Ecuador · Liga Pro · Placement Group - 4

Emelec

11º · 1.30 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 0h

–

Guayaquil City FC

9º · 1.30 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 8d 2h

Estadio George Capwell·Guayaquil·Ecuador·36,007

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Emelec and Guayaquil City FC meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Emelec have recorded 11 wins from 33 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Guayaquil City FC have won 33% of their 36 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Emelec and 1.05 for Guayaquil City FC. The models give Emelec a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Guayaquil City FC win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.

Season Statistics

Emelec

—

Guayaquil City FC

11º

Position

9º

1.30

PPG

1.30

33%

Win %

33%

0.83

Goals / game

1.10

1.13

Conceded / game

1.20

45%

BTTS %

53%

30%

Clean sheet %

25%

27%

Over 2.5 %

44%

4.7

Avg corners

3.2

12.0

Avg shots

9.0

3.7

Avg shots on target

3.4

2.1

Avg yellow cards

1.9

10.9

Avg fouls

8.4

47.9%

Avg possession

55.0%

Home vs Away

Emelec

Home (15)

—

Guayaquil City FC

Away (15)

1.87

PPG

1.00

53%

Win %

27%

1.13

Goals / game

1.13

0.87

Conceded / game

1.53

50%

BTTS %

50%

38%

Clean sheet %

17%

31%

Over 2.5 %

44%

4.7

Avg corners

3.2

12.0

Avg shots

9.0

3.7

Avg shots on target

3.4

2.1

Avg yellow cards

1.9

47.9%

Avg possession

55.0%

Goals Scored

	Emelec	Home	Away	Guayaquil City	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	67%	81%	53%	67%	67%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	24%	31%	18%	31%	39%	22%
Over 2.5 Scored	3%	0%	6%	14%	11%	17%
Failed To Score	33%	19%	47%	33%	33%	33%

Goals Conceded

	Emelec	Home	Away	Guayaquil City	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	70%	63%	76%	75%	67%	83%
Over 1.5 Conceded	33%	25%	41%	33%	22%	44%
Over 2.5 Conceded	9%	6%	12%	11%	6%	17%
Clean Sheets	30%	38%	24%	25%	33%	17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Emelec	Guayaquil City
Over 0.5	91%	89%
Over 1.5	73%	58%
Over 2.5	27%	44%
Over 3.5	12%	28%
Over 4.5	6%	14%
BTTS	45%	53%
BTTS & Win	12%	19%
BTTS & Draw	18%	17%
BTTS & Over 2.5	27%	42%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	3%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Emelec	Guayaquil City
Win 1st Half	21%	14%
Draw 1st Half	55%	50%
Loss 1st Half	24%	36%
Scored 1st Half	33%	31%
Conceded 1st Half	36%	50%
Win 2nd Half	30%	36%
Draw 2nd Half	30%	36%
Loss 2nd Half	39%	28%
Scored 2nd Half	42%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	52%	39%
Over 0.5 HT	58%	64%
Over 1.5 HT	30%	28%

Recent Venue Form

Emelec (H)

Libertad1–2

Manta FC1–0

Leones del Norte2–1

Tecnico Universitario2–1

Aucas0–2

Mushuc Runa SC1–1

Guayaquil City (A)

Libertad0–4

Orense SC3–4

Deportivo Cuenca0–1

Tecnico Universitario3–2

Macara1–2

Leones del Norte1–1

Number of Corners

10.0

Corners / Match

31 games

League Avg

9.3

252 games

7.8

Corners / Match

31 games

Match Corners	Emelec	Guayaquil City	League Avg
Over 6	87%	74%	86%
Over 7	74%	52%	75%
Over 8	58%	29%	58%
Over 9	45%	26%	42%
Over 10	42%	13%	30%
Over 11	35%	6%	19%
Over 12	26%	0%	12%
Over 13	16%	0%	8%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Emelec	Guayaquil City
Corners Earned / Match	4.7	3.2
Corners Against / Match	5.3	4.6
Over 2.5 Corners For	84%	65%
Over 3.5 Corners For	68%	42%
Over 4.5 Corners For	39%	32%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	84%	77%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	77%	68%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	58%	42%

Head to Head · 23 matches

Emelec

39%

Draws

39%

Guayaquil City

22%

43%

Over 1.5

10/23

39%

Over 2.5

9/23

17%

Over 3.5

4/23

35%

BTTS

8/23

10/10/26

Guayaquil City FC

3–2

Emelec

10/08/26

Guayaquil City FC

0–0

Emelec

18/04/26

Emelec

1–3

Guayaquil City FC

22/10/25

Guayaquil City FC

0–0

Emelec

04/11/23

Guayaquil City FC

0–0

Emelec

30/05/23

Emelec

0–0

Guayaquil City FC

12/02/23

Emelec

2–0

Guayaquil City FC

24/07/22

Guayaquil City FC

0–0

Emelec

05/03/22

Emelec

2–2

Guayaquil City FC

31/10/21

Guayaquil City FC

0–1

Emelec

16/05/21

Emelec

1–0

Guayaquil City FC

19/10/20

Guayaquil City FC

1–0

Emelec

23/02/20

Emelec

1–2

Guayaquil City FC

01/09/19

Emelec

2–1

Guayaquil City FC

14/04/19

Guayaquil City FC

1–0

Emelec

01/07/18

Emelec

2–1

Guayaquil City FC

06/03/18

Guayaquil City FC

0–3

Emelec

02/07/17

Emelec

1–0

Guayaquil City FC

04/02/17

Guayaquil City FC

0–0

Emelec

22/07/16

Guayaquil City FC

0–1

Emelec

Liga Pro

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	33	25	3	5	+40	78
2	Macara	33	18	6	9	+11	60
3	Universidad Catolica	34	14	11	9	+22	53
4	LDU de Quito	33	15	8	10	+9	53
5	Aucas	33	14	9	10	+3	51
6	Barcelona SC	32	11	12	9	+6	45
7	Libertad	33	14	8	11	+7	50
8	Guayaquil City FC	33	11	10	12	-6	43
9	Emelec	33	11	9	13	-9	42
10	Leones del Norte	33	10	10	13	-6	40
11	Deportivo Cuenca	34	12	8	14	-9	44
12	Mushuc Runa SC	33	9	13	11	-4	40
13	Orense SC	34	10	8	16	-8	38
14	Delfin SC	34	9	8	17	-13	35
15	Tecnico Universitario	33	10	3	20	-16	33
16	Manta FC	34	7	6	21	-27	27

Team Insights

Emelec

●Emelec have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Emelec failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Emelec failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.

Guayaquil City

●Guayaquil City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
●Guayaquil City FC have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
●Guayaquil City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Guayaquil City FC have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Guayaquil City FC have lost their last 3 away matches.
●Guayaquil City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
●Guayaquil City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
●Guayaquil City FC have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.

Emelec

WALeones del Norte8º3–1

WALeones del Norte10º3–1

WALeones del Norte8º3–1

WALeones del Norte13º3–1

LAGuayaquil City FC9º2–3

LAGuayaquil City FC8º2–3

LAGuayaquil City FC9º2–3

LAGuayaquil City FC11º2–3

LHLibertad7º1–2

Guayaquil City FC

LALibertad7º0–4

LALibertad14º0–4

WHEmelec11º3–2

WHEmelec9º3–2

WHEmelec10º3–2

WHEmelec8º3–2

DHLeones del Norte8º1–1

DHLeones del Norte10º1–1

Season Schedule

Emelec

Leones del Norte3–1

Guayaquil City FC2–3

Libertad1–2

Macara0–1

Manta FC1–0

Libertad1–1

–H

Guayaquil City FC25/10

–H

Leones del Norte01/11

–A

Libertad08/11

Guayaquil City

Libertad0–4

Emelec3–2

Leones del Norte1–1

Mushuc Runa SC3–1

Orense SC3–4

Deportivo Cuenca0–1

–A

Emelec25/10

–H

Libertad01/11

–A

Leones del Norte08/11

Top Scorers

Emelec

L. Klimowicz7 ⚽

J. Ruiz4 ⚽

Ronie Carrillo3 ⚽

R. Caicedo2 ⚽

I. Guerrico2 ⚽

A. Leguizamon2 ⚽

Guayaquil City

E. Mero12 ⚽

D. Diaz5 ⚽

D. Dorregaray4 ⚽

Diego Dorregaray4 ⚽

M. Bolanos3 ⚽

P. Gonzalez3 ⚽

Cards Given

Emelec

Ignacio Guerrico7 🟨

Víctor Griffith6 🟨

Aníbal Leguizamón6 🟨

A. Leguizamon5 🟨

Angelo Mina4 🟨

Stalin Valencia4 🟨

Guayaquil City

Roger Arias8 🟨

Damián Díaz5 🟨

R. Arias4 🟨

D. Arroyo3 🟨

Dixon Arroyo3 🟨

Anderson Naula3 🟨

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC — Liga Pro

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 23 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given