Aucas vs Independiente del Valle — Liga Pro
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Aucas and Independiente del Valle meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Aucas have recorded 15 wins from 35 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 34%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Independiente del Valle have won 71% of their 45 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Aucas and 1.79 for Independiente del Valle. The models give Aucas a 24% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Independiente del Valle win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Aucas—
Independiente del Valle4º
Position
1º
1.67
PPG
2.47
47%
Win %
80%
1.10
Goals / game
2.43
0.93
Conceded / game
1.10
40%
BTTS %
53%
43%
Clean sheet %
36%
34%
Over 2.5 %
62%
5.0
Avg corners
6.3
12.2
Avg shots
17.3
4.1
Avg shots on target
6.1
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.7
Avg fouls
8.3
53.2%
Avg possession
56.6%
Home vs Away
Aucas
Home (15)
—
Independiente del Valle
Away (15)
1.73
PPG
2.60
53%
Win %
87%
1.27
Goals / game
2.47
1.07
Conceded / game
1.20
44%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
36%
39%
Over 2.5 %
59%
5.0
Avg corners
6.3
12.2
Avg shots
17.3
4.1
Avg shots on target
6.1
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
53.2%
Avg possession
56.6%
Goals Scored
| Aucas | Home | Away | Independiente del | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 74% | 71% | 84% | 87% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 26% | 18% | 67% | 70% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 16% | 0% | 44% | 39% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 26% | 29% | 16% | 13% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Aucas | Home | Away | Independiente del | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 68% | 47% | 64% | 65% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 26% | 29% | 38% | 30% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 16% | 12% | 2% | 4% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 32% | 53% | 36% | 35% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aucas | Independiente del | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 27% |
| BTTS | 39% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 51% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aucas | Independiente del | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 51% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 51% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 49% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Aucas (H)L
Barcelona SC0–4
Barcelona SC0–4D
LDU de Quito1–1
LDU de Quito1–1L
Macara1–2
Macara1–2DBarcelona SC1–1
Barcelona SC1–1W
Libertad1–0
Libertad1–0LLDU de Quito0–1
LDU de Quito0–1Independiente del (A)LMacara0–1
Macara0–1W
Gualaceo SC2–0
Gualaceo SC2–0D
Flamengo1–1
Flamengo1–1WLibertad3–2
Libertad3–2LBarcelona SC1–2
Barcelona SC1–2W
Leones del Norte3–2
Leones del Norte3–2Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
32 games
League Avg
9.3
255 games
9.8
Corners / Match
40 games
| Match Corners | Aucas | Independiente del | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 88% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 53% | 65% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 55% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 43% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 30% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 18% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 10% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aucas | Independiente del |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 84% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 66% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 33% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
5
Aucas
21%
5
Draws
21%
14
Independiente del
58%
79%
Over 1.5
19/24
50%
Over 2.5
12/24
25%
Over 3.5
6/24
46%
BTTS
11/24
10/10/26Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2–1Aucas16/07/26Independiente del Valle
Aucas
0–3Independiente del Valle14/03/26Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2–2Aucas19/07/25Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2–1Aucas28/03/25Independiente del Valle
Aucas
1–2Independiente del Valle01/09/24Independiente del Valle
Aucas
0–2Independiente del Valle24/03/24Aucas
Independiente del Valle
1–1Aucas11/11/23Independiente del Valle
Aucas
2–0Independiente del Valle02/06/23Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2–0Aucas11/02/23Aucas
Independiente del Valle
3–0Aucas23/07/22Independiente del Valle
Aucas
5–0Independiente del Valle07/03/22Aucas
Independiente del Valle
1–0Aucas14/08/21Aucas
Independiente del Valle
1–0Aucas14/03/21Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3–4Independiente del Valle18/11/20Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3–3Independiente del Valle25/08/20Aucas
Independiente del Valle
1–1Aucas19/10/19Aucas
Independiente del Valle
4–0Aucas11/05/19Independiente del Valle
Aucas
2–1Independiente del Valle10/07/18Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3–1Independiente del Valle24/02/18Aucas
Independiente del Valle
1–0Aucas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | +40 | 78 |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 63 |
| 3 |  Universidad Catolica | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | +22 | 53 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +8 | 53 |
| 5 | Aucas | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +3 | 51 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | +6 | 45 |
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | -5 | 46 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 42 |
| 11 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | -4 | 40 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 38 |
| 14 |  Delfin SC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 |  Tecnico Universitario | 33 | 10 | 3 | 20 | -16 | 33 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | -27 | 27 |
Team Insights
Aucas- ●Aucas have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Aucas have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aucas failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Aucas have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Aucas have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Aucas have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Independiente del- ●Independiente del Valle have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Independiente del Valle have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Independiente del Valle have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Independiente del Valle have won 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Independiente del Valle have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
AucasLHBarcelona SC0–4
Barcelona SC0–4DHLDU de Quito1–1
LDU de Quito1–1LAIndependiente del Valle1–2
Independiente del Valle1–2LHMacara1–2
Macara1–2DAManta FC0–0
Manta FC0–0DHBarcelona SC1–1
Barcelona SC1–1–AUniversidad Catolica01/11
Universidad Catolica01/11–HIndependiente del Valle08/11
Independiente del Valle08/11–ALDU de Quito22/11
LDU de Quito22/11Independiente delDHUniversidad Catolica0–0
Universidad Catolica0–0LAMacara0–1
Macara0–1WHAucas2–1
Aucas2–1WALibertad3–2
Libertad3–2WHMacara3–1
Macara3–1LABarcelona SC1–2
Barcelona SC1–2–HLDU de Quito01/11
LDU de Quito01/11–AAucas08/11
Aucas08/11–HMacara22/11
Macara22/11Top Scorers
AucasB. Miranda6 ⚽
E. Preciado5 ⚽
R. Quinonez4 ⚽
S. Porozo3 ⚽
A. Mena3 ⚽
R. Bolanos2 ⚽
Independiente delC. Gonzalez15 ⚽
D. Reasco9 ⚽
M. Perello9 ⚽
E. Pata8 ⚽
J. Sornoza6 ⚽
J. Angulo6 ⚽
Cards Given
AucasAgostino Spina5 🟨
Jhon Ontaneda5 🟨
Luis Arroyo5 🟨
Santiago Morales5 🟨
Alex Zova4 🟨
Luis Gustavino4 🟨
Independiente delJunior Sornoza7 🟨
Mateo Carabajal6 🟨
Ronald Briones5 🟨
Jhon Espinoza5 🟨
Juan Viacava4 🟨
Layan Loor4 🟨