Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr — Azadegan League
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Novin Ahvaz and Ario Eslamshahr meet in the Azadegan League 2026 season on 9 November 2026. Novin Ahvaz have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Ario Eslamshahr have won 67% of their 6 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 17%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.93 for Novin Ahvaz and 0.88 for Ario Eslamshahr. The models give Novin Ahvaz a 36% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Ario Eslamshahr win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 27% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
Novin AhvazArio EslamshahrHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Novin Ahvaz | Home | Away | Ario Eslamshahr | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 67% | 100% | 67% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Novin Ahvaz | Home | Away | Ario Eslamshahr | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Novin Ahvaz | Ario Eslamshahr | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 67% | 17% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 67% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Novin Ahvaz | Ario Eslamshahr | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Novin Ahvaz (H)
Naft Masjed Soleyman1–1
Shahin Bandar Ameri2–2
Niroye Zamini0–1Ario Eslamshahr (A)
Mes Rafsanjan0–1
Naft Gachsaran1–0
Nassaji Mazandaran2–1
Damash Gilanian1–1
Saipa0–1Niroye Zamini0–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mes Rafsanjan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 2 |  Pars Jonoubi JAM | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 14 |
| 3 | Ario Eslamshahr | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 4 |  Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Saipa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 |  Fard Alborz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Mes Soongoun | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Be'sat Kermanshah | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Novin Ahvaz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Naft Gachsaran | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Naft Bandar Abbas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Niroye Zamini | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Mes Kerman | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |  Havadar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
Team Insights
Novin Ahvaz- ●Novin Ahvaz have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Novin Ahvaz have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Novin Ahvaz have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●71% of Novin Ahvaz's points have been earned away.
Ario Eslamshahr- ●Ario Eslamshahr have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ario Eslamshahr have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●89% of Ario Eslamshahr's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Ario Eslamshahr's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Novin AhvazHavadar1–0Naft Masjed Soleyman1–1Naft Gachsaran1–1Shahin Bandar Ameri2–2Shenavarsazi Qeshm2–2Niroye Zamini0–1Be'sat Kermanshah27/10Naft Bandar Abbas02/11Ario Eslamshahr09/11Ario EslamshahrNaft Bandar Abbas4–0Be'sat Kermanshah2–1Mes Rafsanjan0–1Havadar2–0Naft Gachsaran1–0Naft Masjed Soleyman0–3Pars Jonoubi JAM27/10Fard Alborz02/11Novin Ahvaz09/11Top Scorers
Novin AhvazArio Eslamshahr