Emelec vs Leones del Norte — Liga Pro
← Back
vs
–
–
Estadio George Capwell·Guayaquil·Ecuador·36,007
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Emelec and Leones del Norte meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Emelec have recorded 11 wins from 33 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Leones del Norte have won 30% of their 33 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Emelec and 0.89 for Leones del Norte. The models give Emelec a 45% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Leones del Norte win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Emelec—
Leones del Norte11º
Position
8º
1.30
PPG
1.30
33%
Win %
33%
0.83
Goals / game
1.03
1.13
Conceded / game
1.07
45%
BTTS %
48%
30%
Clean sheet %
30%
27%
Over 2.5 %
36%
4.7
Avg corners
4.3
12.0
Avg shots
13.1
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.3
10.9
Avg fouls
11.9
47.9%
Avg possession
47.3%
Home vs Away
Emelec
Home (15)
—
Leones del Norte
Away (15)
1.87
PPG
1.07
53%
Win %
27%
1.13
Goals / game
0.87
0.87
Conceded / game
1.27
50%
BTTS %
47%
38%
Clean sheet %
29%
31%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.7
Avg corners
4.3
12.0
Avg shots
13.1
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.3
47.9%
Avg possession
47.3%
Goals Scored
| Emelec | Home | Away | Leones del | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 81% | 53% | 74% | 82% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 31% | 18% | 21% | 29% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 19% | 47% | 26% | 18% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Emelec | Home | Away | Leones del | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 63% | 76% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 41% | 32% | 18% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 38% | 24% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Emelec | Leones del | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 12% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 6% |
| BTTS | 45% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 26% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Emelec | Leones del | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Emelec (H)L
Libertad1–2
Libertad1–2W
Manta FC1–0
Manta FC1–0WLeones del Norte2–1
Leones del Norte2–1W
Tecnico Universitario2–1
Tecnico Universitario2–1L
Aucas0–2
Aucas0–2D
Mushuc Runa SC1–1
Mushuc Runa SC1–1Leones del (A)LLibertad0–3
Libertad0–3D
Guayaquil City FC1–1
Guayaquil City FC1–1DMushuc Runa SC1–1
Mushuc Runa SC1–1LEmelec1–2
Emelec1–2WManta FC2–0
Manta FC2–0LAucas0–3
Aucas0–3Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
31 games
League Avg
9.3
252 games
9.1
Corners / Match
32 games
| Match Corners | Emelec | Leones del | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 87% | 81% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 72% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 59% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 44% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 31% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 35% | 19% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 26% | 13% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 16% | 3% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Emelec | Leones del |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 84% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 68% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 39% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 84% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 58% | 47% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Emelec
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
Leones del
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
18/10/26Emelec
Leones del Norte
1–3Emelec30/08/26Leones del Norte
Emelec
2–1Leones del Norte03/05/26Emelec
Leones del Norte
2–0Emelec08/10/25Emelec
Leones del Norte
0–0Emelec| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | +40 | 78 |
| 2 |  Macara | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | +11 | 60 |
| 3 |  Universidad Catolica | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | +22 | 53 |
| 4 |  LDU de Quito | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 | Aucas | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +3 | 51 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | +6 | 45 |
| 7 | Libertad | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 50 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Emelec | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -9 | 42 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -6 | 40 |
| 11 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | -4 | 40 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 38 |
| 14 |  Delfin SC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Tecnico Universitario | 33 | 10 | 3 | 20 | -16 | 33 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | -27 | 27 |
Team Insights
Emelec- ●Emelec have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Emelec failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Emelec failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.
Leones del- ●Leones del Norte failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Leones del Norte failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Leones del Norte failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●62% of Leones del Norte's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
EmelecWALeones del Norte3–1
Leones del Norte3–1LAGuayaquil City FC2–3
Guayaquil City FC2–3LHLibertad1–2
Libertad1–2LAMacara0–1
Macara0–1WHManta FC1–0
Manta FC1–0DALibertad1–1
Libertad1–1–HGuayaquil City FC25/10
Guayaquil City FC25/10–HLeones del Norte01/11
Leones del Norte01/11–ALibertad08/11
Libertad08/11Leones delWHLibertad4–1
Libertad4–1LHEmelec1–3
Emelec1–3LALibertad0–3
Libertad0–3DAGuayaquil City FC1–1
Guayaquil City FC1–1LHTecnico Universitario0–1
Tecnico Universitario0–1DAMushuc Runa SC1–1
Mushuc Runa SC1–1–AEmelec01/11
Emelec01/11–HGuayaquil City FC08/11
Guayaquil City FC08/11Top Scorers
EmelecL. Klimowicz7 ⚽
J. Ruiz4 ⚽
Ronie Carrillo3 ⚽
R. Caicedo2 ⚽
I. Guerrico2 ⚽
A. Leguizamon2 ⚽
Leones delJ. Anangono10 ⚽
E. Griffa5 ⚽
D. Pazmino3 ⚽
C. Solano3 ⚽
Martín Caramuto3 ⚽
E. Pepinos2 ⚽
Cards Given
EmelecIgnacio Guerrico7 🟨
Víctor Griffith6 🟨
Aníbal Leguizamón6 🟨
A. Leguizamon5 🟨
Angelo Mina4 🟨
Stalin Valencia4 🟨
Leones delJordan Morán8 🟨
Nicolás Monserrat6 🟨
Emiliano Griffa6 🟨
Jonathan Arroyo6 🟨
Ariel Aguas4 🟨
Cristhian Solano3 🟨