WAEstrella Roja1–0
Estrella Roja1–0WHCD Motagua1–0
CD Motagua1–0DAOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1WHLobos Upnfm2–0
Lobos Upnfm2–0–HJuticalpa31/10
Juticalpa31/10–AGénesis05/11
Génesis05/11–AAtletico Independiente08/11
Atletico Independiente08/11Top Scorers
GénesisE. Alderete3 ⚽
C. I. Arzu Zapata2 ⚽
D. Nunez2 ⚽
J. Figueroa1 ⚽
R. Sander1 ⚽
B. Felix1 ⚽
Real EspanaE. Hernandez5 ⚽
D. Sayago3 ⚽
D. Vuelto3 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
M. Aceituno2 ⚽
N. Cruz2 ⚽
Cards Given
GénesisM. Gamboa4 🟨
C. Guillen4 🟨
D. Nunez3 🟨
A. Vargas3 🟨
R. Sander3 🟨
Gabriel Araujo2 🟨
Real EspanaR. Osorto4 🟨
D. Aparicio4 🟨
D. Sayago3 🟨
D. Cacho3 🟨
M. Pereira3 🟨
C. Mejia2 🟨