CD Motagua vs CD Marathon — Liga Nacional
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CD Motagua and CD Marathon meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 1 November 2026. CD Motagua have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. CD Marathon have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for CD Motagua and 1.06 for CD Marathon. The models give CD Motagua a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an CD Marathon win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
CD Motagua—
CD Marathon4º
Position
2º
1.90
PPG
2.10
60%
Win %
60%
1.50
Goals / game
1.60
0.90
Conceded / game
0.70
39%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
44%
44%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
CD Motagua
Home (5)
—
CD Marathon
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
1.60
80%
Win %
40%
1.80
Goals / game
1.20
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
56%
40%
Clean sheet %
44%
50%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| CD Motagua | Home | Away | CD Marathon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 80% | 63% | 83% | 89% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 40% | 38% | 50% | 56% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 22% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 20% | 38% | 17% | 11% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| CD Motagua | Home | Away | CD Marathon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 60% | 38% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 20% | 13% | 22% | 11% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 11% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 63% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| CD Motagua | CD Marathon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS | 39% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| CD Motagua | CD Marathon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 61% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 28% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
CD Motagua (H)D
LD Alajuelense0–0
LD Alajuelense0–0W
Atlético Choloma2–1
Atlético Choloma2–1W
Génesis1–0
Génesis1–0W
Alianza3–0
Alianza3–0W
Olancho2–1
Olancho2–1W
Lobos Upnfm4–1
Lobos Upnfm4–1CD Marathon (A)D
Atletico Independiente2–2
Atletico Independiente2–2DLobos Upnfm0–0
Lobos Upnfm0–0L
Juticalpa2–3
Juticalpa2–3LLD Alajuelense1–3
LD Alajuelense1–3WGénesis2–1
Génesis2–1WAtlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0Head to Head · 80 matches
33
CD Motagua
41%
26
Draws
33%
21
CD Marathon
26%
81%
Over 1.5
65/80
50%
Over 2.5
40/80
21%
Over 3.5
17/80
60%
BTTS
48/80
24/05/26CD Marathon
CD Motagua
0–0CD Marathon22/05/26CD Motagua
CD Marathon
1–1CD Motagua10/04/26CD Motagua
CD Marathon
1–0CD Motagua15/02/26CD Marathon
CD Motagua
1–1CD Marathon25/10/25CD Motagua
CD Marathon
1–0CD Motagua18/08/25CD Marathon
CD Motagua
3–3CD Marathon30/03/25CD Motagua
CD Marathon
1–1CD Motagua31/01/25CD Marathon
CD Motagua
2–2CD Marathon06/11/24CD Motagua
CD Marathon
2–1CD Motagua01/09/24CD Marathon
CD Motagua
0–1CD Marathon07/04/24CD Motagua
CD Marathon
1–1CD Motagua11/02/24CD Marathon
CD Motagua
2–0CD Marathon09/12/23CD Motagua
CD Marathon
2–2CD Motagua07/12/23CD Marathon
CD Motagua
2–1CD Marathon07/10/23CD Motagua
CD Marathon
2–1CD Motagua13/08/23CD Marathon
CD Motagua
3–0CD Marathon07/05/23CD Motagua
CD Marathon
0–0CD Motagua04/05/23CD Marathon
CD Motagua
1–2CD Marathon23/04/23CD Marathon
CD Motagua
2–2CD Marathon19/02/23CD Motagua
CD Marathon
1–1CD Motagua| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 |  Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
CD Motagua- ●CD Motagua have won their last 2 matches.
- ●CD Motagua have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
CD Marathon- ●CD Marathon have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●CD Marathon have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●78% of CD Marathon's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●CD Marathon have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●CD Marathon have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CD MotaguaWAPlatense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0WHAtlético Choloma2–1
Atlético Choloma2–1LAReal Espana0–1
Real Espana0–1WHGénesis1–0
Génesis1–0DAAtletico Independiente0–0
Atletico Independiente0–0WHOlancho2–1
Olancho2–1–HJuticalpa25/10
Juticalpa25/10–HCD Marathon01/11
CD Marathon01/11–AEstrella Roja04/11
Estrella Roja04/11CD MarathonDAAtletico Independiente2–2
Atletico Independiente2–2WHOlancho2–1
Olancho2–1DALobos Upnfm0–0
Lobos Upnfm0–0LAJuticalpa2–3
Juticalpa2–3WHCD Olimpia1–0
CD Olimpia1–0WHEstrella Roja5–0
Estrella Roja5–0–ACD Motagua01/11
CD Motagua01/11–HPlatense FC06/11
Platense FC06/11–HAtlético Choloma09/11
Atlético Choloma09/11Top Scorers
CD MotaguaR. De Olivera6 ⚽
J. Moya5 ⚽
O. Discua2 ⚽
A. Reyes2 ⚽
L. Vega2 ⚽
J. Macias1 ⚽
CD MarathonN. Messiniti9 ⚽
D. Ramirez5 ⚽
Y. Moreno3 ⚽
I. Castillo2 ⚽
J. A. Arriaga Chavez1 ⚽
H. Figueroa1 ⚽
Cards Given
CD MotaguaJ. Macias6 🟨
J. Serrano4 🟨
A. Reyes4 🟨
C. Melendez3 🟨
O. Discua3 🟨
J. Lopez2 🟨
CD MarathonT. A. Sorto Caballero6 🟨
Y. Moreno5 🟨
B. Farioli4 🟨
S. Agurcia4 🟨
J. Rivera3 🟨
N. Messiniti3 🟨