Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm — Liga Nacional
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Estadio Juan Ramón Brevé Vargas·Juticalpa·Honduras·22,000
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Olancho and Lobos Upnfm meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Olancho have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Lobos Upnfm have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 30%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Olancho and 1.15 for Lobos Upnfm. The models give Olancho a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Lobos Upnfm win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Olancho—
Lobos Upnfm6º
Position
8º
1.18
PPG
1.20
18%
Win %
30%
1.00
Goals / game
1.10
1.00
Conceded / game
1.20
64%
BTTS %
30%
36%
Clean sheet %
40%
27%
Over 2.5 %
30%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Olancho
Home (5)
—
Lobos Upnfm
Away (6)
1.40
PPG
1.00
20%
Win %
33%
1.40
Goals / game
1.17
1.20
Conceded / game
1.50
80%
BTTS %
17%
20%
Clean sheet %
33%
20%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Olancho | Home | Away | Lobos Upnfm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 67% | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Olancho | Home | Away | Lobos Upnfm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 80% | 50% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 20% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 20% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 20% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Olancho | Lobos Upnfm | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 10% |
| BTTS | 64% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 45% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Olancho | Lobos Upnfm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 9% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 80% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 45% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 9% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Olancho (H)D
Estrella Roja3–3
Estrella Roja3–3D
Atletico Independiente1–1
Atletico Independiente1–1D
Real Espana1–1
Real Espana1–1D
CD Olimpia1–1
CD Olimpia1–1W
Juticalpa1–0
Juticalpa1–0L
CD Motagua0–2
CD Motagua0–2Lobos Upnfm (A)WAtletico Independiente4–0
Atletico Independiente4–0W
Platense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0LReal Espana0–2
Real Espana0–2LJuticalpa0–1
Juticalpa0–1LCD Motagua1–4
CD Motagua1–4LCD Olimpia0–2
CD Olimpia0–2Head to Head · 17 matches
7
Olancho
41%
7
Draws
41%
3
Lobos Upnfm
18%
76%
Over 1.5
13/17
47%
Over 2.5
8/17
24%
Over 3.5
4/17
65%
BTTS
11/17
08/08/26Olancho
Lobos Upnfm
1–1Olancho24/03/26Olancho
Lobos Upnfm
2–1Olancho02/02/26Lobos Upnfm
Olancho
1–1Lobos Upnfm08/11/25Lobos Upnfm
Olancho
1–1Lobos Upnfm10/09/25Olancho
Lobos Upnfm
1–1Olancho28/04/25Lobos Upnfm
Olancho
3–2Lobos Upnfm22/02/25Olancho
Lobos Upnfm
1–1Olancho05/10/24Lobos Upnfm
Olancho
4–0Lobos Upnfm03/08/24Olancho
Lobos Upnfm
1–0Olancho06/04/24Olancho
Lobos Upnfm
0–1Olancho10/02/24Lobos Upnfm
Olancho
0–0Lobos Upnfm11/11/23Olancho
Lobos Upnfm
2–2Olancho17/09/23Lobos Upnfm
Olancho
2–1Lobos Upnfm01/04/23Olancho
Lobos Upnfm
1–0Olancho05/02/23Lobos Upnfm
Olancho
4–1Lobos Upnfm06/11/22Lobos Upnfm
Olancho
3–0Lobos Upnfm01/09/22Olancho
Lobos Upnfm
1–2Olancho| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Olancho- ●Olancho have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Olancho have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Olancho have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Olancho failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Olancho have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Olancho's goals have been scored at home.
Lobos Upnfm- ●Lobos Upnfm have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Lobos Upnfm's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Lobos Upnfm's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
OlanchoDHEstrella Roja3–3
Estrella Roja3–3LACD Marathon1–2
CD Marathon1–2DHAtletico Independiente1–1
Atletico Independiente1–1DAGénesis0–0
Génesis0–0DHReal Espana1–1
Real Espana1–1DAAtlético Choloma0–0
Atlético Choloma0–0–HPlatense FC01/11
Platense FC01/11–HLobos Upnfm04/11
Lobos Upnfm04/11–ACD Olimpia08/11
CD Olimpia08/11Lobos UpnfmWAAtletico Independiente4–0
Atletico Independiente4–0DHCD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon0–0WAPlatense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0WHAtlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0LAReal Espana0–2
Real Espana0–2LAJuticalpa0–1
Juticalpa0–1–HCD Olimpia25/10
CD Olimpia25/10–HGénesis31/10
Génesis31/10–AOlancho04/11
Olancho04/11Top Scorers
OlanchoM. R. Ramirez Arauz2 ⚽
J. Bengtson2 ⚽
Joanderson2 ⚽
C. J. Zuniga Bernardez1 ⚽
O. Almendarez1 ⚽
O. Padilla1 ⚽
Lobos UpnfmD. Carter5 ⚽
S. Elvir2 ⚽
D. Suazo1 ⚽
J. Garcia1 ⚽
J. Villafranca1 ⚽
Y. Hinestroza1 ⚽
Cards Given
OlanchoH. Gomez7 🟨
D. Martinez5 🟨
N. Munoz3 🟨
J. Lasso2 🟨
C. J. Zuniga Bernardez2 🟨
J. Delgado2 🟨
Lobos UpnfmE. Lopez3 🟨
J. Ponce3 🟨
B. Lopez2 🟨
D. Suazo2 🟨
J. Nunez2 🟨
Y. Hinestroza2 🟨