Canberra FC vs South Melbourne — Australian Championship
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Canberra FC and South Melbourne meet in the Australian Championship 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Canberra FC have recorded 18 wins from 24 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 2.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. South Melbourne have won 54% of their 54 matches, with 2.04 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Canberra FC and 1.48 for South Melbourne. The models give Canberra FC a 30% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an South Melbourne win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Canberra FCSouth MelbourneHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Canberra FC | Home | Away | South Melbourne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 85% | 91% | 85% | 87% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 69% | 73% | 54% | 50% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 54% | 54% | 55% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 15% | 9% | 15% | 13% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Canberra FC | Home | Away | South Melbourne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 54% | 91% | 72% | 77% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 38% | 36% | 39% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 15% | 9% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 46% | 9% | 28% | 23% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Canberra FC | South Melbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 24% |
| BTTS | 58% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 46% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Canberra FC | South Melbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Canberra FC (H)
Sutherland Sharks0–2
Cooma Tigers FC0–3
Queanbeyan City1–0
Belconnen United4–0
O'Connor Knights5–4
Canberra Juventus4–0South Melbourne (A)Sutherland Sharks1–0
Oakleigh Cannons1–2
Sunshine Georgies0–1
Preston Lions2–1
Melbourne City II3–0Oakleigh Cannons2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Broadmeadow Magic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 1 | South Melbourne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 1 |  South Hobart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Wests APIA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 | Sutherland Sharks | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Bayswater City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Lions | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Sydney United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Wollongong Wolves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 |
| 3 |  Avondale | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Marconi Stallions | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 |  Adelaide City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Canberra FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Preston Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Sydney Olympic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Season Schedule
Canberra FCSutherland Sharks0–2Sydney United1–1South Melbourne29/10Sydney United06/11Sutherland Sharks15/11South MelbourneSydney United1–1Sutherland Sharks1–0Canberra FC29/10Sutherland Sharks07/11Sydney United14/11Top Scorers
Canberra FCSouth MelbourneCards Given
Canberra FCSouth Melbourne