Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin — Persian Gulf Pro League
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Imam Reza Stadium·Mashhad·Iran·25,000
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Esteghlal FC and Shams Azar Qazvin meet in the Persian Gulf Pro League 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Esteghlal FC have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Shams Azar Qazvin have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 22%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Esteghlal FC and 0.67 for Shams Azar Qazvin. The models give Esteghlal FC a 56% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Shams Azar Qazvin win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 29% and BTTS at 34%.
Season Statistics
Esteghlal FC—
Shams Azar Qazvin3º
Position
15º
2.00
PPG
0.78
50%
Win %
11%
1.20
Goals / game
0.78
0.30
Conceded / game
1.11
33%
BTTS %
44%
67%
Clean sheet %
33%
25%
Over 2.5 %
22%
3.5
Avg corners
0.0
9.5
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
11.5
Avg fouls
0.0
40.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Esteghlal FC
Home (5)
—
Shams Azar Qazvin
Away (4)
2.60
PPG
1.25
80%
Win %
25%
1.80
Goals / game
1.00
0.20
Conceded / game
0.75
17%
BTTS %
50%
83%
Clean sheet %
25%
33%
Over 2.5 %
0%
3.5
Avg corners
0.0
9.5
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
40.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Esteghlal FC | Home | Away | Shams Azar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 67% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Esteghlal FC | Home | Away | Shams Azar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 50% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 67% | 83% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Esteghlal FC | Shams Azar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 33% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 8% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Esteghlal FC | Shams Azar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 0% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 8% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Esteghlal FC (H)W
Gol Gohar1–0
Gol Gohar1–0W
Al Sadd3–0
Al Sadd3–0W
Paykan1–0
Paykan1–0D
Persepolis FC1–1
Persepolis FC1–1W
Sepahan FC2–0
Sepahan FC2–0W
Mes Shahr-e Babak4–0
Mes Shahr-e Babak4–0Shams Azar (A)DPaykan1–1
Paykan1–1L
Chadormalu SC0–1
Chadormalu SC0–1W
Nassaji Mazandaran2–0
Nassaji Mazandaran2–0D
Foolad FC1–1
Foolad FC1–1L
Fajr Sepasi0–1
Fajr Sepasi0–1LEsteghlal FC2–3
Esteghlal FC2–3Team Corners
| Team Corners | Esteghlal FC | Shams Azar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
4
Esteghlal FC
57%
2
Draws
29%
1
Shams Azar
14%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
86%
BTTS
6/7
05/02/26Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal FC
3–2Shams Azar Qazvin26/09/25Esteghlal FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
1–1Esteghlal FC13/02/25Esteghlal FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
1–2Esteghlal FC20/01/25Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal FC
0–1Shams Azar Qazvin16/08/24Esteghlal FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
1–2Esteghlal FC19/04/24Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal FC
3–2Shams Azar Qazvin02/11/23Esteghlal FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
2–2Esteghlal FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persepolis FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 |  Tractor Sazi | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Esteghlal FC | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 | Sepahan FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Foolad FC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Aluminium Arak | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Kheybar Khorramabad | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 | Gol Gohar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | Fajr Sepasi | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Chadormalu SC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Paykan | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Malavan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  ZOB Ahan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Sanat Naft | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |  Esteghlal Khuzestan | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
Team Insights
Esteghlal FC- ●Esteghlal FC have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Esteghlal FC's goals have been scored at home.
Shams Azar- ●Shams Azar Qazvin have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Shams Azar Qazvin have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●70% of Shams Azar Qazvin's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●71% of Shams Azar Qazvin's points have been earned away.
- ●Shams Azar Qazvin have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Esteghlal FCDAChadormalu SC1–1
Chadormalu SC1–1WHGol Gohar1–0
Gol Gohar1–0DATractor Sazi1–1
Tractor Sazi1–1WHPaykan1–0
Paykan1–0DAAluminium Arak0–0
Aluminium Arak0–0DHPersepolis FC1–1
Persepolis FC1–1–HShams Azar Qazvin30/10
Shams Azar Qazvin30/10–AEsteghlal Khuzestan07/11
Esteghlal Khuzestan07/11Shams AzarDHSepahan FC0–0
Sepahan FC0–0DAPaykan1–1
Paykan1–1LHGol Gohar2–3
Gol Gohar2–3LAChadormalu SC0–1
Chadormalu SC0–1DHTractor Sazi0–0
Tractor Sazi0–0WANassaji Mazandaran2–0
Nassaji Mazandaran2–0–AEsteghlal Khuzestan25/10
Esteghlal Khuzestan25/10–AEsteghlal FC30/10
Esteghlal FC30/10–HSanat Naft05/11
Sanat Naft05/11Top Scorers
Esteghlal FCJ. Asani5 ⚽
E. Gholizadeh4 ⚽
S. Saharkhizan4 ⚽
M. Eslami1 ⚽
Jasir Asani1 ⚽
Hossein Goudarzi1 ⚽
Shams AzarM. Sourgi3 ⚽
R. Mohammadi2 ⚽
M. Mamizadeh1 ⚽
Cards Given
Esteghlal FCA. Razzaghinia3 🟨
S. Hardani3 🟨
H. Goudarzi2 🟨
A. Koushki2 🟨
A. Aghasi2 🟨
H. Farabbasi1 🟨
Shams AzarS. M. Hosseini2 🟨
A. Mohkamkar2 🟨
M. Nejadmehdi1 🟨
M. Rezaei1 🟨
M. Sourgi1 🟨
R. Mohammadi1 🟨