Sturm Graz vs Celje — UEFA Europa League
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Sturm Graz and Celje meet in the UEFA Europa League 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Sturm Graz have recorded 15 wins from 28 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Celje have won 33% of their 27 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Sturm Graz and 1.33 for Celje. The models give Sturm Graz a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Celje win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Sturm Graz—
Celje20º
Position
29º
1.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
0.00
Goals / game
0.00
0.00
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
52%
36%
Clean sheet %
33%
57%
Over 2.5 %
41%
5.8
Avg corners
4.0
14.9
Avg shots
10.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.1
Avg yellow cards
3.6
13.7
Avg fouls
12.8
43.9%
Avg possession
52.3%
Home vs Away
Sturm Graz
Home (1)
—
Celje
Away (1)
1.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
0.00
Goals / game
0.00
0.00
Conceded / game
2.00
59%
BTTS %
50%
35%
Clean sheet %
42%
59%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.8
Avg corners
4.0
14.9
Avg shots
10.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.1
Avg yellow cards
3.6
43.9%
Avg possession
52.3%
Goals Scored
| Sturm Graz | Home | Away | Celje | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 89% | 73% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 61% | 55% | 33% | 27% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 39% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 11% | 27% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Sturm Graz | Home | Away | Celje | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 67% | 64% | 67% | 73% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 22% | 45% | 37% | 33% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 11% | 27% | 15% | 13% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 27% | 42% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sturm Graz | Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 11% |
| BTTS | 52% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sturm Graz | Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 66% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 66% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 34% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Sturm Graz (H)D
Ried2–2
Ried2–2W
Marseille1–0
Marseille1–0W
Grazer AK6–1
Grazer AK6–1W
Floridsdorfer AC3–1
Floridsdorfer AC3–1D
Rennes0–0
Rennes0–0W
Lask Linz2–1
Lask Linz2–1Celje (A)W
Korotan Prevalje2–0
Korotan Prevalje2–0D
Maribor0–0
Maribor0–0D
Mura0–0
Mura0–0L
Bayer Leverkusen0–2
Bayer Leverkusen0–2L
Bravo1–2
Bravo1–2W
Aluminij2–0
Aluminij2–0Number of Corners
11.2
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
9.8
116 games
10.0
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Sturm Graz | Celje | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 81% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 81% | 50% | 62% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 33% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 31% | 33% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 17% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sturm Graz | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 81% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 67% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Sturm Graz- ●Sturm Graz have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Celje- ●Celje have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Celje have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
Sturm GrazWHMarseille1–0
Marseille1–0LABournemouth0–3
Bournemouth0–3DHRennes0–0
Rennes0–0–HCelje05/11
Celje05/11–A1899 Hoffenheim26/11
1899 Hoffenheim26/11–AAZ Alkmaar10/12
AZ Alkmaar10/12CeljeDHRed Bull Salzburg2–2
Red Bull Salzburg2–2LHOmonia Nicosia0–3
Omonia Nicosia0–3LABayer Leverkusen0–2
Bayer Leverkusen0–2–ASturm Graz05/11
Sturm Graz05/11–AFerencvarosi TC26/11
Ferencvarosi TC26/11–HOlympiakos Piraeus10/12
Olympiakos Piraeus10/12Top Scorers
Sturm GrazOumar Diakité7 ⚽
S. Wlodarczyk5 ⚽
S. Seidl5 ⚽
B. Beganovic5 ⚽
A. Kayombo4 ⚽
S. Jatta3 ⚽
CeljeS. Seslar7 ⚽
A. Kucys5 ⚽
M. Kvesic4 ⚽
Y. Dukuly3 ⚽
M. Avdyli2 ⚽
B. Verbic2 ⚽
Cards Given
Sturm GrazJ. Gorenc Stankovic5 🟨
Jurgen Heil3 🟨
A. Vallci3 🟨
J. Heil2 🟨
Arjan Malić2 🟨
F. Ingolitsch2 🟨
CeljeM. Avdyli4 🟨
A. Tutyskinas4 🟨
P. Sirvys3 🟨
A. Dionkou3 🟨
M. Zabukovnik3 🟨
S. Seslar3 🟨