Ecuador · Liga Pro · Championship Group - 9

Aucas

4º · 1.67 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 5h

–

Universidad Catolica

2º · 1.70 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 5h

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Aucas and Universidad Catolica meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Aucas have recorded 16 wins from 37 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Universidad Catolica have won 38% of their 39 matches, with 1.51 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Aucas and 1.03 for Universidad Catolica. The models give Aucas a 40% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Universidad Catolica win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 44%.

Season Statistics

Aucas

—

Universidad Catolica

4º

Position

2º

1.67

PPG

1.70

47%

Win %

47%

1.10

Goals / game

1.70

0.93

Conceded / game

0.90

41%

BTTS %

54%

41%

Clean sheet %

33%

38%

Over 2.5 %

49%

4.9

Avg corners

4.3

12.2

Avg shots

13.6

4.1

Avg shots on target

4.5

2.0

Avg yellow cards

1.8

12.7

Avg fouls

10.9

52.9%

Avg possession

58.5%

Home vs Away

Aucas

Home (15)

—

Universidad Catolica

Away (15)

1.73

PPG

1.20

53%

Win %

27%

1.27

Goals / game

0.93

1.07

Conceded / game

0.87

42%

BTTS %

50%

32%

Clean sheet %

35%

42%

Over 2.5 %

30%

4.9

Avg corners

4.3

12.2

Avg shots

13.6

4.1

Avg shots on target

4.5

2.0

Avg yellow cards

1.8

52.9%

Avg possession

58.5%

Goals Scored

	Aucas	Home	Away	Universidad Catolica	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	73%	74%	72%	79%	89%	70%
Over 1.5 Scored	24%	26%	22%	41%	63%	20%
Over 2.5 Scored	8%	16%	0%	15%	32%	0%
Failed To Score	27%	26%	28%	21%	11%	30%

Goals Conceded

	Aucas	Home	Away	Universidad Catolica	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	59%	68%	50%	67%	68%	65%
Over 1.5 Conceded	27%	26%	28%	28%	32%	25%
Over 2.5 Conceded	14%	16%	11%	13%	21%	5%
Clean Sheets	41%	32%	50%	33%	32%	35%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Aucas	Universidad Catolica
Over 0.5	92%	92%
Over 1.5	57%	72%
Over 2.5	38%	49%
Over 3.5	16%	26%
Over 4.5	8%	15%
BTTS	41%	54%
BTTS & Win	11%	13%
BTTS & Draw	16%	21%
BTTS & Over 2.5	27%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Aucas	Universidad Catolica
Win 1st Half	27%	23%
Draw 1st Half	51%	51%
Loss 1st Half	22%	26%
Scored 1st Half	46%	41%
Conceded 1st Half	41%	41%
Win 2nd Half	38%	36%
Draw 2nd Half	30%	46%
Loss 2nd Half	32%	18%
Scored 2nd Half	46%	64%
Conceded 2nd Half	38%	46%
Over 0.5 HT	65%	59%
Over 1.5 HT	30%	28%

Recent Venue Form

Aucas (H)

Barcelona SC0–4

LDU de Quito1–1

Macara1–2

Barcelona SC1–1

Libertad1–0

LDU de Quito0–1

Universidad Catolica (A)

Independiente del Valle0–0

Barcelona SC1–1

LDU de Quito1–2

Astillero FC (Ecu)1–0

Delfin SC1–0

Independiente del Valle2–2

Number of Corners

9.2

Corners / Match

33 games

League Avg

9.3

264 games

8.8

Corners / Match

36 games

Match Corners	Aucas	Universidad Catolica	League Avg
Over 6	76%	92%	86%
Over 7	67%	75%	74%
Over 8	52%	44%	57%
Over 9	42%	28%	41%
Over 10	36%	19%	30%
Over 11	30%	11%	19%
Over 12	9%	6%	12%
Over 13	9%	3%	8%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Aucas	Universidad Catolica
Corners Earned / Match	4.9	4.3
Corners Against / Match	4.3	4.5
Over 2.5 Corners For	85%	83%
Over 3.5 Corners For	67%	64%
Over 4.5 Corners For	55%	42%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	82%	81%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	67%	61%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	36%	50%

Head to Head · 24 matches

Aucas

38%

Draws

33%

Universidad Catolica

29%

88%

Over 1.5

21/24

67%

Over 2.5

16/24

46%

Over 3.5

11/24

83%

BTTS

20/24

01/11/26

Universidad Catolica

1–2

Aucas

03/09/26

Universidad Catolica

1–1

Aucas

09/05/26

Aucas

2–1

Universidad Catolica

03/08/25

Universidad Catolica

6–2

Aucas

16/04/25

Aucas

2–1

Universidad Catolica

07/03/25

Universidad Catolica

0–0

Aucas

09/11/24

Universidad Catolica

3–2

Aucas

19/05/24

Aucas

2–2

Universidad Catolica

17/08/23

Universidad Catolica

2–2

Aucas

19/03/23

Aucas

4–1

Universidad Catolica

05/09/22

Universidad Catolica

1–2

Aucas

21/04/22

Aucas

3–2

Universidad Catolica

16/10/21

Aucas

1–2

Universidad Catolica

01/05/21

Universidad Catolica

1–1

Aucas

18/12/20

Aucas

1–1

Universidad Catolica

16/08/20

Universidad Catolica

3–1

Aucas

20/07/19

Universidad Catolica

1–1

Aucas

24/02/19

Aucas

3–1

Universidad Catolica

31/05/18

Aucas

0–1

Universidad Catolica

14/04/18

Universidad Catolica

2–0

Aucas

Liga Pro

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	34	26	3	5	+42	81
2	Macara	35	20	6	9	+15	66
3	Aucas	35	15	9	11	0	54
4	Universidad Catolica	35	14	11	10	+21	53
5	LDU de Quito	35	15	8	12	+6	53
6	Barcelona SC	34	12	12	10	+7	48
7	Libertad	35	14	9	12	+4	51
8	Guayaquil City FC	35	12	11	12	-5	47
9	Leones del Norte	35	12	10	13	-1	46
10	Emelec	35	11	9	15	-12	42
11	Deportivo Cuenca	35	12	8	15	-11	44
12	Mushuc Runa SC	34	9	13	12	-7	40
13	Orense SC	35	10	9	16	-8	39
14	Delfin SC	35	10	8	17	-11	38
15	Tecnico Universitario	35	11	4	20	-13	37
16	Manta FC	34	7	6	21	-27	27

Team Insights

Aucas

●Aucas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
●Aucas have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
●Aucas failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 18 home matches.
●Aucas have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 17 away matches.
●Aucas have won 7 of their 17 away matches.
●Aucas have scored in 13 of their 17 away matches.

Universidad Catolica

●Universidad Catolica have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
●Universidad Catolica failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Universidad Catolica have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
●70% of Universidad Catolica's goals have been scored at home.

Aucas

WAUniversidad Catolica2º2–1

WAUniversidad Catolica4º2–1

WAUniversidad Catolica2º2–1

WAUniversidad Catolica3º2–1

LHBarcelona SC6º0–4

LHBarcelona SC4º0–4

DHLDU de Quito5º1–1

Universidad Catolica

LHAucas4º1–2

LHAucas3º1–2

LHAucas4º1–2

LHAucas5º1–2

DHLDU de Quito2–2

DAIndependiente del Valle1º0–0

DABarcelona SC6º1–1

Season Schedule

Aucas

Universidad Catolica2–1

Barcelona SC0–4

LDU de Quito1–1

Independiente del Valle1–2

Macara1–2

Manta FC0–0

–H

Independiente del Valle08/11

–A

LDU de Quito22/11

–A

Barcelona SC29/11

Universidad Catolica

Aucas1–2

Independiente del Valle0–0

Barcelona SC1–1

Macara0–1

LDU de Quito1–2

Orense SC2–1

–A

Macara08/11

–H

Barcelona SC22/11

–H

Independiente del Valle29/11

Top Scorers

Aucas

B. Miranda6 ⚽

E. Preciado5 ⚽

R. Quinonez4 ⚽

S. Porozo3 ⚽

A. Mena3 ⚽

P. Guzman2 ⚽

Universidad Catolica

J. Fajardo13 ⚽

M. Alonso8 ⚽

B. Palacios6 ⚽

E. Clavijo5 ⚽

Jhon Chancellor4 ⚽

A. Londono4 ⚽

Cards Given

Aucas

Agostino Spina6 🟨

Jhon Ontaneda5 🟨

Luis Arroyo5 🟨

Santiago Morales5 🟨

Alex Zova4 🟨

Luis Gustavino4 🟨

Universidad Catolica

Mauro Díaz7 🟨

Gregori Anangonó6 🟨

José Fajardo5 🟨

Luis Cangá4 🟨

Daniel Clavijo4 🟨

Jerónimo Cacciabue4 🟨

Aucas vs Universidad Catolica — Liga Pro

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 24 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given