El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC — Liga Pro Serie B
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El Nacional and Gualaceo SC meet in the Liga Pro Serie B 2026 season on 27 October 2026. El Nacional have recorded 4 wins from 31 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.87 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Gualaceo SC have won 37% of their 30 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 23%, and clean sheets at 53%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.79 for El Nacional and 0.89 for Gualaceo SC. The models give El Nacional a 26% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Gualaceo SC win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 24% and BTTS at 32%.
Season Statistics
El Nacional—
Gualaceo SC12º
Position
7º
0.55
PPG
1.32
9%
Win %
32%
0.68
Goals / game
0.86
1.45
Conceded / game
0.73
52%
BTTS %
33%
13%
Clean sheet %
53%
52%
Over 2.5 %
23%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
El Nacional
Home (11)
—
Gualaceo SC
Away (11)
0.64
PPG
1.00
9%
Win %
18%
0.45
Goals / game
0.82
0.91
Conceded / game
0.91
33%
BTTS %
36%
27%
Clean sheet %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| El Nacional | Home | Away | Gualaceo SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 47% | 69% | 63% | 69% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 7% | 19% | 23% | 31% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 53% | 31% | 37% | 31% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| El Nacional | Home | Away | Gualaceo SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 73% | 100% | 47% | 44% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 33% | 69% | 17% | 13% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 7% | 31% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 27% | 0% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| El Nacional | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 7% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 7% |
| BTTS | 52% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| El Nacional | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 61% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 26% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 68% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
El Nacional (H)L
Santo Domingo1–2
Santo Domingo1–2L
Cumbayá0–3
Cumbayá0–3W
22 de Julio3–0
22 de Julio3–0L
LDU Portoviejo0–2
LDU Portoviejo0–2L
San Antonio0–1
San Antonio0–1W
9 de Octubre1–0
9 de Octubre1–0Gualaceo SC (A)DLDU Portoviejo0–0
LDU Portoviejo0–0WSanto Domingo1–0
Santo Domingo1–0WCumbayá1–0
Cumbayá1–0W
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors3–0
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors3–0LSan Antonio1–2
San Antonio1–2DEl Nacional0–0
El Nacional0–0Head to Head · 9 matches
3
El Nacional
33%
2
Draws
22%
4
Gualaceo SC
44%
67%
Over 1.5
6/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
29/08/26El Nacional
Gualaceo SC
3–0El Nacional24/07/26Gualaceo SC
El Nacional
0–0Gualaceo SC02/05/26El Nacional
Gualaceo SC
2–0El Nacional12/11/23Gualaceo SC
El Nacional
4–2Gualaceo SC04/06/23El Nacional
Gualaceo SC
3–4El Nacional07/10/21Gualaceo SC
El Nacional
4–2Gualaceo SC11/08/21El Nacional
Gualaceo SC
1–0El Nacional17/06/21Gualaceo SC
El Nacional
1–1Gualaceo SC06/05/21El Nacional
Gualaceo SC
1–0El Nacional| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ind. Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | +12 | 39 |
| 2 |  Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 | 9 de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 |  Cuniburo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 | Gualaceo SC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | +1 | 28 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -21 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 12 |
Team Insights
El Nacional- ●El Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●El Nacional have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●El Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 away matches.
- ●El Nacional have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●El Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●El Nacional have lost 9 of their 15 home matches.
- ●El Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 away matches.
- ●El Nacional have lost 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●67% of El Nacional's goals have been scored away.
- ●66% of El Nacional's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●El Nacional have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Gualaceo SC- ●Gualaceo SC have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of Gualaceo SC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
El NacionalLACumbayá1–2
Cumbayá1–2LHSanto Domingo1–2
Santo Domingo1–2WA22 de Julio5–2
22 de Julio5–2LALDU Portoviejo2–3
LDU Portoviejo2–3LHCumbayá0–3
Cumbayá0–3LASanto Domingo0–1
Santo Domingo0–1–HGualaceo SC27/10
Gualaceo SC27/10Gualaceo SCDHSanto Domingo1–1
Santo Domingo1–1DALDU Portoviejo0–0
LDU Portoviejo0–0DHCumbayá1–1
Cumbayá1–1WH22 de Julio4–2
22 de Julio4–2WASanto Domingo1–0
Santo Domingo1–0DHLDU Portoviejo0–0
LDU Portoviejo0–0–AEl Nacional27/10
El Nacional27/10Top Scorers
El Nacional11 ⚽
J. Borja4 ⚽
F. Borja3 ⚽
L. Benalcazar3 ⚽
J. Quintero1 ⚽
T. Lara1 ⚽
Gualaceo SC11 ⚽
R. Salazar2 ⚽
Allyson2 ⚽
F. Allauca2 ⚽
J. Coime2 ⚽
J. Penarrieta2 ⚽
Cards Given
El Nacional6 🟨
Gualaceo SC5 🟨