Sydney United vs South Melbourne — Australian Championship
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Sydney United and South Melbourne meet in the Australian Championship 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Sydney United have recorded 22 wins from 36 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. South Melbourne have won 54% of their 54 matches, with 2.04 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Sydney United and 1.32 for South Melbourne. The models give Sydney United a 32% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an South Melbourne win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sydney United | Home | Away | South Melbourne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 78% | 78% | 85% | 87% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 44% | 44% | 54% | 50% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 28% | 17% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 22% | 22% | 15% | 13% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Sydney United | Home | Away | South Melbourne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 39% | 78% | 72% | 77% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 11% | 17% | 39% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 61% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sydney United | South Melbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 24% |
| BTTS | 44% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sydney United | South Melbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |