Napier City Rovers vs Ferrymead Bays — National League - National
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Napier City Rovers and Ferrymead Bays meet in the National League - National 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Napier City Rovers have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.38 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Ferrymead Bays have won 17% of their 6 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Napier City Rovers and 1.29 for Ferrymead Bays. The models give Napier City Rovers a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Ferrymead Bays win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Napier City RoversFerrymead BaysHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Napier City | Home | Away | Ferrymead Bays | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 80% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 40% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Napier City | Home | Away | Ferrymead Bays | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 80% | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 33% | 80% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Napier City | Ferrymead Bays | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS | 75% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Napier City | Ferrymead Bays | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Napier City (H)
Wellington Phoenix II5–2
Cashmere Technical2–1
Miramar1–1
Petone5–1
Waterside Karori6–0
Island Bay United4–1Ferrymead Bays (A)
Auckland United0–2
Wellington Olympic2–1Cashmere Technical1–2
Nomads United2–1
Coastal Spirit0–2
Dunedin City Royals2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +18 | 12 |
| 2 |  Auckland City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Auckland United | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 4 | Wellington Olympic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Miramar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Birkenhead United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Ferrymead Bays | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 8 | Napier City Rovers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 4 |
| 9 |  Auckland FC 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 10 |  Eastern Suburbs | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 11 | Wellington Phoenix II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -11 | 1 |
Team Insights
Napier City- ●Napier City Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Napier City Rovers have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Napier City Rovers have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●89% of Napier City Rovers's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Napier City Rovers's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Napier City Rovers's points have been earned at home.
- ●Napier City Rovers have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.
Ferrymead Bays- ●Ferrymead Bays have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Ferrymead Bays have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Ferrymead Bays have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●67% of Ferrymead Bays's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Ferrymead Bays have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Napier CityWellington Phoenix II5–2Birkenhead United0–2Cashmere Technical2–1Auckland United1–7Miramar1–1Auckland FC 208/11Ferrymead Bays15/11Auckland City21/11Ferrymead BaysCashmere Technical0–2Auckland United0–2Miramar1–4Wellington Olympic2–1Eastern Suburbs0–0Birkenhead United01/11Wellington Phoenix II07/11Napier City Rovers15/11Top Scorers
Napier CityFerrymead BaysCards Given
Napier CityFerrymead Bays