South Melbourne vs Canberra FC — Australian Championship
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South Melbourne and Canberra FC meet in the Australian Championship 2026 season on 20 November 2026. South Melbourne have recorded 29 wins from 54 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 2.04 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Canberra FC have won 75% of their 24 matches, with 2.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for South Melbourne and 1.50 for Canberra FC. The models give South Melbourne a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Canberra FC win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
South MelbourneCanberra FCHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| South Melbourne | Home | Away | Canberra FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 87% | 83% | 88% | 85% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 50% | 58% | 71% | 69% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 25% | 54% | 54% | 55% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 15% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| South Melbourne | Home | Away | Canberra FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 77% | 67% | 71% | 54% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 50% | 25% | 38% | 38% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 15% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 23% | 33% | 29% | 46% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| South Melbourne | Canberra FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 42% |
| BTTS | 59% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 46% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| South Melbourne | Canberra FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 58% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
South Melbourne (H)
Sydney United1–1
Melbourne Victory1–1
Lions3–1
Heidelberg United2–1Heidelberg United1–2
Fremantle City3–3Canberra FC (A)Sydney United1–1
Monaro Panthers3–2
Canberra Juventus5–2
Cooma Tigers FC1–1
Canberra White Eagles2–1
Belconnen United4–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Broadmeadow Magic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 1 | South Melbourne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 1 |  Oakleigh Cannons | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 1 |  South Hobart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Wests APIA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Sutherland Sharks | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Bayswater City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Lions | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sydney United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Wollongong Wolves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 |
| 3 |  Avondale | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Marconi Stallions | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 |  Adelaide City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Canberra FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 |  Preston Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Sydney Olympic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Season Schedule
South MelbourneSydney United1–1Sutherland Sharks1–0Canberra FC29/10Sutherland Sharks07/11Sydney United14/11Canberra FCSutherland Sharks0–2Sydney United1–1South Melbourne29/10Sydney United06/11Sutherland Sharks15/11Top Scorers
South MelbourneCanberra FCCards Given
South MelbourneCanberra FC