Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille — UEFA Europa League
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Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille meet in the UEFA Europa League 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 15 wins from 20 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 2.85 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 85%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Marseille have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.15 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.31 for Marseille. The models give Bayer Leverkusen a 57% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Marseille win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen—
Marseille8º
Position
32º
3.00
PPG
0.00
100%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.00
Conceded / game
4.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
45%
Clean sheet %
19%
85%
Over 2.5 %
63%
7.4
Avg corners
4.6
20.5
Avg shots
12.9
7.5
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.5
12.6
Avg fouls
11.7
59.9%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Bayer Leverkusen
Home (1)
—
Marseille
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
0.00
100%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.00
Conceded / game
4.00
44%
BTTS %
33%
56%
Clean sheet %
17%
78%
Over 2.5 %
33%
7.4
Avg corners
4.6
20.5
Avg shots
12.9
7.5
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.5
59.9%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Bayer Leverkusen | Home | Away | Marseille | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 100% | 91% | 69% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 82% | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 45% | 44% | 45% | 25% | 30% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 0% | 9% | 31% | 20% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Bayer Leverkusen | Home | Away | Marseille | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 44% | 64% | 81% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 22% | 45% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 11% | 27% | 25% | 30% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 56% | 36% | 19% | 20% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bayer Leverkusen | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 85% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 35% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bayer Leverkusen | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 85% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 75% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 5% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 85% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 95% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Bayer Leverkusen (H)L
VfB Stuttgart2–4
VfB Stuttgart2–4W
1. FC Nürnberg5–2
1. FC Nürnberg5–2W
SC Freiburg2–1
SC Freiburg2–1W
RB Leipzig2–0
RB Leipzig2–0W
Celje2–0
Celje2–0W
Union Berlin4–0
Union Berlin4–0Marseille (A)L
Sturm Graz0–1
Sturm Graz0–1W
Angers5–2
Angers5–2W
Estac Troyes2–0
Estac Troyes2–0L
Beşiktaş1–4
Beşiktaş1–4L
Rennes0–1
Rennes0–1L
Monaco0–2
Monaco0–2Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.8
116 games
8.2
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Bayer Leverkusen | Marseille | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 50% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 54% | 42% | 62% |
| Over 9 | 46% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 46% | 8% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 46% | 8% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 38% | 0% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bayer Leverkusen | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.4 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 54% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 23% | 25% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Bayer Leverkusen
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Marseille
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
02/08/23Bayer Leverkusen
Marseille
1–2Bayer Leverkusen| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Bayer Leverkusen- ●Bayer Leverkusen have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Bayer Leverkusen have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Bayer Leverkusen have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Bayer Leverkusen have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Bayer Leverkusen have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Bayer Leverkusen's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Bayer Leverkusen's points have been earned away.
Marseille- ●Marseille have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Marseille have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Marseille have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
Bayer LeverkusenWAOFI2–0
OFI2–0WALech Poznan4–0
Lech Poznan4–0WHCelje2–0
Celje2–0–HMarseille05/11
Marseille05/11–ADinamo Zagreb26/11
Dinamo Zagreb26/11–HBeşiktaş10/12
Beşiktaş10/12MarseilleLASturm Graz0–1
Sturm Graz0–1LHOlympiakos Piraeus0–1
Olympiakos Piraeus0–1LABeşiktaş1–4
Beşiktaş1–4–ABayer Leverkusen05/11
Bayer Leverkusen05/11–HLevski Sofia26/11
Levski Sofia26/11–HCelta Vigo10/12
Celta Vigo10/12Top Scorers
Bayer LeverkusenPatrik Schick9 ⚽
P. Schick6 ⚽
Ibrahim Maza4 ⚽
C. Kofane4 ⚽
A. Moreira4 ⚽
Jonas Hofmann3 ⚽
MarseilleAmine Gouiri4 ⚽
I. Paixao3 ⚽
Amine Harit3 ⚽
Himad Abdelli3 ⚽
A. Gouiri2 ⚽
Igor Paixão2 ⚽
Cards Given
Bayer LeverkusenEqui Fernández4 🟨
Carles Martínez Novell3 🟨
3 🟨
Facundo Medina2 🟨
Aleix García2 🟨
Ibrahim Maza2 🟨
MarseilleAngel Gomes3 🟨
Timothy Weah3 🟨
Bamo Meite2 🟨
Amine Harit2 🟨
Keyliane Abdallah2 🟨
G. Kondogbia1 🟨