Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle — Liga Pro
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Universidad Catolica and Independiente del Valle meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Universidad Catolica have recorded 15 wins from 39 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.51 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Independiente del Valle have won 72% of their 46 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Universidad Catolica and 1.73 for Independiente del Valle. The models give Universidad Catolica a 34% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Independiente del Valle win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Universidad Catolica—
Independiente del Valle2º
Position
1º
1.70
PPG
2.47
47%
Win %
80%
1.70
Goals / game
2.43
0.90
Conceded / game
1.10
54%
BTTS %
52%
33%
Clean sheet %
37%
49%
Over 2.5 %
61%
4.3
Avg corners
6.3
13.6
Avg shots
17.3
4.5
Avg shots on target
6.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
10.9
Avg fouls
8.2
58.5%
Avg possession
56.5%
Home vs Away
Universidad Catolica
Home (15)
—
Independiente del Valle
Away (15)
2.20
PPG
2.60
67%
Win %
87%
2.47
Goals / game
2.47
0.93
Conceded / game
1.20
58%
BTTS %
50%
32%
Clean sheet %
36%
68%
Over 2.5 %
59%
4.3
Avg corners
6.3
13.6
Avg shots
17.3
4.5
Avg shots on target
6.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
58.5%
Avg possession
56.5%
Goals Scored
| Universidad Catolica | Home | Away | Independiente del | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 89% | 70% | 85% | 88% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 63% | 20% | 67% | 71% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 32% | 0% | 43% | 38% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 11% | 30% | 15% | 13% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Universidad Catolica | Home | Away | Independiente del | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 68% | 65% | 63% | 63% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 32% | 25% | 37% | 29% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 21% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 32% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Universidad Catolica | Independiente del | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 26% |
| BTTS | 54% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Universidad Catolica | Independiente del | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 51% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Universidad Catolica (H)L
Aucas1–2
Aucas1–2D
LDU de Quito2–2
LDU de Quito2–2L
Macara0–1
Macara0–1W
Orense SC2–1
Orense SC2–1DAucas1–1
Aucas1–1W
Manta FC5–1
Manta FC5–1Independiente del (A)W
Delfin SC3–0
Delfin SC3–0LMacara0–1
Macara0–1W
Gualaceo SC2–0
Gualaceo SC2–0D
Flamengo1–1
Flamengo1–1W
Libertad3–2
Libertad3–2L
Barcelona SC1–2
Barcelona SC1–2Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
36 games
League Avg
9.3
264 games
9.8
Corners / Match
41 games
| Match Corners | Universidad Catolica | Independiente del | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 85% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 78% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 63% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 28% | 54% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 19% | 41% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 29% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 6% | 17% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 3% | 10% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Universidad Catolica | Independiente del |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 42% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 61% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 32% |
Head to Head · 35 matches
11
Universidad Catolica
31%
9
Draws
26%
15
Independiente del
43%
69%
Over 1.5
24/35
57%
Over 2.5
20/35
37%
Over 3.5
13/35
60%
BTTS
21/35
23/10/26Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
0–0Universidad Catolica29/08/26Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2–2Universidad Catolica13/05/26Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
0–3Independiente del Valle01/05/26Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
2–3Independiente del Valle14/12/25Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
0–1Independiente del Valle08/11/25Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
0–2Universidad Catolica13/10/25Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
1–2Universidad Catolica29/06/25Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
0–3Independiente del Valle02/03/25Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
1–1Universidad Catolica29/10/24Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
1–2Universidad Catolica22/10/24Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
0–1Independiente del Valle28/09/24Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
5–2Universidad Catolica14/04/24Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
2–2Independiente del Valle26/08/23Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
0–1Universidad Catolica31/03/23Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
2–3Independiente del Valle28/08/22Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
1–2Universidad Catolica17/04/22Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
3–1Independiente del Valle14/09/21Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
1–3Independiente del Valle10/07/21Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2–3Universidad Catolica31/10/20Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
3–1Independiente del Valle| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | +42 | 81 |
| 2 | Macara | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | +15 | 66 |
| 3 | Aucas | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 54 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | +21 | 53 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | +6 | 53 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +7 | 48 |
| 7 | Libertad | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | +4 | 51 |
| 8 |  Guayaquil City FC | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Leones del Norte | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -12 | 42 |
| 11 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | -11 | 44 |
| 12 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | -8 | 39 |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Tecnico Universitario | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | -13 | 37 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | -27 | 27 |
Team Insights
Universidad Catolica- ●Universidad Catolica have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Universidad Catolica failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Universidad Catolica have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●70% of Universidad Catolica's goals have been scored at home.
Independiente del- ●Independiente del Valle have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Independiente del Valle have been undefeated in their last 10 home matches.
- ●Independiente del Valle have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Independiente del Valle have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Independiente del Valle have scored in 16 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Independiente del Valle have won 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Independiente del Valle have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
Universidad CatolicaLHAucas1–2
Aucas1–2DAIndependiente del Valle0–0
Independiente del Valle0–0DABarcelona SC1–1
Barcelona SC1–1LHMacara0–1
Macara0–1LALDU de Quito1–2
LDU de Quito1–2WHOrense SC2–1
Orense SC2–1–AMacara08/11
Macara08/11–HBarcelona SC22/11
Barcelona SC22/11–HIndependiente del Valle29/11
Independiente del Valle29/11Independiente delWHLDU de Quito2–0
LDU de Quito2–0DHUniversidad Catolica0–0
Universidad Catolica0–0LAMacara0–1
Macara0–1WHAucas2–1
Aucas2–1WALibertad3–2
Libertad3–2WHMacara3–1
Macara3–1–AAucas08/11
Aucas08/11–HMacara22/11
Macara22/11–ABarcelona SC25/11
Barcelona SC25/11Top Scorers
Universidad CatolicaJ. Fajardo13 ⚽
M. Alonso8 ⚽
B. Palacios6 ⚽
E. Clavijo5 ⚽
Jhon Chancellor4 ⚽
A. Londono4 ⚽
Independiente delC. Gonzalez15 ⚽
D. Reasco9 ⚽
M. Perello9 ⚽
E. Pata8 ⚽
J. Sornoza6 ⚽
J. Angulo6 ⚽
Cards Given
Universidad CatolicaMauro Díaz7 🟨
Gregori Anangonó6 🟨
José Fajardo5 🟨
Luis Cangá4 🟨
Daniel Clavijo4 🟨
Jerónimo Cacciabue4 🟨
Independiente delJunior Sornoza7 🟨
Mateo Carabajal6 🟨
Ronald Briones5 🟨
Jhon Espinoza5 🟨
Juan Viacava4 🟨
Layan Loor4 🟨