Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis — Liga Nacional
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Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse·Choluteca·Honduras·8,000
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Lobos Upnfm and Génesis meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Lobos Upnfm have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Génesis have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Lobos Upnfm and 1.00 for Génesis. The models give Lobos Upnfm a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Génesis win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Lobos Upnfm—
Génesis8º
Position
9º
1.20
PPG
1.00
30%
Win %
27%
1.10
Goals / game
1.09
1.20
Conceded / game
1.09
30%
BTTS %
36%
40%
Clean sheet %
36%
30%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lobos Upnfm
Home (4)
—
Génesis
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
0.80
25%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.75
Conceded / game
1.40
50%
BTTS %
40%
50%
Clean sheet %
20%
25%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lobos Upnfm | Home | Away | Génesis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 75% | 50% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 25% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 25% | 50% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Lobos Upnfm | Home | Away | Génesis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 64% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 25% | 50% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% | 36% | 50% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lobos Upnfm | Génesis | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS | 30% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lobos Upnfm | Génesis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 80% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Lobos Upnfm (H)D
CD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon0–0W
Atlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0D
Estrella Roja2–2
Estrella Roja2–2D
Olancho1–1
Olancho1–1W
CD Motagua2–1
CD Motagua2–1LGénesis0–1
Génesis0–1Génesis (A)LAtlético Choloma1–3
Atlético Choloma1–3LCD Motagua0–1
CD Motagua0–1W
Juticalpa3–0
Juticalpa3–0D
Atletico Independiente1–1
Atletico Independiente1–1L
Real Espana0–2
Real Espana0–2LCD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2Head to Head · 12 matches
4
Lobos Upnfm
33%
2
Draws
17%
6
Génesis
50%
58%
Over 1.5
7/12
42%
Over 2.5
5/12
25%
Over 3.5
3/12
33%
BTTS
4/12
23/04/26Génesis
Lobos Upnfm
0–1Génesis02/03/26Lobos Upnfm
Génesis
0–2Lobos Upnfm27/09/25Lobos Upnfm
Génesis
2–3Lobos Upnfm23/07/25Génesis
Lobos Upnfm
2–1Génesis12/03/25Génesis
Lobos Upnfm
1–1Génesis25/01/25Lobos Upnfm
Génesis
4–0Lobos Upnfm20/10/24Génesis
Lobos Upnfm
1–4Génesis10/08/24Lobos Upnfm
Génesis
3–0Lobos Upnfm28/04/24Lobos Upnfm
Génesis
1–0Lobos Upnfm05/03/24Génesis
Lobos Upnfm
0–0Génesis18/10/23Lobos Upnfm
Génesis
1–0Lobos Upnfm19/08/23Génesis
Lobos Upnfm
1–0Génesis| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 |  Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Lobos Upnfm- ●Lobos Upnfm have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Lobos Upnfm's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Lobos Upnfm's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Génesis- ●Génesis have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Génesis have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Génesis have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Génesis have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Génesis have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Génesis failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Lobos UpnfmWAAtletico Independiente4–0
Atletico Independiente4–0DHCD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon0–0WAPlatense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0WHAtlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0LAReal Espana0–2
Real Espana0–2LAJuticalpa0–1
Juticalpa0–1–HCD Olimpia25/10
CD Olimpia25/10–HGénesis31/10
Génesis31/10–AOlancho04/11
Olancho04/11GénesisLAAtlético Choloma1–3
Atlético Choloma1–3LHEstrella Roja1–2
Estrella Roja1–2LHCD Olimpia0–1
CD Olimpia0–1DHOlancho0–0
Olancho0–0LACD Motagua0–1
CD Motagua0–1WAJuticalpa3–0
Juticalpa3–0–ALobos Upnfm31/10
Lobos Upnfm31/10–HReal Espana05/11
Real Espana05/11–APlatense FC08/11
Platense FC08/11Top Scorers
Lobos UpnfmD. Carter5 ⚽
S. Elvir2 ⚽
D. Suazo1 ⚽
J. Garcia1 ⚽
J. Villafranca1 ⚽
Y. Hinestroza1 ⚽
GénesisE. Alderete3 ⚽
C. I. Arzu Zapata2 ⚽
D. Nunez2 ⚽
J. Figueroa1 ⚽
R. Sander1 ⚽
B. Felix1 ⚽
Cards Given
Lobos UpnfmE. Lopez3 🟨
J. Ponce3 🟨
B. Lopez2 🟨
D. Suazo2 🟨
J. Nunez2 🟨
Y. Hinestroza2 🟨
GénesisM. Gamboa4 🟨
C. Guillen4 🟨
D. Nunez3 🟨
A. Vargas3 🟨
R. Sander3 🟨
Gabriel Araujo2 🟨