South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks — Australian Championship
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South Melbourne and Sutherland Sharks meet in the Australian Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. South Melbourne have recorded 29 wins from 54 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 2.04 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Sutherland Sharks have won 45% of their 33 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for South Melbourne and 1.44 for Sutherland Sharks. The models give South Melbourne a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sutherland Sharks win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| South Melbourne | Home | Away | Sutherland Sharks | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 87% | 83% | 82% | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 50% | 58% | 45% | 41% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 25% | 21% | 18% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 12% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| South Melbourne | Home | Away | Sutherland Sharks | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 77% | 67% | 79% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 35% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 23% | 33% | 21% | 18% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| South Melbourne | Sutherland Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 12% |
| BTTS | 59% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| South Melbourne | Sutherland Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 12% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |