Negelle Arsi vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Premier League
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Negelle Arsi and Welwalo Adigrat Uni meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 10 December 2026. Negelle Arsi have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Welwalo Adigrat Uni have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.98 for Negelle Arsi and 0.84 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni. The models give Negelle Arsi a 45% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Welwalo Adigrat Uni win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 27% and BTTS at 35%.
Season Statistics
Negelle ArsiWelwalo Adigrat UniHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Negelle Arsi | Home | Away | Welwalo Adigrat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 75% | 56% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 50% | 22% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 25% | 44% | 67% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Negelle Arsi | Home | Away | Welwalo Adigrat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 50% | 0% | 44% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Negelle Arsi | Welwalo Adigrat | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Negelle Arsi | Welwalo Adigrat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 71% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 14% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 83% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Negelle Arsi (H)
Adama Kenema1–0
Ethiopia Nigd Bank2–0
Awassa Kenema2–1
Suhul Shire0–0
Dire Dawa Kenema3–0
Fasil Ketema0–0Welwalo Adigrat (A)
Welayta Dicha0–2
Al Ahli Tripoli1–4
Halaba Ketema1–1
Al Hilal Port Sudan1–2
Sidama Bunna2–0
Arba Minch Kenema1–0Head to Head · 2 matches
Negelle ArsiWelwalo Adigrat Uni| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Negelle Arsi | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 |  Mekelakeya | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | Welayta Dicha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 8 |
| 4 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Halaba Ketema | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 8 |
| 6 |  Ethiopian Medhin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Bahardar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Mebrat Hayl | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  Kedus Giorgis | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Adama Kenema | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Awassa Kenema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 |  Sheger Ketema | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Hadiya Hosaena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 |  Ethiopia Bunna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Fasil Ketema | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Sidama Bunna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 |  Gamo Chencha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Team Insights
Negelle Arsi- ●Negelle Arsi have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Negelle Arsi have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●73% of Negelle Arsi's points have been earned away.
Welwalo Adigrat—
Season Schedule
Negelle ArsiSheger Ketema2–1Adama Kenema1–0Ethiopia Bunna3–0Mebrat Hayl0–0Kedus Giorgis1–1Gamo Chencha20/11Sidama Bunna24/11Awassa Kenema29/11Welwalo AdigratWelayta Dicha0–2Halaba Ketema1–1Mekelakeya20/11Ethiopia Nigd Bank25/11Ethiopian Medhin30/11Top Scorers
Negelle ArsiWelwalo AdigratCards Given
Negelle ArsiWelwalo Adigrat